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Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
by Kennedy Kechula | in Bundesliga Predictions
Leipzig aims to consolidate their top-four spot in the Bundesliga when they host Borussia Dortmund on Saturday. The hosts are the favorites in the top-four race, holding a two-point advantage ahead of this game. At the moment, Leipzig sit in fourth place, one spot ahead of Dortmund.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 3.75 | 2.5 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.5 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.6 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.62 | 5.03 | 4.98 |
|
|
1.62 | 5.03 | 4.98 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.84 | 5.3 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.84 | 5.3 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.8 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.64 | 4.84 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.7 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.01 | 21 | 67 |
|
|
1.02 | 21 | 111 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.33 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.58 | 5 | 5 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.75 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.03 | 21 | 46 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/04/2024 between Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.79% for a win of Leipzig against Borussia Dortmund with odds of 2.5 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund is 15.79% with odds of 21 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Borussia Dortmund vs Leipzig with odds of 111 at Unibet.
Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leipzig Borussia Dortmund Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 51.79% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 51.86% | 6.4 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 42.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Leipzig/Leipzig | 22.72% | 2.35 at Betsson |
Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Form
Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
65 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 38 |
|
5
|
63 | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Feb 2024 - Champions League
4 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Mar 2024 - Champions League
2 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Apr 2024 - Champions League
13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Apr 2024 - Champions League
6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Apr 2024 - Champions League
6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Mar 2024 - Champions League
25 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Apr 2024 - Champions League
30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
2 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Feb 2024 - Champions League
Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2023 - DFB Pokal
3 Mar 2023 - Bundesliga
10 Sep 2022 - Bundesliga
2 Apr 2022 - Bundesliga
6 Nov 2021 - Bundesliga
Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund: Form Analysis
Leipzig have been on a good run in recent times and come here off a crucial 2-1 victory over Heidenheim. This win was thanks to Lois Openda’s 85th minute goal after Nikola Donevan’s equalizer. Benjamin Sesko had given Leipzig a first half lead and Openda’s goal ensured they registered a third straight win. That win further stretched Leipzig’s unbeaten run to eight matches, six of them being wins. The hosts have only suffered defeat once in the last 10 matches, that coming against former champions Bayern Munich. An outstanding run at home is another good quality that Leipzig carry here. They are unbeaten in the last five home league games, and kept clean sheets in all of them. In those five home league games, they managed four wins, taking their tally of wins at home in the league this season to 10. Stretching all the way to last season, Leipzig have suffered just two defeats in their last 19 home matches in the league.
Borussia Dortmund dropped two key points in their race for the top four after drawing 1-1 with Bayer Leverkusen. Just when it seemed Dortmund would be the first to beat Leverkusen this season, they conceded in stoppage time at home. There isn’t time to mourn the dropped points; Dortmund must dust off and stand up to Leipzig. Like it was in their previous game, this will be another tough outing. In the context of their head-to-head records, Dortmund are poor. They have just a win in their last six meetings with Leipzig. Five of those six matches ended in defeat, including the reverse meeting in December which ended 3-2 in Leipzig’s favor. While there’s emphasis for a top-four finish, Dortmund can also hope for Champions League football via winning this year’s competition. They are among the four semi-finalists in the premier club competition in Europe.
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Leipzig against Borussia Dortmund Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 2 - 2
Formation : 4 - 5 - 1
Leipzig & Borussia Dortmund Squad Analysis
Dortmund will be without Ian Maatsen and Emre Can for this crucial game. This will definitely call on adjustments on the defensive front. However, Dortmund have a serious weapon for this game in the shape of Marcel Sabitzer. The former Leipzig man comes to this game in superb form, with his ever-increasing threat in attack. He has three goals and three assists in his last three games and will be an automatic starter. This will be some consolation for Dortmund, who will miss the injured Sebastian Haller. On the other hand, one name everyone expects to see on the Leipzig team sheet is Lois Openda’s. The forward has been solid in recent times, and even got them the winner last time out. That was his eighth goal in 10 games and he will be keen to extend this form at home to Dortmund.
Most goals and assists
Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
L. Openda
(28 Goals)
N. Fullkrug
(15 Goals)
, 
D. Malen
(15 Goals)
D. Raum
(12 Assists)
,
X. Simons
(12 Assists)
J. Brandt
(14 Assists)
Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund Key Points
- Leipzig are coming from three straight wins
- Dortmund have lost twice in their last five matches
- Dortmund lost five of the last six meetings with Leipzig
- Leipzig are unbeaten in their last eight matches, winning six
- Leipzig have suffered only two losses in their last 19 home league matches
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Our Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Our prediction for Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund is for Leipzig to win. Dortmund rarely enter this fixture as favorites and here they come on a shaky run. They face a Leipzig side that has done well in recent times and that makes it tougher. Leipzig have a good run at home too, and have been great defensively, which gives them an edge.
Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Dortmund haven't kept a clean sheet in their last five matches and hunting for one here could be daunting. They haven't kept one in their last nine meetings with Leipzig either. However, they failed to score in just two of their last nine meetings with Leipzig. With this in mind, we will back both teams to score, as our second prediction.
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Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund match : Frequently asked questions
The Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund game will be played on Saturday 27 April from 1330hrs GMT
The Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund game will be staged at the Red Bull Arena in Leipzig
Ian Maatsen and Emre Can are suspended for the Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund game.
Lois Openda will head into the Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund game having scored 23 Bundesliga goals this season.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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