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by Thobelani Moyo in World Cup Predictions
Liberia will welcome Sao Tome and Principe to Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex on matchday 6 of the 2026 World Cup qualifying (CAF). This is a Group H encounter between the third-placed Liberia and bottom-dwellers Sao Tome and Principe. Here's our match prediction.
Liberia had a disappointing African Cup of Nations qualifying campaign. With 4 points from 6 games, they finished dead last in Group E. This was the tenth consecutive time they failed to qualify with their last appearance dating back to 2002.
Perhaps, their elimination from the AFCON was a blessing in disguise. The Lonestars can now focus on securing a spot in the 2026 World Cup.
Mario Marinica's men returned to action for their first match of the year against Tunisia. Things didn't go as planned. They lost 1-0 at home on matchday five of the World Cup qualifying campaign, leaving them third in Group H.
With Sao Tome and Principe seemingly the group's whipping boys in the World Cup qualifying campaign, it makes perfect sense to vouch for a home triumph in this upcoming encounter.
The Falcons and True Parrots Team are dead last in Group H and have yet to register a point from five games.
Their defensive struggles were evident in a recent outing against Equatorial Guinea in the World Cup qualifying campaign. They conceded two goals in three minutes and suffered a convincing 2-0 away defeat.
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The Best Betting Odds for Liberia v Sao Tome and Principe Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.27 | 5 | 13 |
|
|
1.29 | 4.5 | 10 |
|
|
1.5 | 2.9 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.27 | 5.03 | 13.6 |
|
|
1.27 | 5.03 | 13.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Liberia and Sao Tome and Principe?
Our prediction for the Liberia vs Sao Tome and Principe match is: Liberia to win and under 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/03/2025 between Liberia and Sao Tome and Principe in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.21% for a win of Liberia against Sao Tome and Principe with odds of 1.5 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liberia vs Sao Tome and Principe is 22.14% with odds of 5.7 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Sao Tome and Principe vs Liberia with odds of 15 at Betsson.
Liberia - Sao Tome and Principe Prediction and Best Odds:
| Liberia Sao Tome and Principe Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liberia wins | 58.21% | 1.5 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.97 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 25% | 3.25 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Liberia | 22.11% | 3.95 at Unibet |
Liberia vs Sao Tome and Principe Form
Liberia and Sao Tome and Principe's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|
6
|
0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -12 |
Liberia and Sao Tome and Principe Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Mar 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - AFCON
13 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Mar 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
26 Mar 2024 - AFCON
20 Nov 2023 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
5 Jun 2024 - World Cup
20 Mar 2024 - AFCON
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - AFCON
22 Mar 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Mar 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
14 Jun 2023 - AFCON
26 Mar 2023 - AFCON
13 Jun 2022 - AFCON
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - AFCON
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
10 Sep 2023 - AFCON
22 Mar 2023 - AFCON
Liberia vs Sao Tome and Principe Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
Liberia - Sao Tome and Principe Key Points
- Under 3.5 goals have been scored in each of Liberia's last three matches across all competitions.
- Sao Tome and Principe have failed to score in four of their last five matches in the 2026 World Cup qualifying (CAF).
- Liberia was on a three-match unbeaten run at home across all competitions.
- Sao Tome and Principe are currently on a five-match losing streak when playing away in the 2026 World Cup qualifying (CAF).
- Sao Tome and Principe have failed to score in five of their last eight away matches in the 2026 World Cup qualifying (CAF).
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Our Liberia vs Sao Tome and Principe Prediction
Liberia lacked the attacking threat in their recent match against Tunisia and will need to be at their best this time if they are to snatch three points off Sao Tome and Principe.
This will be the home team's second meeting against Sao Tome and Principe in the CAF World Cup qualifiers. In the previous meeting, they won 1-0 on the road. We expect them to take inspiration from that result and come out on top in a low-scoring affair. Our Liberia v Sao Tome and Principe prediction is for Liberia to win and under 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Liberia Sao Tome and Principe
| Liberia vs Sao Tome and Principe | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberia wins | 1.33 | 1.27 | -4.5% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 5 | +11.1% |
| Sao Tome and Principe wins | 13 | 13 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Liberia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 78.7% (3.6%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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