Africa - AFCON
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Lesotho vs Morocco Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Daniel Ngulu in AFCON Predictions
Morocco took the early lead in Group B of the AFCON 2025 qualifiers and will be looking to extend it when they face Lesotho. While this match is scheduled for Agadir, in Morocco, Lesotho will be playing as the home team. Read on for our prediction.
Lesotho are looking to bank their first point(s) of this campaign following a 3-1 loss to the Central African Republic. Motebang Sera scored Lesotho’s consolation in the game but they were never a threat, going on to lose a third straight game.
In their first ever game against Morocco, Lesotho will also be targeting a first clean sheet and win in five matches. They have suffered five straight defeats, and are winless in the last seven AFCON qualification matches.
As hosts for the AFCON finals, Morocco’s participation in the qualifiers is a mere formality. They are meant to use the games to stay fit since their slot is assured. However, they still went for the kill against Gabon in the first round and won 4-1.
That marked their third straight win and fifth match unbeaten. The loss to South Africa at the 2023 AFCON is their only defeat in 14 matches. Apart from the good run of form, Morocco have been great in attack.
The Atlas Lions scored 12 times in just their last three matches. They will, however, be keen to improve on their defensive performance, having managed just a clean sheet in their last three matches. When it comes to AFCON qualification, Morocco have one loss in the last 16 matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lesotho v Morocco Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13 | 4.6 | 1.22 |
|
|
38 | 11.7 | 1.07 |
|
|
38 | 11.7 | 1.07 |
|
|
33 | 10.5 | 1.06 |
|
|
37 | 12.5 | 1.04 |
|
|
28 | 11 | 1.06 |
|
|
16 | 8 | 1.13 |
|
|
12 | 6.6 | 1.19 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lesotho and Morocco?
Our prediction for the Lesotho vs Morocco match is: Morocco team total over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2024 between Lesotho and Morocco in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 13.55% for a win of Lesotho against Morocco with odds of 38 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lesotho vs Morocco is 20.37% with odds of 12.5 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 66.07% chance ⭐ for a win of Morocco vs Lesotho with odds of 1.22 at Ladbrokes.
Lesotho - Morocco Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lesotho Morocco Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Morocco wins | 66.07% | 1.22 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 54.89% | 3.04 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 45.24% | 2.8 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time: Morocco/Morocco | 33.08% | 1.4 at Ladbrokes |
Lesotho vs Morocco Form
Lesotho and Morocco's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
|
4
|
1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 |
Lesotho and Morocco Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
3 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
1 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
28 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
28 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
16 Jul 2023 - COSAFA Cup
17 Jun 2023 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
1 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
10 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
30 Jan 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
30 Jan 2024 - AFCON
21 Jan 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
24 Jan 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Jun 2023 - AFCON
17 Dec 2022 - World Cup
14 Dec 2022 - World Cup
Most goals and assists
Lesotho
Morocco
R. Saiss
(1 Goals)
,
Y. En-Nesyri
(1 Goals)
,
A. Ounahi
(1 Goals)
,
A. Hakimi
(1 Goals)
,
H. Ziyech
(1 Goals)
A. Hakimi
(1 Assists)
,
A. Adli
(1 Assists)
Lesotho - Morocco Key Points
- Lesotho conceded three goals in each of their last two matches.
- Morocco scored an average of 2.6 goals in their last five matches.
- An average of 2.8 goals were scored in Lesotho’s last five matches.
- Morocco’s last five AFCON qualification matches saw 16 goals scored.
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Our Lesotho vs Morocco Prediction
Morocco started their AFCON qualification campaign the same way they ended the last – with high scores. They thrashed Gabon 4-1 and have now netted seven goals in the last two AFCON qualifying matches.
Coming into their first ever match against Lesotho, they will be expected to win with another comfortable margin. The average goals in Lesotho’s recent matches has been above two goals while Morocco have been involved in high-scoring matches. With Morocco playing this away match at home, we expect more of their ruthlessness to show. Our prediction for Lesotho v Morocco is Morocco team total over 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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