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Leipzig vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
by Joseph King in Bundesliga Predictions
Two top three teams face off in matchday eight of the German Bundesliga as second-place RB Leipzig hosts third-placed Freiburg on Saturday. We’ve got a prediction ready for this intriguing match between Die Roten Bullen and Breisgau-Brasilianer.
It’s been an excellent start to the 2024/25 Bundesliga season for Leipzig who, along with Bayern Munich, remain the only two unbeaten teams in the league. Five wins and two draws from seven fixtures has them tied with the Bavarian giants but trailing on goal differential.
Leipzig’s performance in the Champions League, however, has been the polar opposite. A 1-0 home loss to Liverpool in their most recent outing marked the teams third loss from three in Europe’s premier club competition.
Their opponents are also experiencing a fantastic start to the league season. Freiburg look to be well on their way to securing a return to the top six after their 10th-place finish last year. The visitors have five wins from seven outings, putting them on 15 points.
Freiburg’s last match saw them win their second game in a row after a 3-1 home victory over Augsburg. The visitors have won their last two consecutive away matches and three of their four away trips across all competitions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leipzig v Freiburg Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.75 | 4 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.91 | 2.75 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.75 | 4.27 | 4.78 |
|
|
1.75 | 4.27 | 4.78 |
|
|
1.79 | 4 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.69 | 4.1 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.69 | 4.1 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.3 | 5 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.06 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.71 | 4.2 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.82 | 4 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.83 | 4 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.72 | 4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.1 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.8 | 4 | 4.35 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.8 | 4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leipzig and Freiburg?
Our prediction for the Leipzig vs Freiburg match is: Under 1.5 first half goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/10/2024 between Leipzig and Freiburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.95% for a win of Leipzig against Freiburg with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leipzig vs Freiburg is 26.53% with odds of 4.3 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.52% chance ⭐ for a win of Freiburg vs Leipzig with odds of 5 at Stake.
Leipzig - Freiburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leipzig Freiburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 40.95% | 1.91 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.67% | 1.82 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 39.17% | 1.67 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Leipzig | 17.27% | 5 at Bet365 |
Leipzig vs Freiburg Form
Leipzig and Freiburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
21 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
|
5
|
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Leipzig and Freiburg Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
22 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
22 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
28 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
21 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
28 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
11 May 2024 - Bundesliga
27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
21 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Leipzig vs Freiburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
12 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga
6 May 2023 - Bundesliga
2 May 2023 - DFB Pokal
9 Nov 2022 - Bundesliga
21 May 2022 - DFB Pokal
Leipzig against Freiburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 2 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
D. Raum
MidfielderX. Schlager
ForwardX. Simons
M. Gulde
K. Schmidt
MidfielderD. Kyereh
M. Rohl
Most goals and assists
Leipzig
Freiburg
B. Sesko
(7 Goals)
V. Grifo
(5 Goals)
B. Sesko
(3 Assists)
, 
L. Openda
(3 Assists)
V. Grifo
(6 Assists)
Leipzig - Freiburg Key Points
- Only four of Freiburg’s 12 goals this season have come in the first 45 minutes.
- Freiburg have failed to score in the first half in their three away trips in the league.
- Two of Leipzig’s three home matches have finished 0-0 at half time.
- The hosts have yet to concede on home soil in the Bundesliga this season.
- Leipzig have scored just two first half goals in their three home league fixtures.
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Our Leipzig vs Freiburg Prediction
Leipzig will be relieved as they return to the Bundesliga after a horror start in the Champions League. However, the hosts must remain sharp as they take on one of the other in-form teams of the German top flight in Freiburg.
While we give Leipzig the edge due to their home advantage, we're targeting the first half goals market here. These two teams' seasons so far have been characterized by slow first halves followed up by strong second half performances. Our Leipzig vs Freiburg prediction: under 1.5 first half goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leipzig Freiburg
| Leipzig vs Freiburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 1.53 | 1.75 | +14.4% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4 | -7.6% |
| Freiburg wins | 5.5 | 4.1 | -25.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leipzig is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 14.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 57.1% (-8.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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