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Germany - Bundesliga

Leipzig
15/03/2025 12:30
Borussia Dortmund

Prediction :

 

Leipzig wins the match

 
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Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

 by Sridhar | in Bundesliga Predictions

Matchday 26 of the German Bundesliga will see Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund battle it out for three vital points on Saturday. The Red Bull Arena Leipzig will host this match between the sixth-placed Die Roten Bullen and the tenth-placed Die Borussen with our prediction of a home win.

The teams are separated by only four points, with Leipzig on 39 points, remaining just two behind fifth-placed Freiburg.

An uninspiring 0-0 away draw at Freiburg last weekend continued Leipzig’s slide in recent weeks. They have won just two of their last nine competitive matches, although losing only two.

Bundesliga form isn’t any better as the hosts have drawn six of their last nine league matches, winning just once. That said, three wins from their last six home league games raise hope that they can turn things around.

Dortmund moved into the quarterfinals of the UEFA Champions League with a 2-1 away win at Lille on Wednesday. That is good news for the visitors who are still struggling to crack the league code. They have just three wins in the last ten league games, losing six in the process.

Away form isn’t any better, as Dortmund have lost seven of their last 11 league trips. However, they have two wins from the last three away league games.

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The Best Betting Odds for Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.35 3.6 2.8
Betfred
2.4 3.6 2.75
Ladbrokes
2.6 2.62 2.87
1xbet
2.51 3.81 2.82
22bet
2.51 3.81 2.82
Betobet
2.35 3.6 2.8
Betwinner
2.43 3.68 2.71
LSbet
2.43 3.68 2.71
Stake
2.43 3.7 2.8
Melbet
2.43 3.64 2.72
Tonybet
2.42 3.65 2.8
Betway
2.4 3.6 2.7
Unibet
2.43 3.55 2.7
Betfair
2.4 3.6 2.88
William Hill
2.45 3.6 2.7
Vbet
2.42 3.67 2.87
Check all Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund odds
Up to $150 to bet on Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund! 

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What is the prediction for the football match between Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund?

Our prediction for the Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund match is: Leipzig wins the match.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/03/2025 between Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.56% for a win of Leipzig against Borussia Dortmund with odds of 2.6 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund is 21.88% with odds of 3.81 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 37.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Borussia Dortmund vs Leipzig with odds of 2.88 at Betfair.

Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Form

Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6
Leipzig
Leipzig
39 25 10 9 6 6
10
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
35 25 10 5 10 6

Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund Last Matches

Leipzig
Leipzig Last matches
W D D W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
0 :  0
Leipzig

1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  2
1 Fsv Mainz 05

26 Feb 2025 - DFB Pokal

Leipzig
1 :  0
Wolfsburg

23 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  2
Heidenheim

14 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
0 :  0
Leipzig

9 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  0
St. Pauli
W D W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  2
1 Fsv Mainz 05

26 Feb 2025 - DFB Pokal

Leipzig
1 :  0
Wolfsburg

23 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  2
Heidenheim

9 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  0
St. Pauli

25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

22 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Leipzig
2 :  1
Sporting Lisbon
L D L D D D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
0 :  0
Leipzig

14 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
0 :  0
Leipzig

1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  0
Leipzig

29 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
1 :  0
Leipzig

18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Bochum
3 :  3
Leipzig

15 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
2 :  1
Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund Last matches
D W W D L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

12 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Lille
1 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  1
Augsburg

4 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  1
Lille

1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
6 :  0
Union Berlin

19 Feb 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  0
Sporting Lisbon
W L D W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  1
Augsburg

4 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  1
Lille

22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
6 :  0
Union Berlin

19 Feb 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  0
Sporting Lisbon

8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  2
Stuttgart

29 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  1
Shakhtar Donetsk
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Lille
1 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Bochum
2 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

11 Feb 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
0 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
1 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

21 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Bologna
2 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Leipzig

67 %

Draw

0 %

Borussia Dortmund

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
67%
BTTS
2.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

2 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  1
Leipzig

27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
4 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

9 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  3
Leipzig

5 Apr 2023 - DFB Pokal

Leipzig
2 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

3 Mar 2023 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  1
Leipzig

10 Sep 2022 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
3 :  0
Borussia Dortmund
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Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund last Lineups

Leipzig

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
P. Gulacsi
3
L. Geertruida
4
W. Orban
5
E. Bitshiabu
17
R. Baku
18
A. Vermeeren
44
K. Kampl
22
D. Raum
11
L. Openda
10
X. Simons
30
B. Sesko
9
S. Guirassy
14
M. Beier
10
J. Brandt
27
K. Adeyemi
23
E. Can
20
M. Sabitzer
26
J. Ryerson
4
N. Schlotterbeck
3
W. Anton
13
P. Gross
1
G. Kobel

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Borussia Dortmund

Missing players

Leipzig
Leipzig
Defender

B. Henrichs

Midfielder

A. Ouedraogo

X. Schlager

Forward

A. Nusa

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Defender

D. Svensson

Midfielder

F. Nmecha

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Leipzig
CD Huachipato Borussia Dortmund
Top Goalscorer
Slovenia B. Sesko (17 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
S. Guirassy (24 Goals)
Best assists
Belgium L. Openda (7 Assists)
Best assists
Germany P. Gross (11 Assists)

Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund Stats in Bundesliga

Leipzig
Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
40%
Victories
40%
36%
Draw
20%
24%
Defeats
40%
2.88
Total goals per match
3.36
1.56
Goals scored per match
1.8
1.32
Goals conceded per match
1.56
56%
Over 2.5
64%
44%
Under 2.5
36%
52%
BTTS
68%
48%
No goals conceded
20%

Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund Key Points

  1. Leipzig have won five of their last eight home matches in all competitions.
  2. Leipzig won five of their last seven Bundesliga matches against Dortmund.
  3. In the Bundesliga, Dortmund lost six of their last ten league games.
  4. Dortmund lost seven of their last 11 away league matches.
Up to $150 to bet on Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund! 

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Our Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Leipzig won this encounter last year 4-1 and will hope to repeat the dose to avenge the 2-1 defeat in the reverse fixture. Only four points separate these teams, who have certainly struggled to live up to their ambitions. That said, Leipzig have had extra time to prepare for this match, while Dortmund had to play in the Champions League midweek. Despite their European upsurge, Dortmund remain vulnerable in the league, and that could tell in this trip. Our Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is Leipzig wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Leipzig wins the match

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
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