Europe - Conference League
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by Steve Ashfield in Conference League Predictions
Chelsea have an exciting few months ahead of them. Thursday sees them travel to Poland to take on Legia Warsaw in the first leg of their Europa Conference League quarter-final. Can the Blues get an away win? Here's our match prediction.
The Premier League side have a good chance of securing a place in next season's Champions League. Once the domestic season ends, they also have the FIFA Club World Cup to compete in. They will hope to head to the USA as Conference League winners. The winner of this tie goes into a semi-final where they will face either Rapid Vienna or Djurgardens for a place in the final.
Legia Warsaw have plenty of work to do to qualify for European competition next season, being eight points behind the final qualifying position. They can change all that by winning the Conference League but they face a tough task getting past Chelsea.
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The Best Betting Odds for Legia Warszawa v Chelsea Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.25 | 4.33 | 1.55 |
|
|
6 | 4.33 | 1.53 |
|
|
5 | 4 | 1.55 |
|
|
5.3 | 4.1 | 1.52 |
|
|
5.8 | 4.41 | 1.57 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Legia Warszawa and Chelsea?
Our prediction for the Legia Warszawa vs Chelsea match is: Chelsea to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/04/2025 between Legia Warszawa and Chelsea in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.54% for a win of Legia Warszawa against Chelsea with odds of 6 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Legia Warszawa vs Chelsea is 24.81% with odds of 4.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Legia Warszawa with odds of 5.45 at Betsson.
Legia Warszawa - Chelsea Prediction and Best Odds:
| Legia Warszawa Chelsea Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Legia Warszawa wins | 54.54% | 6 at Betfred |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.83% | 1.91 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 47.62% | 1.8 at Vbet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Legia Warszawa | 25.82% | 13 at Betfair |
Legia Warszawa vs Chelsea Form
Legia Warszawa and Chelsea Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa
2 Apr 2025 - Polish Cup
28 Mar 2025 - Ekstraklasa
16 Mar 2025 - Ekstraklasa
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
10 Mar 2025 - Ekstraklasa
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Mar 2025 - Ekstraklasa
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
2 Mar 2025 - Ekstraklasa
26 Feb 2025 - Polish Cup
15 Feb 2025 - Ekstraklasa
2 Feb 2025 - Ekstraklasa
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa
2 Apr 2025 - Polish Cup
16 Mar 2025 - Ekstraklasa
10 Mar 2025 - Ekstraklasa
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
22 Feb 2025 - Ekstraklasa
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
3 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Premier League
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2025 - Premier League
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
3 Feb 2025 - Premier League
20 Jan 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Premier League
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
14 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
Legia Warszawa - Chelsea: Form Analysis
Chelsea are fourth in the English Premier League with seven games remaining. A return to the top European club competition is looking possible but they need to get back into winning ways. The weekend saw them held to a goalless draw at Brentford.
The Blues have only lost one of their last seven games, a defeat at Arsenal in mid-March. In the Conference League, the Londoners have played ten games and won nine of them. Their only loss was in the away leg of the play-off round against Servette.
Chelsea bid to make it nine wins in a row.
They finished top of the league phase, winning all six of their games with 26 goals scored and just five conceded. In the last 16, Chelsea beat FC Copenhagen 3-1 on aggregate and have won eight successive games.
Legia Warsaw ended the league phase in seventh position with four wins and two defeats. They won their first four games before losing to Lugano and Djurgardens. The last 16 saw them drawn against Molde. They needed extra time to secure a 4-3 aggregate victory.
The Militarians have a fight on their hands to win this tie and reach the last four but are unbeaten in their last eight home games.
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Legia Warszawa against Chelsea Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Legia Warszawa & Chelsea Squad Analysis
Chelsea are renowned for their squad rotation and that is likely to again happen for this Conference League game away at Legia Warsaw. The Blues have fielded a second-string team for this competition but that hasn't stopped them getting one excellent result after another.
Rested players will make their return.
It does seem that more priority is being given to this competition now we are at its business end. Cole Palmer was rested for the game against Brentord as was Nicholas Jackson, Levi Colwill, Pedro Neto and Marc Cucurella.
Chelsea will want to ensure they return home with at least a draw and have a far more experienced squad than that of the hosts. Playing for a draw is not their style though with plenty of goals having been scored by them on their Conference League travels this season.
It's a big game for Legia Warsaw but they didn't make wholesale changes at the weekend. They know how talented Chelsea's midfield and strikers are, Iand it is therefore not helpful that defenders Artur Jedlzejczyk and Jan Ziolkowski are both suspended for this game.
They will be looking for goals from Luquinhas who was on target twice at the weekend and is expected to start this match. Legia have scored at least twice in six of their last eight home games so Chelsea do need to be at their best in this game.
Most goals and assists
Legia Warszawa
Chelsea
B. Kapustka
(10 Goals)
, 
M. Gual
(10 Goals)
C. Palmer
(14 Goals)
R. Vinagre
(8 Assists)
C. Palmer
(8 Assists)
,
J. Sancho
(8 Assists)
, 
E. Fernandez
(8 Assists)
Legia Warszawa - Chelsea Key Points
- Chelsea have won their last eight Conference League games.
- Chelsea finished four points clear at the top of the league phase.
- Legia Warsaw have lost three of their last four games in this competition.
- Chelsea have scored 32 goals in this season's Conference League.
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Our Legia Warszawa vs Chelsea Prediction
Chelsea have been a dominant club in this season's Conference League even with all the team changes they make. They have won their last eight matches with the last four on the road being won with 11 goals and just three conceded. They scored at least twice in each of those four games.
Legia Warsaw made a bright start to the Conference League but have struggled in recent months with three of their last four games being lost. Our Legia Warsaw v Chelsea prediction is Chelsea to win.
Legia Warszawa vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Predictions
Second half to have most goals scored
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Legia Warszawa Chelsea
| Legia Warszawa vs Chelsea | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legia Warszawa wins | 5.5 | 5.25 | -4.5% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4.33 | 0% |
| Chelsea wins | 1.5 | 1.55 | +3.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Legia Warszawa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 18.2% and is now 19.0% (0.9%)
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Legia Warszawa vs Chelsea match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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