England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions
Both of these clubs need points from this match but for very different reasons. Leicester City only have Southampton below them in the Premier League and on Monday evening host fifth-placed Newcastle.Can the Foxes beat the Magpies? Here's our match prediction.
Leicester City began the weekend 12 points from safety, virtually an unlucky 13 due to their appalling -42 goal difference. They lost at Manchester City in midweek and that was their seventh consecutive league loss, all without them scoring a single goal. Their next three league games are against clubs currently in the top eight and it is going to take a miracle to see them avoid relegation.
Newcastle United have already won the Carabao Cup but want more than that this season. They still have a good chance of qualifying for next season's Champions League, especially if five qualifihcation positions become available. Midweek saw them recover from their lengthy celebrations to get a 2-1 home win over Brentford. They will be hopeful of earning another three points from this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leicester v Newcastle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.5 | 4.5 | 1.45 |
|
|
7 | 4.5 | 1.5 |
|
|
5.5 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
|
|
7 | 4.65 | 1.49 |
|
|
7 | 4.65 | 1.49 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leicester and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Leicester vs Newcastle match is: Newcastle to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/04/2025 between Leicester and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 19.24% for a win of Leicester against Newcastle with odds of 7.7 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leicester vs Newcastle is 6.16% with odds of 4.9 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 74.6% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Leicester with odds of 1.7 at Ladbrokes.
Leicester - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leicester Newcastle Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 74.6% | 1.7 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.91% | 1.89 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 33.75% | 1.97 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Newcastle | 31.3% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Leicester vs Newcastle Form
Leicester and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
62 | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
|
19
|
18 | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | -49 |
Leicester and Newcastle Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Premier League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
27 Feb 2025 - Premier League
21 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Premier League
21 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
15 Jan 2025 - Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
27 Feb 2025 - Premier League
7 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
26 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Carabao Cup
10 Mar 2025 - Premier League
2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
5 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Carabao Cup
10 Mar 2025 - Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
Leicester vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 May 2023 - Premier League
10 Jan 2023 - Carabao Cup
26 Dec 2022 - Premier League
17 Apr 2022 - Premier League
12 Dec 2021 - Premier League
Leicester - Newcastle: Form Analysis
It's looking extremely bleak for Leicester City. With eight games to play, they probably need to double their current points tally of 17 to even have a chance of survival. That looks an impossible task considering their total lack of goals.
Leicester have a serious goal drought.
Only in one of their last ten Premier League games have City scored. With 23 goals conceded in those matches, City really are in deep trouble. Home form has produced just two league wins this season with the last seven all lost and again, no goals scored.
Newcastle United are already guaranteed European football next season. The Magpies have won three of their last four league fixtures, most recently beating Brentford 2-1 at home. On the road, United have won five of their last seven Premier League matches.
The other two away games on that list were lost but at Liverpool and Manchester City. The reverse fixture between these two clubs saw Newcastle win 4-0 at home.
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Players list
M. Hermansen
DefenderW. Faes
C. Coady
L. Thomas
R. Pereira
S. Mavididi
MidfielderW. Ndidi
B. Soumare
J. Monga
ForwardB. Facundo
J. Vardy
N. Pope
DefenderE. Krafth
F. Schar
D. Burn
T. Livramento
MidfielderS. Longstaff
S. Tonali
W. Osula
ForwardL. Miley
C. Wilson
H. Barnes
Substitutes
J. Stolarczyk
DefenderC. Okoli
R. Pereira
O. Skipp
B. Facundo
B. De Cordova-Reid
J. Ayew
J. Monga
S. Mavididi
J. Ruddy
M. Dubravka
DefenderM. Targett
E. Krafth
L. Miley
S. Longstaff
S. Neave
W. Osula
C. Wilson
Missing players
I. Fatawu
J. Lascelles
S. Botman
L. Hall
ForwardA. Gordon
Leicester & Newcastle Squad Analysis
Leicester need all the help they can get to try and somehow get some points on the board. Jamie Vardy is their top scorer but the former England international has only scored seven goals and no one else has managed more than four.
Vardy is expected to start this match against Newcastle United and City have never needed more some goals from their captain. Who will create the chances though as Harry Winks didn't play against Manchester City and is a doubt for Monday's match.
Isak is doubtful for this match.
Alexander Isak has 20 league goals this season and that's just five fewer than Leicester have managed. The Swedish striker is a doubt for this match and the hope is that the fact this isn't being played unti Monday may give him enough time to recover.
He's the only United player who is in double figures for goals with their second highest scorer being Anthony Gordon who is also doubtful for this match. He has been missing games due to suspension in recent weeks.
Harvey Barnes has been a capable replacement and would relish the chance to play against his former club. He scored 45 goals for City and they probably wish he was still with them now.
Most goals and assists
Leicester
Newcastle
J. Vardy
(7 Goals)
A. Isak
(25 Goals)
W. Ndidi
(4 Assists)
J. Murphy
(12 Assists)
Leicester - Newcastle Key Points
- Leicester lost the reverse fixture 4-0.
- Leicester have lost their last seven home league goals with 18 goals conceded.
- Leicester have failed to score in those seven home league games. They last scored a home league goal on December 8, 2024.
- Newcastle have won five of their last seven away league matches.
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Our Leicester vs Newcastle Prediction
How do you survive relegation if far too many goals are being conceded and scoring your own just doesn't happen. Leicester really are just counting down the days until their relegation is confirmed.
Newcastle United will hope that sides around them don't have a good weekend. If not, then the pressure to get three points from this game will intensify. They are in good form and not had a slump after their Carabao Cup win. Our main Leicester v Newcastle prediction is Newcastle to win.
Leicester vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions
Second half to have the most goals scored
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leicester Newcastle
| Leicester vs Newcastle | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester wins | 5.75 | 6.5 | +13.0% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4.5 | +3.9% |
| Newcastle wins | 1.5 | 1.45 | -3.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Newcastle is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 69.0% (2.3%)
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Leicester vs Newcastle match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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