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Libya vs Nigeria Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Nella Wagah in AFCON Predictions
Nigeria are close to securing another AFCON ticket, as they travel to Libya on Match Day 4 of the 2025 AFCON qualifiers. The Super Eagles top Group D with seven points, six ahead of The Mediterranean Knights, who host them for a Tuesday 15th October match. If you are looking to bet on the game, this preview will offer two predictions to help.
As it stands, Nigeria need four more points from the remaining three matches to secure their AFCON 2025 slot. However, if Rwanda drops points against Benin, a win for Nigeria will be enough for a top two finish. They are coming from a home win against the North African nation and Nigeria will be confident of another win here.
In their five meetings with Nigeria, Libya failed to post a win and in most of them, they’ve been victims of late concession. Here they will be looking to avoid a fourth straight home loss against Nigeria.
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The Best Betting Odds for Libya v Nigeria Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.75 | 2.62 | 1.75 |
|
|
7.48 | 4.3 | 1.43 |
|
|
7.48 | 4.3 | 1.43 |
|
|
6 | 3.7 | 1.54 |
|
|
7.48 | 4.3 | 1.43 |
|
|
7.48 | 4.3 | 1.43 |
|
|
7 | 4.2 | 1.44 |
|
|
7.48 | 4.3 | 1.43 |
|
|
7 | 4.2 | 1.44 |
|
|
6.3 | 3.55 | 1.59 |
|
|
6 | 3.8 | 1.5 |
|
|
5.25 | 3.6 | 1.55 |
|
|
5.5 | 3.6 | 1.53 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Libya and Nigeria?
Our prediction for the Libya vs Nigeria match is: Nigeria to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/10/2024 between Libya and Nigeria in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.77% for a win of Libya against Nigeria with odds of 7.48 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Libya vs Nigeria is 31.65% with odds of 4.3 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Nigeria vs Libya with odds of 1.75 at Ladbrokes.
Libya - Nigeria Prediction and Best Odds:
| Libya Nigeria Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nigeria wins | 45.58% | 1.75 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 72.31% | 1.78 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 47.92% | 2.25 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Nigeria | 19.17% | 4 at Betfair |
Libya vs Nigeria Form
Libya and Nigeria's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
|
4
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 |
Libya and Nigeria Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
4 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
12 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
6 Sep 2023 - AFCON
28 Mar 2023 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
2 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
7 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
7 Sep 2024 - AFCON
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
11 Feb 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Jan 2024 - AFCON
18 Jan 2024 - AFCON
8 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - World Cup
Libya vs Nigeria Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
Libya - Nigeria: Form Analysis
Libya will be looking to post their first win of the 2025 AFCON qualifiers when they host Nigeria in Benghazi. They are coming from a 1-0 defeat away to Nigeria.
It was a disappointing outcome after holding on for 86 minutes, only to be broken towards the end. With that result, Libya have now failed to win any of their last four matches, and that includes the three in this group.
In that run, they suffered three losses and failed to score twice, yet they have no clean sheet in nine matches. The hosts do not command a fine run in AFCON qualification either.
They haven't won any of the last eight matches in the qualifiers, losing six. A 1-0 win over Botswana is their only victory in 13 AFCON qualification matches.
Nigeria have a fine run in AFCON qualification and against Libya.
Nigeria took control of this group with their home win in the reverse fixture. Faruq Dele-Bashiru scored their only goal as they managed to break Libya’s resistance.
Now they need at least four points from the remaining three matches to book their spot in Morocco 2025. After getting to the final of the last tournament, and losing, Nigeria will want to qualify again and make amends.
At this point in time, there’s really little doubt that they will make it. Their form against Libya gives them the advantage, having trounced their hosts in all five meetings.
Nigeria have also gone unbeaten in their last six AFCON qualifying matches.
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Libya & Nigeria Squad Analysis
There were a lot of plaudits for their astute performance in Nigeria and the most pats will go to the Libyan defence. Goalkeeper Murad Al Wuheeshi did well to frustrate Nigeria for long periods.
He had a perfect combination with central defender Ali Yousef Musrati. The two got booked for their troubles on the night and will be disappointed they didn’t keep a clean sheet.
Libya lined up defensively in Nigeria and we expect the same at home too.
Nigeria’s star forward Victor Osimhen was not called up for this international break as he nurses an injury. The Super Eagles, however, have able replacements in Victor Boniface and Ademola Lookman.
Boniface hasn’t scored in the last 10 of Nigeria’s matches and this could be his chance, as we expect he will start again.
In defence, Olisa Ndah is also absent for the current qualifiers but he wasn’t missed last week as the team kept a third straight clean sheet.
Most goals and assists
Libya
Nigeria
W. Troost-Ekong
(3 Goals)
,
A. Lookman
(3 Goals)
A. Lookman
(1 Assists)
,
V. Osimhen
(1 Assists)
,
C. Bassey
(1 Assists)
,
M. Simon
(1 Assists)
Libya - Nigeria Key Points
- Nigeria are unbeaten in three matches, winning twice.
- Nigeria have never lost to Libya in their previous meetings.
- Libya are winless in their last four matches, losing three.
- In their last three away matches against Libya, Nigeria posted wins.
- In AFCON qualification matches, Libya have seven losses in the last 10.
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Our Libya vs Nigeria Prediction
After failing at the final hurdle in the last AFCON tournament, Nigeria have turned on the style and could secure their ticket this week. They are unbeaten in this group, winning two of three matches, and have also done well previously against Libya.
Their hosts haven't had things flowing their way and such a tough opponent could make it worse. Seven losses in 10 AFCON qualification matches isn’t a run good enough to give them confidence against Nigeria. Our prediction for Libya v Nigeria is for Nigeria to win.
Libya vs Nigeria - Other Interesting Predictions
Nigeria win to nil
Nigeria are unbeaten in their last six AFCON qualification matches, and in that run, they conceded just two goals. With five clean sheets in six AFCON qualification matches, and a powerful run against Libya, Nigeria will be outright favorites here.
They also have four clean sheets in five meetings with Libya. We will thus have Nigeria winning to nil as our second prediction.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Libya Nigeria
| Libya vs Nigeria | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Libya wins | 6 | 5.75 | -4.2% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 2.62 | -32.8% |
| Nigeria wins | 1.44 | 1.75 | +21.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Nigeria is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 21.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.4% and is now 57.1% (-12.3%)
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Libya vs Nigeria match : Frequently asked questions
The Libya v Nigeria match is scheduled for Tuesday 15th October 2024.
The Libya v Nigeria match will be staged at the Martyrs of February Stadium in Benghazi.
The Libya v Nigeria match will be televised on Supersport and Afrosport across Africa. On SportyTrader, we will have the match updates via the AFCON live scores page.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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