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Leyton Orient London vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
by Ian John in FA Cup Predictions
Is an FA Cup Third-round shock in store at Brisbane Road this weekend? Leyton Orient host Derby County in an intriguing match, which pits The O’s superb recent form against the Rams dismal away record. Who will our prediction back to progress into the next round of the tournament?
Visiting Derby occupy 18th spot in the Championship at present, while Leyton Orient are riding high in eighth spot in League One after a run of seven league wins and a draw in their last eight games.
While this is Derby’s first FA Cup tie this season, Leyton Orient have already played two games. They progressed on penalties away to Borehamwood after a 2-2 draw, and then were 2-1 home winners over Oldham Athletic in the Second round.
The O’s current form is superb. They have won five straight and seven of the last eight, scoring 18 goals in those seven games, conceding just two. Their most recent wins have been 2-0 at home to Cambridge, 3-2 away to Bristol Rovers and most recently a 1-0 home win over Shrewsbury Town.
In sharp contrast to this, Derby’s recent form is poor. The Rams have won just one of their last five, losing four. They have also lost all the last three, 1-0 at home to Leeds and then two defeats away from home, 4-2 at Sheffield Wednesday and 1-0 at Bristol City.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leyton Orient London v Derby County Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.25 | 2.38 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.2 | 2.4 |
|
|
3 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.25 | 2.37 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.25 | 2.37 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.2 | 2.35 |
|
|
3.09 | 3.26 | 2.36 |
|
|
3.09 | 3.26 | 2.36 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.25 | 2.36 |
|
|
3.09 | 3.26 | 2.36 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.35 | 2.39 |
|
|
3.06 | 3.33 | 2.45 |
|
|
3 | 3.2 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.2 | 2.45 |
|
|
3 | 3.2 | 2.38 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.3 | 2.45 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.1 | 2.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leyton Orient London and Derby County?
Our prediction for the Leyton Orient London vs Derby County match is: Leyton Orient wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/01/2025 between Leyton Orient London and Derby County in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.79% for a win of Leyton Orient London against Derby County with odds of 3.1 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leyton Orient London vs Derby County is 20.87% with odds of 3.35 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Leyton Orient London with odds of 2.45 at Vbet.
Leyton Orient London vs Derby County Form
Leyton Orient London and Derby County Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - League One
1 Jan 2025 - League One
29 Dec 2024 - League One
26 Dec 2024 - League One
21 Dec 2024 - League One
14 Dec 2024 - League One
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - League One
29 Dec 2024 - League One
26 Dec 2024 - League One
14 Dec 2024 - League One
3 Dec 2024 - League One
30 Nov 2024 - FA Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2025 - League One
21 Dec 2024 - League One
10 Dec 2024 - EFL Trophy
7 Dec 2024 - League One
23 Nov 2024 - League One
12 Nov 2024 - EFL Trophy
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - Championship
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
20 Dec 2024 - Championship
13 Dec 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
13 Dec 2024 - Championship
1 Dec 2024 - Championship
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - Championship
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2024 - Championship
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 Dec 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
Leyton Orient London vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
13 Apr 2024 - League One
Most goals and assists
Leyton Orient London
Derby County
C. Kelman
(8 Goals)
J. Yates
(6 Goals)
T. James
(1 Assists)
,
D. Jaiyesimi
(1 Assists)
N. Mendez Laing
(4 Assists)
Leyton Orient London and Derby County Stats in FA Cup
Leyton Orient London - Derby County Key Points
- Leyton Orient have won six of their last eight at home in League One.
- Derby have won one out of 14 away Championship games this season.
- Leyton Orient have conceded just three goals in their last ten home games in League One.
- Four of Derby's last five away matches have ended in defeat.
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Our Leyton Orient London vs Derby County Prediction
Our prediction for the Leyton Orient vs. Derby County FA Cup Third-round tie is: Leyton Orient wins the match.
The O's may be the League One underdogs for this clash, but they come into this fixture in excellent form and with a very impressive home record. In contrast, Derby's away from in the Championship is particularly woeful. With the Rams sliding towards the relegation zone in the Championship, they could rest players here for their league campaign, which further enhances Leyton Orient's chances of victory.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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