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Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Daniel Ngulu in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Fresh from wins on Thursday, Liechtenstein and Gibraltar go head-to-head in Group D1 of the Nations League this Sunday. Liechtenstein will host this match, looking to rise from the bottom and overtake leaders Gibraltar. Read on for our prediction.
Coming into this game, hosts Liechtenstein beat Hong Kong 1-0 in a friendly match. They will be keen on bouncing back in the Nations League, having drawn 2-2 with Gibraltar last time out.
Liechtenstein started their Nations League campaign on a losing note, falling 1-0 to San Marino. That and the draw with Gibraltar left Liechtenstein winless in 11 Nations League matches.
They’ve suffered eight defeats in those 11 matches. In the last five meetings with Gibraltar, they are winless.
Gibraltar have three wins in five meetings with Liechtenstein. After drawing in their first meeting, they will be keen on returning to winning ways in this fixture.
In this group, they top with four points, having beaten San Marino in their last match. Their recent matches have revealed some good progress for the visitors. Julio Cesar Ribas’ charges are undefeated in the last four matches, winning two of them.
They also have three clean sheets in those four matches, a run only interrupted by the 2-2 draw with Liechtenstein. That run brought to an end a streak of 13 matches with consecutive defeats.
Their win against San Marino on Thursday was the first in the Nations League since beating Liechtenstein in 2020.
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The Best Betting Odds for Liechtenstein v Gibraltar Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 2.9 | 3.6 |
|
|
3.1 | 2.05 | 3.2 |
|
|
3.02 | 3.05 | 2.81 |
|
|
3.02 | 3.05 | 2.81 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.85 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.81 | 2.92 | 2.82 |
|
|
2.81 | 2.92 | 2.82 |
|
|
2.65 | 2.85 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.92 | 2.93 | 2.71 |
|
|
2.85 | 2.85 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.19 | 2.95 | 4.2 |
|
|
2.15 | 2.9 | 3.8 |
|
|
3 | 2.85 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.05 | 2.75 | 3.9 |
|
|
2.2 | 2.95 | 3.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Liechtenstein and Gibraltar?
Our prediction for the Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar match is: Under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/10/2024 between Liechtenstein and Gibraltar in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.75% for a win of Liechtenstein against Gibraltar with odds of 3.1 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar is 18.53% with odds of 3.05 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Gibraltar vs Liechtenstein with odds of 4.2 at Vbet.
Liechtenstein - Gibraltar Prediction and Best Odds:
| Liechtenstein Gibraltar Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liechtenstein wins | 41.75% | 3.1 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 56.49% | 1.83 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 12.5% | 2.38 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Liechtenstein | 16.11% | 6.5 at Unibet |
Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar Form
Liechtenstein and Gibraltar's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
|
3
|
2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 |
Liechtenstein and Gibraltar Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - International Friendlies
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
13 Oct 2023 - Euro
20 Jun 2023 - Euro
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Oct 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
4 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
4 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Mar 2024 - UEFA Nations League
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
11 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
27 Mar 2023 - Euro
Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2020 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League
Liechtenstein against Gibraltar Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Liechtenstein
Gibraltar
N. Hasler
(1 Goals)
,
F. Saglam
(1 Goals)
,
A. Sele
(1 Goals)
L. Walker
(2 Goals)
M. Buchel
(1 Assists)
J. Valarino
(1 Assists)
,
T. De Barr
(1 Assists)
Liechtenstein - Gibraltar Key Points
- Gibraltar failed to score in two of their last five matches.
- Only one of Gibraltar’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Liechtenstein failed to score in three of their last five matches.
- Three of Liechtenstein’s last four matches had under 2.5 goals.
- The last five meetings between these two nations averaged 2.4 goals.
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Our Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar Prediction
Most of the previous meetings between these two sides were tight affairs and there are indications this too might follow that trend. Three of their last four meetings have produced less than three goals.
The two nations haven't been great in attack in their recent matches, which has resulted in low-scoring affairs. Liechtenstein actually failed to score in three of their last five matches.
Meanwhile, only one of Gibraltar’s last five matches had three or more goals. Our prediction for Liechtenstein v Gibraltar is for the game to have under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Liechtenstein Gibraltar
| Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liechtenstein wins | 2.5 | 2.2 | -12.0% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 2.9 | -9.4% |
| Gibraltar wins | 2.63 | 3.6 | +36.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Liechtenstein is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 12.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 45.5% (5.5%)
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