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Spain - Copa del Rey

Leganés
05/02/2025 15:00
Real Madrid

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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Leganés vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa del Rey

 by Sridhar | in Football Predictions

Real Madrid will look to bounce back from their recent loss as they travel to Leganes for a place in the semi-finals of the Copa del Rey. This match at the Estadio Municipal de Butarque on Wednesday comes with our prediction of over 2.5 goals.

This is a single-leg match, and the winner goes directly into the semi-finals. Leganes has already bested their second-round finish last year in the Copa del Rey and is looking to make it to the last four since 2017/18. Madrid is a 10-time champion and is looking to make it to the semis after a round of 16 exit last year.

Leganes lost 1-0 at home to Rayo Vallecano at the weekend, a result that ended their five-game unbeaten sequence. The hosts still remain closer to the bottom three, so ensuring survival could take prominence.

This will be the first home game of this year’s campaign for Leganes, having won the previous four matches on the ground. Madrid lost 1-0 to Espanyol last weekend, a result breaking their five-game winning sequence.

The tricky aspect for the visitors is the schedule of upcoming matches, as Atletico Madrid and Manchester City are likely to keep them distracted here.

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The Best Betting Odds for Leganés v Real Madrid Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
7 4.75 1.4
Betfred
7 4.5 1.4
Ladbrokes
5.5 3 1.67
1xbet
7.3 4.95 1.41
22bet
7.3 4.95 1.41
Betobet
7 4.7 1.37
Betwinner
7.2 4.92 1.41
LSbet
7.2 4.92 1.41
Stake
6.4 4.6 1.41
Melbet
6.8 4.78 1.43
Tonybet
7.2 5 1.42
Vbet
7.6 5.2 1.41
Betway
7 5 1.38
Unibet
6.75 4.9 1.42
Betfair
8 4.5 1.36
Betsson
7 5 1.44
William Hill
7.5 4.6 1.42
Check all Leganés vs Real Madrid odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leganés and Real Madrid?

Our prediction for the Leganés vs Real Madrid match is: over 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/02/2025 between Leganés and Real Madrid in Copa del Rey :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 21.4% for a win of Leganés against Real Madrid with odds of 8 at Betfair.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leganés vs Real Madrid is 16.53% with odds of 5.2 at Vbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 62.07% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs Leganés with odds of 1.67 at Ladbrokes.

Leganés vs Real Madrid Form

Leganés and Real Madrid Last Matches

Leganés
Leganés Last matches
W D W W D L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

31 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
0 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
Leganés

18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

Almería
2 :  3
Leganés

11 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  1
Leganés

5 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

Cartagena
1 :  2
Leganés
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
0 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Leganés
2 :  5
Villarreal

8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Leganés
0 :  3
Real Sociedad

24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga

Leganés
0 :  3
Real Madrid

9 Nov 2024 - LaLiga

Leganés
1 :  0
Sevilla
D W W D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
Leganés

15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

Almería
2 :  3
Leganés

11 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  1
Leganés

5 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

Cartagena
1 :  2
Leganés

15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
0 :  1
Leganés

4 Dec 2024 - Copa del Rey

CD Estepona
2 :  2
Leganés
Real Madrid
Real Madrid Last matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  0
Real Madrid

29 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Brest
0 :  3
Real Madrid

25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Valladolid
0 :  3
Real Madrid

22 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
5 :  1
Salzburg

19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Las Palmas

16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Madrid
5 :  2
Celta Vigo
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

22 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
5 :  1
Salzburg

19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Las Palmas

16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Madrid
5 :  2
Celta Vigo

12 Jan 2025 - Super Cup

Real Madrid
2 :  5
Barcelona

9 Jan 2025 - Super Cup

Real Madrid
3 :  0
Mallorca

22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  2
Sevilla
D W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  0
Real Madrid

29 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Brest
0 :  3
Real Madrid

25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Valladolid
0 :  3
Real Madrid

6 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

Club Deportiva Minera
0 :  5
Real Madrid

3 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  2
Real Madrid

14 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  3
Real Madrid

Leganés vs Real Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Leganés

17 %

Draw

33 %

Real Madrid

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
33%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga

Leganés
0 :  3
Real Madrid

19 Jul 2020 - LaLiga

Leganés
2 :  2
Real Madrid

30 Oct 2019 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
5 :  0
Leganés

15 Apr 2019 - LaLiga

Leganés
1 :  1
Real Madrid

16 Jan 2019 - Copa del Rey

Leganés
1 :  0
Real Madrid

9 Jan 2019 - Copa del Rey

Real Madrid
3 :  0
Leganés
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Leganés vs Real Madrid last Lineups

Leganés

Formation : 5 - 4 - 1

13
M. Dmitrovic
2
A. Altimira
12
V. Rosier
6
S. Gonzalez
22
M. Nastasic
11
J. Cruz
10
D. Raba
17
Y. Neyou
8
S. Cisse
7
Oscar
23
M. El Haddadi
7
V. Junior
9
K. Mbappe
5
J. Bellingham
19
D. Ceballos
8
F. Valverde
11
Rodrygo
20
F. Garcia
22
A. Rudiger
14
A. Tchouameni
17
L. Vazquez
1
T. Courtois

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Real Madrid

Missing players

Leganés
Leganés
Forward

E. Franquesa

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

D. Carvajal

E. Militao

Midfielder

E. Camavinga

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Leganés
CD Huachipato Real Madrid
Top Goalscorer
Spain J. Cruz (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (18 Goals)
Best assists
Spain D. Raba (4 Assists)
Best assists
England J. Bellingham (9 Assists)

Leganés - Real Madrid Key Points

  1. In eight of Madrid’s last nine away competitive matches, there have been at least three goals scored.
  2. Madrid saw over 2.5 goals scored in 14 of their last 15 matches in all competitions.
  3. These sides played earlier in the season, a game that Madrid won 3-0.
  4. Including that match, in three of their last five home games in all competitions, Leganes conceded at least three goals.
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Our Leganés vs Real Madrid Prediction

Leganes is looking to make it to the Copa del Rey semi-finals for the first time since 2017/18, but league priorities may pull them down. They are still closer to the relegation zone, although three wins from the last six matches suggest they could be up for a fight here. Madrid endured a shocking defeat to Espanyol that cut into their lead at the top of La Liga standings. With games against Atletico Madrid and Manchester City in the wait, the visitors may look to a morale-boosting win. Our Leganes v Real Madrid prediction is over 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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Leganés vs Real Madrid Prediction
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