France - Ligue 1
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by Daniel Ngulu in Ligue 1 Predictions
A recent slump has seen Lile thrown out of European positions in Ligue 1, ahead of their home match against Lens. Placed seventh, Lille could rise back into the top six if they beat eighth placed Lens. We have a prediction for this match below.
It has been a slow period for Lille, who have managed just one win in the last five matches. Three of those matches ended in defeat and two being in the league, accounting for their big fall.
Their only win in the last five matches was against the league’s whipping boys, Montpellier. That 1-0 win, also provided their only clean sheet in six matches.
On the contrary, Lens have been on the rise. They went into the international break having registered back-to-back wins.
The most recent of them was 1-0 at home to Rennes but earlier they managed a 1-0 win away to Marseille. These wins helped Lens banish a three-match losing run and also signify improvement in defence.
In the three losses, they had conceded a total of nine. Les Sang et Or will be keen not to slump back into that poor run. Facing Lille, home to one of the league’s top scorers, means this will be a daunting task.
Five wins in their last 10 away matches should offer a lift.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lille v Lens Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 3.25 | 4.33 |
|
|
2 | 3.2 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.3 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.31 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.31 | 4.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and Lens?
Our prediction for the Lille vs Lens match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/03/2025 between Lille and Lens in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.11% for a win of Lille against Lens with odds of 2.15 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs Lens is 21.49% with odds of 3.48 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.4% chance ⭐ for a win of Lens vs Lille with odds of 4.7 at 1xbet.
Lille - Lens Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lille Lens Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 43.11% | 2.15 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 50.14% | 2.18 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 63.75% | 1.97 at Unibet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lille | 18.37% | 5 at Bet365 |
Lille vs Lens Form
Lille and Lens's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
47 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
|
9
|
39 | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 1 |
Lille and Lens Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
Lille vs Lens Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
8 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2023 - Ligue 1
9 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1
16 Apr 2022 - Ligue 1
Lille against Lens Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
S. Umtiti
T. Santos
MidfielderE. Mbappe
ForwardE. Zhegrova
D. Petric
DefenderJ. Chavez
ForwardM. Satriano
R. Lascary
Most goals and assists
Lille
Lens
J. David
(21 Goals)
M. Nzola
(6 Goals)
J. David
(5 Assists)
D. Machado
(4 Assists)
Lille - Lens Key Points
- Three of Lens’ last five matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Three of Lille’s last four matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Lille scored more than a goal in just three of their last 10 games.
- Away from home, three of Lens’ four matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Four of the last five meetings between these teams had under 2.5 goals.
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Our Lille vs Lens Prediction
Lille have been disappointing in recent times. Coach Bruno Genesio will hope to receive back re-energized players after the international break. Their major undoing has been the low-scoring returns. Lille have scored more than a goal in just three of the last 10 matches.
They face a Lens side that hasn’t been scoring a lot of goals either. Only once in the last six matches did Lens score more than once. This leads us to a bet on the goals market. Our prediction for Lille v Lens is for under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lille Lens
| Lille vs Lens | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 1.95 | 1.95 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.25 | -7.1% |
| Lens wins | 3.8 | 4.33 | +13.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.3% and is now 51.3% (0.0%)
Get up to £30 to bet on the Lille vs. Lens game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Lille and Lens when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Ligue 1!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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