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Leipzig vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
by Sridhar in Bundesliga Predictions
Two of the best defensive units in Bundesliga will be on view in matchday 24 as Leipzig host Mainz on Saturday. This match at the Red Bull Arena Leipzig between the sixth-placed Die Roten Bullen and the fifth-placed Die Nullfünfer comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
Both these teams are on 38 points, with Mainz boasting a better goal difference. Leipzig won 1-0 at home against Wolfsburg on Wednesday to move into the DFB Pokal seeding. The hosts started 2025 impressively, remaining unbeaten in six league matches. However, five of those ended in draws, including a 2-2 stalemate at home last weekend.
The spate of draws hasn't stopped their home record, as Leipzig won three of their last five home league games. In fact, only one team could win in the league at this venue this season.
Mainz won 2-0 at home against St. Pauli last weekend, making it seven points from their last three league games. All those matches saw them keep a clean sheet, extending Mainz's tryst with an impressive defensive record. They have conceded only 24 goals this season, with only Bayern boasting better numbers.
All that said, three defeats in their last four away league games put Mainz in a tight spot ahead of this trip.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leipzig v 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 3.6 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.6 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.15 | 2.6 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.89 | 3.92 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.89 | 3.92 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.74 | 3.76 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.74 | 3.76 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.75 | 3.85 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.74 | 3.76 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.7 | 3.85 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.86 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.6 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.7 | 3.85 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.6 | 4 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.7 | 3.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leipzig and 1 Fsv Mainz 05?
Our prediction for the Leipzig vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/03/2025 between Leipzig and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.08% for a win of Leipzig against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 2.15 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leipzig vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is 24.15% with odds of 3.89 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.77% chance ⭐ for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Leipzig with odds of 4 at Betfair.
Leipzig vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Form
Leipzig and 1 Fsv Mainz 05's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
38 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 13 |
|
6
|
38 | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
Leipzig and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2025 - DFB Pokal
23 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2025 - DFB Pokal
23 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
12 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
8 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
Leipzig vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
4 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga
1 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga
8 Oct 2022 - Bundesliga
8 Jan 2022 - Bundesliga
Leipzig vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Missing players
B. Henrichs
MidfielderA. Ouedraogo
X. Schlager
ForwardA. Nusa
Y. Poulsen
S. Bell
Most goals and assists
Leipzig
1 Fsv Mainz 05
B. Sesko
(17 Goals)
J. Burkardt
(14 Goals)
L. Openda
(7 Assists)
A. Caci
(5 Assists)
Leipzig and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Stats in Bundesliga
Leipzig - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Key Points
- Leipzig saw under 2.5 goals in five of their last six competitive matches.
- Three of Leipzig’s last four league matches produced fewer than three goals.
- In seven of Mainz’s last eight league matches, two or fewer goals have been scored.
- Mainz have produced fewer than three goals in three of their last four away league matches.
- The last three league matches produced fewer than three goals each time.
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Our Leipzig vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction
Mainz have one of the best defensive records with only 24 goals conceded, and only Bayern Munich have a better record this season. Leipzig aren't far behind, conceding only 31 goals so far in the league campaign. Most of the recent matches involving Leipzig and Mainz have also been low scorers. The return fixture also ended in a 2-0 win for Leipzig, whose recent matches in the league haven't been exciting in terms of goals. That's why our Leipzig vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 prediction is under 2.5.
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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