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Leipzig vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
RB Leipzig will be hoping to keep their Champions League playoff hopes alive when they play host to Aston Villa at Red Bull Arena on Tuesday night. Die Roten Bullen are third-last in the League Phase of the competition while the Villans are in ninth place after five rounds. Check out our match prediction below.
This match marks the first-ever meeting between these sides in Europe, though Leipzig have lost each of their last four matches against English opponents in the Champions League. For Villa, this will be the first time they will face German opposition in Europe since 2008 when they lost 3-1 to Hamburg.
There is literally nothing to separate these two sides in terms of the latest odds, with bookmakers currently divided over a clear favourite in this contest. Let’s crunch the numbers and key stats and see if we can find a betting angle in this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leipzig v Aston Villa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.3 | 2.38 |
|
|
3.2 | 2.37 | 2.6 |
|
|
3.08 | 3.38 | 2.44 |
|
|
3.08 | 3.38 | 2.44 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.3 | 2.4 |
|
|
3.08 | 3.32 | 2.34 |
|
|
3.08 | 3.32 | 2.34 |
|
|
3 | 3.4 | 2.42 |
|
|
3.04 | 3.32 | 2.36 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.4 | 2.41 |
|
|
3 | 3.2 | 2.38 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.45 | 2.38 |
|
|
3 | 3.25 | 2.38 |
|
|
3.15 | 3.32 | 2.4 |
|
|
3 | 3.25 | 2.38 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.35 | 2.35 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leipzig and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the Leipzig vs Aston Villa match is: RB Leipzig under 1.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/12/2024 between Leipzig and Aston Villa in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.49% for a win of Leipzig against Aston Villa with odds of 3.2 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leipzig vs Aston Villa is 17.21% with odds of 3.45 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Leipzig with odds of 2.6 at Ladbrokes.
Leipzig - Aston Villa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leipzig Aston Villa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 53.49% | 3.2 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.33% | 1.99 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 41.67% | 1.73 at William Hill |
| Half-time / Full-time : Leipzig/Leipzig | 20.77% | 5.1 at Betsson |
Leipzig vs Aston Villa Form
Leipzig and Aston Villa's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
|
34
|
0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -7 |
Leipzig and Aston Villa Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
4 Dec 2024 - DFB Pokal
30 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Dec 2024 - DFB Pokal
30 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
26 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
29 Sep 2024 - Premier League
Leipzig vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Leipzig - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
RB Leipzig’s Champions League playoff hopes are hanging in the balance, and a loss here will almost certainly end their chances of progressing in the competition.
Die Roten Bullen have lost all five matches to date, making them one of only three sides yet to earn a point after five matches along with Slovan Bratislava and Young Boys.
Another defeat in this match will mark the hosts' longest-ever losing streak in the Champions League, as well as the longest by a German team since Bayer Leverkusen back in 2003.
RB Leipzig have only scored four goals in this competition!
Meanwhile, after storming out the blocks with three wins on the bounce upon returning to Europe, Aston Villa have hit a stumbling block and are now looking to avoid a third match without victory.
The Villans played out a goalless draw at home to Juventus last time out, which came during a spell of eight matches without a win for the club across all competitions (W0 D3 L5).
However, the visitors did manage to snap that run at the start of the month, beating Brentford 3-1 in the Premier League before taking down Southampton 1-0 three days later.
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Leipzig against Aston Villa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
D. Raum
E. Bitshiabu
C. Lukeba
MidfielderE. Elmas
A. Ouedraogo
ForwardX. Simons
Y. Poulsen
J. Ramsey
Leipzig & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
RB Leipzig have a fairly lengthy casualty list at present, featuring as many as seven players ruled out for this match.
In defence, Leipzig will have to make do without Castello Lukeba (hamstring), El Chadaille Bitshiabu (muscle) and David Raum (ankle).
Midfield absentees include Assan Ouedraogo (hamstring), Eljif Elmas (muscle) and Xavi Simons (ankle), while in attack, Yussuf Poulsen is ruled out with a hamstring strain.
Emiliano Martinez has kept four clean sheets in five Champions League matches!
Aston Villa were dealt an injury blow in their weekend victory over Southampton, with Leon Bailey sustaining a hamstring injury, which Unai Emery said will likely cause him to miss this match.
If the Jamaican international is unable to return in time, he will join long-term absentee Kortney Hause, who is still on the mend from knee surgery, in a watching brief for this one.
Jacob Ramsey missed the match against the Saints with a hamstring strain and is flagged as a doubt for this trip.
Most goals and assists
Leipzig
Aston Villa
L. Openda
(9 Goals)
, 
B. Sesko
(9 Goals)
J. Duran
(10 Goals)
A. Nusa
(5 Assists)
,
L. Openda
(5 Assists)
Y. Tielemans
(6 Assists)
Leipzig - Aston Villa Key Points
- RB Leipzig have failed to score in two of their last three Champions League games.
- RB Leipzig have only scored over 1.5 goals in one of their five matches in this competition.
- Aston Villa have kept clean sheets in three of their last four games across all competitions.
- Aston Villa have only conceded one goal in their five Champions League matches.
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Our Leipzig vs Aston Villa Prediction
While RB Leipzig have been doing fairly well in the Bundesliga this season, their form in Europe has been well below expectations and their growing injury list certainly does not help matters.
Aston Villa, on the other hand, will know that another positive result here will put them in a very strong position to qualify for the next round, and we feel that they may prioritise keeping a clean sheet in this one. Our RB Leipzig vs Aston Villa prediction is RB Leipzig under 1.5.
Leipzig vs Aston Villa - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 3.5
RB Leipzig have failed to score in two of their last three Champions League games, while all five of Aston Villa’s matches in this competition have ended with under 3.5 goals. Additionally, the visitors have only conceded in one of their five games to date.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leipzig Aston Villa
| Leipzig vs Aston Villa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 2.8 | 3 | +7.1% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.3 | 0% |
| Aston Villa wins | 2.5 | 2.38 | -4.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leipzig is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 35.7% and is now 33.3% (-2.4%)
Use the Leipzig vs. Aston Villa game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
Are you looking to use the match between Leipzig and Aston Villa in an upcoming accumulator bet? If so, you'll want to join Vbet to place that acca. There is an odds bonus of up to 100% when you place accumulators which contain at least three selections that are all odds of 1.3 or bigger. Look at the other games in the Champions League and start to build those accas!
Leipzig vs Aston Villa match : Frequently asked questions
The UEFA Champions League match between RB Leipzig and Aston Villa will be played on December 10 at 20:00 GMT.
The UEFA Champions League match between RB Leipzig and Aston Villa will take place at Red Bull Arena in Leipzig.
The UEFA Champions League match between RB Leipzig and Aston Villa will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the UEFA Champions League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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