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Leipzig vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Daniel Ngulu in Champions League Predictions
German side Leipzig find themselves in unfamiliar territory going into their Match Day 3 Champions League encounter at home to Liverpool. Die Roten Bullen are among the eight teams yet to pick a point after the opening two rounds. As they welcome the Reds for the Wednesday fixture, Leipzig will hope to stem their shaky home run in this competition. Still, bookies’ predictions favor the visiting team to win the match.
Leipzig suffered defeats at Atletico Madrid and at home to Juventus in the first two matches and will hope to slam the brakes on this run here. Domestically, they are doing well and will want to transfer that form to Europe.
On the other hand, Liverpool are enjoying a good run both in Europe and at home. In this competition, they are among the teams with perfect starts after a pair of wins against Serie A sides; AC Milan and Bologna.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leipzig v Liverpool Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 3.7 | 2 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.9 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.84 | 3.81 | 1.97 |
|
|
3.84 | 3.81 | 1.97 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.8 | 2 |
|
|
3.56 | 3.96 | 1.92 |
|
|
3.56 | 3.96 | 1.92 |
|
|
3.85 | 4.1 | 1.87 |
|
|
3.72 | 4.06 | 1.86 |
|
|
3.9 | 4 | 1.87 |
|
|
3.63 | 3.8 | 2.06 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.75 | 2 |
|
|
3.55 | 3.7 | 2.06 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.9 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.85 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.7 | 2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leipzig and Liverpool?
Our prediction for the Leipzig vs Liverpool match is: Liverpool to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/10/2024 between Leipzig and Liverpool in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.42% for a win of Leipzig against Liverpool with odds of 3.9 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leipzig vs Liverpool is 16.51% with odds of 4.1 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 60.07% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Leipzig with odds of 2.06 at Vbet.
Leipzig - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leipzig Liverpool Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 60.07% | 2.06 at Vbet |
| Under 2.5 | 53.51% | 2.51 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 29.17% | 1.53 at William Hill |
| Half-time / Full-time: Liverpool/Liverpool | 22.53% | 3.35 at Betsson |
Leipzig vs Liverpool Form
Leipzig and Liverpool's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
|
32
|
0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 |
Leipzig and Liverpool Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
22 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
22 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Leipzig vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Mar 2021 - Champions League
16 Feb 2021 - Champions League
Leipzig - Liverpool: Form Analysis
Back in 2021 these two sides met in the Champions League and Liverpool won both matches with identical 2-0 score lines. That was at the round of 16 stage.
Leipzig will have their chance to avenge the losses here, as they also seek to salvage their European campaign. From the opening two rounds, the hosts remain winless, after a 2-1 loss at Atletico Madrid then falling 3-2 to Juventus at home.
This run leaves them with just one win in six Champions League matches – against a weak side in Young Boys. There’s definitely a need to rise, especially with Leipzig doing way better in the Bundesliga.
They claimed a 2-0 away win at Mainz before heading here.
Liverpool have a great record against German teams and beat Leipzig in the last two meetings.
Liverpool are coming here with all going well in their season. They lead in the Premier League and have won both matches in Europe this season. Also, the last time they faced German opposition, it was Leipzig, winning both legs.
Actually, their last seven matches against Bundesliga teams produced six wins and a draw and they are unbeaten in 12. In their last 19 away matches in the Champions League, Liverpool posted 14 wins, four losses and a draw.
Heading into this game, they beat Chelsea 2-1 to stay top of the Premier League. The Reds posted a 3-1 win against Milan, followed by a 2-0 victory at home to Bologna in the first two Champions League rounds.
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Leipzig against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
D. Raum
MidfielderX. Schlager
Alisson
MidfielderH. Elliott
ForwardD. Jota
Leipzig & Liverpool Squad Analysis
Belgian forward Lois Openda has been Leipzig’s most exciting player this season. So far he has scored four times for the club and will fancy his chances here.
Benjamin Sesko has been outstanding too, especially in the Champions League. In the opening two rounds, Sesko scored three times and he will hope to team up with Openda to ease Leipzig’s Champions League woes.
Some good news on the injuries’ front for Leipzig is the return of Benjamin Henrichs and Kevin Kampl.
However, David Raum and Nicolas Seiwald remain sidelined with ankle and groin strains. Assan Ouedraogo is back in training after battling with a knee injury.
Mohamed Salah has two goals in two matches against RB Leipzig.
Liverpool will be banking on more Mohamed Salah magic in this game. The Egyptian scored in both legs when these teams met in 2021.
He is also coming into this fixture on a good run, having scored on Match Day 2. The forward has five goals and as many assists in the Premier League.
Liverpool will be without goalkeeper Alison Becker for this match as he heals from a hamstring problem. Also ruled out is Harvey Elliot (fracture), who is joined on the sidelines by Federico Chiesa.
Most goals and assists
Leipzig
Liverpool
B. Sesko
(7 Goals)
M. Salah
(10 Goals)
B. Sesko
(3 Assists)
, 
L. Openda
(3 Assists)
M. Salah
(10 Assists)
Leipzig - Liverpool Key Points
- Liverpool have nine wins in 11 away Champions League matches.
- Leipzig have two defeats in earlier matches against Liverpool.
- Leipzig have two straight defeats at home in this competition.
- In their last four Champions League matches, Leipzig are winless.
- Liverpool are coming from seven straight wins.
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Our Leipzig vs Liverpool Prediction
It has been a faulty start to the Champions League for Leipzig, and going by their home form in this competition, things could get worse. They have no win in their opening two matches, while they have three losses in five home games in the competition.
Also, their visitors hold the advantage when it comes to head-to-head comparisons. Liverpool beat Leipzig in both previous competitive meetings between them and have a good away run in Europe.
In their last 11 Champions League matches on the road, the English side wrapped up nine wins. This points in one direction, and our prediction for Leipzig v Liverpool is for Liverpool to win.
Leipzig vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score.
While Leipzig haven't had the best of runs at home in the Champions League, their scoring form there isn’t in question. In the last 16 home matches in this competition, they failed to score twice.
Only one of those matches, however, returned a clean sheet. A majority of them had over 2.5 goals too. Our other prediction for Leipzig v Liverpool is for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leipzig Liverpool
| Leipzig vs Liverpool | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 3.7 | 3.5 | -5.4% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.7 | -1.3% |
| Liverpool wins | 1.9 | 2 | +5.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Liverpool is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.6% and is now 50.0% (-2.6%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
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Leipzig vs Liverpool match : Frequently asked questions
The Leipzig v Liverpool match will be played on Wednesday 23 October.
The Leipzig v Liverpool match will be played at the Red Bull Arena in Leipzig.
The Leipzig v Liverpool match will be televised on DAZN and Amazon Prime for German followers. Those in the UK can watch the game on TNT Sports. On the Sportytrader UEFA Champions League Livescores page there’ll also be the match updates.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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