France - Ligue 1
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Lens vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions
One of the top games lined up in Ligue 1 this weekend will have Marseille traveling to Lens. Stade Bollaert-Delelis hasn’t been a great hunting ground for Les Phoceens lately but they’ll hope for a shift. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Lens snapped their two-match winless run with a 3-2 victory at home to Nantes last time. They needed two late goals to turn the game around after losing their early lead.
That stemmed what would have been a third straight defeat. Lens have now managed two wins in their last 10 matches while in three of their last four at home, they failed to score.
Marseille have lost their early season steam and as a result have fallen nine points behind league leaders PSG. They suffered their third defeat of the season last time out, against Auxerre.
That was their second loss in three matches, and both defeats came at home. Away days have been better and Marseille will hope this one too comes with that charm.
In their last two visits to Lens they lost but Marseille will be optimistic, having won five of the last six away matches. They also beat Lens in their most recent meeting, breaking a run of three straight defeats in this fixture.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lens v Marseille Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.3 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.46 | 3.26 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.46 | 3.26 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.55 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.31 | 3.38 | 3.08 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.4 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.6 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.4 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.12 | 3.55 | 3.35 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.41 | 3.26 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lens and Marseille?
Our prediction for the Lens vs Marseille match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/11/2024 between Lens and Marseille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.23% for a win of Lens against Marseille with odds of 2.5 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lens vs Marseille is 19.05% with odds of 3.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs Lens with odds of 3.35 at Betsson.
Lens - Marseille Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lens Marseille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 41.72% | 3.35 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.07% | 1.99 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 48.75% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Marseille | 18.31% | 8 at Betsson |
Lens vs Marseille Form
Lens and Marseille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
30 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 14 |
|
7
|
24 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
Lens and Marseille Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
6 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
15 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Aug 2024 - Conference League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
6 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
21 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Aug 2024 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
14 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
Lens vs Marseille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
6 May 2023 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2022 - Ligue 1
26 Sep 2021 - Ligue 1
Lens against Marseille Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
R. Aguilar
J. Gradit
ForwardM. Satriano
W. Said
P. Lirola
MidfielderV. Carboni
A. Harit
ForwardF. Moumbagna
Most goals and assists
Lens
Marseille
M. Nzola
(4 Goals)
M. Greenwood
(10 Goals)
A. Fulgini
(1 Assists)
,
M. Nzola
(1 Assists)
, 
P. Frankowski
(1 Assists)
,
R. Aguilar
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Zaroury
(1 Assists)
,
A. Thomasson
(1 Assists)
,
A. Diouf
(1 Assists)
, 
D. Machado
(1 Assists)
N. Maupay
(4 Assists)
Lens - Marseille Key Points
- Each of Marseille’s last four matches had over 2.5 goals.
- 14 goals were scored in Lens’ last five matches.
- Marseille conceded three goals twice in the last three matches.
- Three of the last six meetings between these sides had over 2.5 goals.
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Our Lens vs Marseille Prediction
While Lens’ matches have been known to be low-scoring, this particular fixture hasn’t obeyed that norm. Six of the last 10 meetings between Lens and Marseille produced over 2.5 goals. In their last outing, Lens got to score three goals for the first time since March in a competitive fixture.
That game, against Nantes, saw five goals scored. Marseille’s recent form also suggests we could have another high scoring match here. Our prediction for Lens v Marseille will be for over 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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