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Leipzig vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
Wednesday’s Champions League action will get underway at the Red Bull Arena with RB Leipzig taking on Primeira Liga champions Sporting Lisbon. Die Roten Bullen will be playing the remainder of the competition as a mere formality, while Os Leoes are in 17th place in the League Phase ahead of the final two rounds of matches. Check out our match prediction below!
This will mark the first-ever meeting between these sides in a European competition. RB Leipzig have faced two Portuguese opponents four times in the past home and away - Porto and Benfica - and have a record of two wins, one draw and one loss. Notably, across those four encounters, a total of 16 goals were scored and both teams scored in each match.
Despite an eight-point gap between these sides in this competition, bookmakers seem to be expecting a close contest with Sporting currently inserted as marginal favourites. Let’s get into the key stats at play in this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leipzig v Sporting Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.88 | 3.6 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.6 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.87 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.87 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.6 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.76 | 2.33 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.76 | 2.33 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.7 | 2.41 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.76 | 2.33 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.65 | 2.42 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.7 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.92 | 3.55 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.6 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.89 | 3.66 | 2.41 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.6 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.55 | 2.35 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leipzig and Sporting Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Leipzig vs Sporting Lisbon match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/01/2025 between Leipzig and Sporting Lisbon in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.19% for a win of Leipzig against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 2.92 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leipzig vs Sporting Lisbon is 26.11% with odds of 3.87 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Leipzig with odds of 2.6 at Ladbrokes.
Leipzig vs Sporting Lisbon Form
Leipzig and Sporting Lisbon's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
|
34
|
0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -7 |
Leipzig and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
15 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
4 Dec 2024 - DFB Pokal
30 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
7 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
3 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
7 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
29 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
18 Dec 2024 - Taca de Portugal
14 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
30 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
5 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
10 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
Leipzig - Sporting Lisbon: Form Analysis
RB Leipzig have endured a dismal Champions League campaign, having lost all six matches to date, meaning they are one of the three sides that are already relegated from qualification contention.
Die Roten Bullen have also made a poor start to the New Year, managing just one win from their last three league matches (W1 D1 L1), which has forced them to fifth place in the Bundesliga.
The hosts have conceded eight goals in their four Champions League home games and failed to score in two. Their home record across all competitions is (W5 D1 L4) across the last 10.
Meanwhile, after a very impressive start to the campaign in which they recorded three wins and a draw in their first four games, Sporting are now aiming to avoid a third straight defeat this week.
Os Leoes have not lost three Champions League games in a row in one season since 2016-17!
The visitors have been uncharacteristically poor on the road of late, posting just a single victory in their last five away matches, while conceding two or more goals in three games in that time.
Still, with 10 points to their name, a victory for Sporting in this match could secure their progress to the next round, provided a few results elsewhere go in their favour as well.
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Leipzig vs Sporting Lisbon last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
C. Lukeba
B. Henrichs
MidfielderA. Ouedraogo
X. Schlager
Leipzig & Sporting Lisbon Squad Analysis
RB Leipzig received an injury boost last week with Yussuf Poulsen returning to training and coming off the bench in the second half of the draw against Bochum over the weekend.
Xaver Schlager and Castello Lukeba have reportedly made major strides toward recovery from injury but are still at least a couple of weeks away from being cleared to commence full team training.
Benjamin Sesko, Amadou Haidara and Lois Openda will return to the lineup this week after missing the Bundesliga match over the weekend due to suspension. Andre Silva and Lutsharel Geertruida are flagged as doubts.
Viktor Gyokeres has scored 31 goals in 27 matches across all competitions for Sporting this season!
The visitors currently have two long-term absentees at present in Pedro Goncalves (muscle) who has now missed 13 matches, while Nuno Santos (knee) has been ruled out for the rest of the season.
Defensive duo Matheus Reis and Eduardo Quaresma both sat out the victory over Rio Ave at the weekend due to muscle issues and the pair are listed as major doubts for the trip to Germany.
Most goals and assists
Leipzig
Sporting Lisbon
B. Sesko
(13 Goals)
V. Gyokeres
(29 Goals)
L. Openda
(7 Assists)
F. Trincao
(9 Assists)
Leipzig and Sporting Lisbon Stats in Champions League
Leipzig - Sporting Lisbon Key Points
- Each of RB Leipzig’s last six matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- RB Leipzig have only kept one clean sheet in their last five home games.
- RB Leipzig have conceded two or more goals in four of their six Champions League matches.
- Four of Sporting Lisbon's last five Champions League matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Sporting Lisbon have conceded two or more goals in four of their last six away games across all competitions.
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Our Leipzig vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction
RB Leipzig have been a major disappointment in the Champions League this season and much of their downfall is attributable to their leaky defence which has now conceded 11 goals in the last five matches.
Sporting have also been far from water-tight in recent times, having conceded two or more goals in three of their last five league games and seven in their last two in the Champions League. Therefore, our RB Leipzig vs Sporting Lisbon prediction is both teams to score.
Leipzig vs Sporting Lisbon - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig have failed to keep a clean sheet in this competition and four of their six Champions League matches this season have ended with over 2.5 goals. Additionally, each of Sporting’s last three matches in this competition have ended with three or more goals scored.
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Leipzig vs Sporting Lisbon match : Frequently asked questions
The Champions League match between RB Leipzig and Sporting Lisbon will be played on January 22 at 17:45 GMT.
The Champions League match between RB Leipzig and Sporting Lisbon will take place at the Red Bull Arena in Leipzig.
The Champions League match between RB Leipzig and Sporting Lisbon will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the Champions League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Manfredas Lukjancukas will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Mangirdas Mirauskas, Vytenis Kazlauskas and Vilius Paulauskas as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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