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Leipzig vs Union Berlin Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
by Joseph King in Bundesliga Predictions
Matchday three of the 2024/25 German Bundesliga season sees third-place RB Leipzig playing host to fifth-placed Union Berlin at Red Bull Arena. Let’s get into our prediction for this match between Die Roten Bullen and Die Eisernen.
It’s been a strong start to the season for Leipzig who already have a massive scalp under their belts. They were able to stage an incredible comeback after falling behind 2-0 to defending champions Leverkusen to ultimately walk away with a 3-2 road win. It means that Leipzig were the team to finally end Leverkusen’s 35 game league unbeaten run.
Leipzig have won all three competitive matches they’ve been a part of this season after wins over Bochum in the league and RW Essen in the DFB Pokal.
As for Union Berlin, they’ve also experienced a good start with a win and a draw putting them in fifth position.
They kicked off the new year with a 1-1 away draw against Mainz before taking all three points in a 1-0 home win over recently-promoted St. Pauli. It’s been a rollercoaster ride for Union Berlin who impressed German football fans with their consistency to grow as a club and secure back-to-back top five finishes.
However, their luck finally caught up to them last season as they narrowly finished above the relegation zone in 15th. With just the domestic competitions to deal with this season, the Iron Ones will be eyeing up a return to European football with a top-six finish.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leipzig v Union Berlin Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.44 | 4.75 | 7 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.73 | 6.63 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.73 | 6.63 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.8 | 7.25 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.54 | 6.35 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.54 | 6.35 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.6 | 6.2 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.6 | 6.45 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.7 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.9 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.75 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.43 | 4.8 | 6.75 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.6 | 7 |
|
|
1.44 | 5 | 7 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.4 | 7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leipzig and Union Berlin?
Our prediction for the Leipzig vs Union Berlin match is: Leipzig to win the second half.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/09/2024 between Leipzig and Union Berlin in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.24% for a win of Leipzig against Union Berlin with odds of 1.53 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leipzig vs Union Berlin is 25.72% with odds of 5 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Union Berlin vs Leipzig with odds of 7.5 at Vbet.
Leipzig - Union Berlin Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leipzig Union Berlin Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 47.24% | 1.53 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.99% | 1.8 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Leipzig | 18.02% | 4.35 at Unibet |
Leipzig vs Union Berlin Form
Leipzig and Union Berlin's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
21 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
|
6
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Leipzig and Union Berlin Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Bundesliga
27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2024 - Bundesliga
3 May 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2024 - Bundesliga
5 May 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
18 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Bundesliga
28 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
Leipzig vs Union Berlin Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Sep 2023 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga
20 Aug 2022 - Bundesliga
23 Apr 2022 - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2022 - DFB Pokal
Leipzig against Union Berlin Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
X. Schlager
Y. Stein
Most goals and assists
Leipzig
Union Berlin
B. Sesko
(7 Goals)
B. Hollerbach
(2 Goals)
,
T. Rothe
(2 Goals)
, 
Y. Vertessen
(2 Goals)
B. Sesko
(3 Assists)
,
L. Openda
(3 Assists)
L. Benes
(1 Assists)
,
T. Rothe
(1 Assists)
, 
R. Skov
(1 Assists)
,
B. Hollerbach
(1 Assists)
, 
D. Leite
(1 Assists)
Leipzig - Union Berlin Key Points
- Over the past three seasons Leipzig have a 29-12-10 second-half home record with a +38 goal differential.
- Union Berlin’s second half away record last season was 2-5-10, scoring just twice while conceding 17.
- Leipzig have won the second half in all three of their matches this season.
- The hosts have scored five of their eight goals in the second 45 while having yet to concede.
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Our Leipzig vs Union Berlin Prediction
RB Leipzig have started strong this season and should have a ton of momentum after ending Leverkusen’s unbeaten run. They’ve proven to be a excellent second half team, posting a 56% winning percentage in the second 45 minutes over the last three seasons.
Union are coming off a dreadful 2023/24 campaign but they’ve already shown plenty of positive signs. Still, we aren’t quite ready to get behind the Iron Ones and think that they could fade in the second half of this matchup. Our RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin prediction: Leipzig to win the second half.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leipzig Union Berlin
| Leipzig vs Union Berlin | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 1.44 | 1.44 | 0% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 4.75 | +5.6% |
| Union Berlin wins | 6.5 | 7 | +7.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leipzig is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.4% and is now 69.4% (0.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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