France - Ligue 1
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Lens vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions
Lens hosting Toulouse in the French Ligue 1 on Sunday will be among the matchday 16 highlights. The two have European ambitions, Lens in seventh and Toulouse ninth. Below is our prediction of this match.
Lens had an unpleasant ending to 2024, falling to PSG in the French Cup through penalties after a 1-1 draw. Their home form hasn’t been great, with just two wins in the last seven in all competitions.
Three of their last five matches have returned under 2.5 goals. That has been a consistent outcome in their matches against Toulouse, with 17 of their 19 meetings producing under 2.5 goals.
Toulouse had a better ending to 2024, albeit with a bit of a struggle. They had to advance in the French Cup through penalties against Hauts Lyonnais. Drawing 0-0 at full time meant Toulouse failed to score in three of their last five matches.
It will not bode well for them that they come here winless in the last two away league games. The most recent was a 2-0 loss at Monaco, having earlier fallen 3-0 to PSG.
Also, Toulouse have a poor run against Lens, failing to win in any on their last six meetings. That, and an away run that reads two wins in seven league games will not place Toulouse as favorites coming here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lens v Toulouse Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 3.5 | 3.9 |
|
|
2 | 3.3 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.3 | 2.4 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.58 | 4.14 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.58 | 4.14 |
|
|
2 | 3.5 | 4 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.38 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.38 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.03 | 3.55 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.5 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.65 | 4 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.45 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.3 | 4 |
|
|
2 | 3.56 | 3.94 |
|
|
2 | 3.4 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.45 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.3 | 3.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lens and Toulouse?
Our prediction for the Lens vs Toulouse match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/01/2025 between Lens and Toulouse in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.09% for a win of Lens against Toulouse with odds of 2.3 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lens vs Toulouse is 22.24% with odds of 3.65 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Toulouse vs Lens with odds of 4.14 at 1xbet.
Lens - Toulouse Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lens Toulouse Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lens wins | 46.09% | 2.3 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 55.02% | 1.95 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 32.29% | 1.8 at William Hill |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lens | 23.92% | 5.3 at Unibet |
Lens vs Toulouse Form
Lens and Toulouse's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
24 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
|
8
|
24 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Lens and Toulouse Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2024 - French Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
8 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2024 - French Cup
8 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
6 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
21 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - French Cup
13 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
15 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - French Cup
7 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
5 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
Lens vs Toulouse Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Sep 2023 - Ligue 1
2 May 2023 - Ligue 1
28 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1
Lens against Toulouse Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
R. Aguilar
F. Medina
A. Khusanov
MidfielderN. El Aynaoui
ForwardM. Satriano
W. Said
R. Lascary
R. Nicolaisen
MidfielderN. Schmidt
Most goals and assists
Lens
Toulouse
M. Nzola
(4 Goals)
Z. Aboukhlal
(6 Goals)
R. Aguilar
(1 Assists)
,
A. Zaroury
(1 Assists)
,
A. Thomasson
(1 Assists)
,
A. Diouf
(1 Assists)
, 
D. Machado
(1 Assists)
,
A. Fulgini
(1 Assists)
,
M. Nzola
(1 Assists)
, 
P. Frankowski
(1 Assists)
, 
G. Suazo
(3 Assists)
Lens - Toulouse Key Points
- Lens failed to score twice in five home Ligue 1 matches.
- 17 of these teams’ last 19 meetings had under 2.5 goals.
- Toulouse didn’t score in their last two away Ligue 1 matches.
- Three of Toulouse’s latest away league games had under 2.5 goals.
- At home in Ligue 1, three of Lens’ last five matches had under 2.5 goals.
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Our Lens vs Toulouse Prediction
If you are looking for entertainment in terms of goals, this may not be the match for that. Twice at home in their last five league matches, Lens failed to score. Toulouse also failed to score in three of their last five matches, though the latest one was in the French Cup.
In their last three away matches in all competitions, they also failed to score. Three of their last four on the road had under 2.5 goals. With this fixture known for few goals, our prediction for Lens v Toulouse is for under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lens Toulouse
| Lens vs Toulouse | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lens wins | 1.83 | 1.95 | +6.6% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.5 | +2.9% |
| Toulouse wins | 4.33 | 3.9 | -9.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lens is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 51.3% (-3.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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