France - Ligue 1
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Lens vs Montpellier Hsc Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Kennedy Kechula in Ligue 1 Predictions
A place in the Conference League is at stake as Lens go into their final Ligue 1 game of the season against Montpellier. Hosts Lens, placed sixth, need just a win against 12th placed Montpellier who have nothing much to play for. Having finished second last season, it could be argued this has been a poor campaign for Lens. After playing in the Champions League this season, Lens are locked in a three-way battle for the Conference League going to the final day. They have 50 points, the same tally as seventh-placed Lyon and three better than Marseille in eighth. Lens are still haunted by their poor start to the season, but recent results have also been a letdown. They are coming from a 1-1 draw with Rennes, a game they should have won, with better concentration in the dying embers. Angelo Fulgini scored Lens’ goal and they held on till the final 10 minutes of the game when Rennes equalized. That result didn’t just deny them three points, it put them out of contention for a Europa League slot. With a superior goal difference against Lyon going into the final round, it is expected that Lens will win the race for Europe.
Montpellier do not relate to the pressures Lens are harbouring ahead of the final round of matches. In 12th place with 40 points, they have secured their Ligue 1 status for next season. The lowest Montpellier can drop now is one place and the highest they can rise is by one place. With survival already assured, Montpellier suffered a 2-0 loss at home to Monaco last time out. That result meant they have no clean sheet in the last five matches, with both teams scoring in four. Montpellier aren’t on a very good run against Lens either; they come here winless in their last four meetings. The reverse fixture between these two sides ended in a 0-0 draw. Having lost just once in their last seven matches, Montpellier will rightly feel they can end their recent bad run against Lens. They actually have a strong run away from home, winning four of their last five matches on the road. However, they have just one clan sheet in their last seven away matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lens v Montpellier Hsc Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
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7.5 | 1.1 | 41 |
|
|
1.26 | 5.7 | 8 |
|
|
8.5 | 1.08 | 41 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.9 | 9.3 |
|
|
1.44 | 5.4 | 6.9 |
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|
7 | 1.11 | 29 |
|
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1.44 | 5 | 6.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lens and Montpellier Hsc?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/05/2024 between Lens and Montpellier Hsc in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.67% for a win of Lens against Montpellier Hsc with odds of 8.5 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lens vs Montpellier Hsc is 20.92% with odds of 5.9 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.4% chance ⭐ for a win of Montpellier Hsc vs Lens with odds of 41 at Bet365.
Lens - Montpellier Hsc Prediction and Best Odds:
Lens Montpellier Hsc Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Lens wins | 39.67% | 8.5 at Betfair |
Under 2.5 | 56.44% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
Both Team To Score | 60.83% | |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lens | 15.66% | 71 at Betfair |
Lens vs Montpellier Hsc Form
Lens and Montpellier Hsc's standings in the Ligue 1
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7
|
51 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
12
|
41 | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | -5 |
Lens and Montpellier Hsc Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2024 - Ligue 1
3 May 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
9 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2024 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2024 - Ligue 1
3 May 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
14 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2024 - Ligue 1
21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
14 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
31 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
Lens vs Montpellier Hsc Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
15 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2022 - Ligue 1
17 Oct 2021 - Ligue 1
30 Jan 2021 - Ligue 1
Lens against Montpellier Hsc Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
B. Samba
MidfielderN. El Aynaoui
B. Lecomte
DefenderKiki
MidfielderT. Savanier
J. Ferri
M. Tamari
ForwardA. Gueguin
A. Nordin
Most goals and assists
Lens - Montpellier Hsc Key Points
- Montpellier have one clean sheet in their last seven away matches
- Lens failed to score in one of their last 14 league games at home
- In eight of Montpellier’s last 11 matches, both teams scored
- Both teams scored in six of Lens’ last eight matches
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Our Lens vs Montpellier Hsc Prediction
Our prediction for Lens v Montpellier is for both teams to score. Lens come here knowing a win will be their surest way to achieving European football. As such, they will give their all for a win, and we can’t rule out at least a goal from them. Montpellier, on the other hand, playing without pressure in their current form are likely to get at least a goal. They haven't been poor in attack in recent matches and will feel they can match Lens here.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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