Spain - LaLiga
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by Sridhar in LaLiga Predictions
Leganes will hope to complete a season double against Barcelona as the sides meet in La Liga matchday 31 fixture on Saturday. This match between the 18th-placed Los Pepineros and La Liga leaders Barcelona comes with our prediction of over 2.5 goals.
Ahead of this weekend’s fixtures, Leganes are two points behind safety. Barcelona’s 67 points put them four points ahead of Real Madrid in the race for the La Liga title.
Leganes drew 1-1 at home against Osasuna last week, ending a three-game losing sequence but extending their winless sequence. Their poor scoring record seems to work against them, as Leganes have scored just 29 goals, with only Real Valladolid scoring fewer.
The record at home isn’t any great, as Leganes lost three and drew two of their six recent matches at this venue.
Barcelona defeated Borussia Dortmund 4-0 on Wednesday in the Champions League quarter-final first leg. That has given them a great chance to qualify for the semis and not be too worried about the upcoming second leg.
The Catalans wouldn’t want to drop more points in the league after doing so in a 1-1 home draw against Betis last week. It came on the back of nine consecutive league wins, which included three straight victories on the road.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leganés v Barcelona Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9 | 6.25 | 1.27 |
|
|
11 | 6 | 1.25 |
|
|
10 | 6 | 1.25 |
|
|
10 | 6.4 | 1.24 |
|
|
9.67 | 6.98 | 1.28 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leganés and Barcelona?
Our prediction for the Leganés vs Barcelona match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2025 between Leganés and Barcelona in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 8.91% for a win of Leganés against Barcelona with odds of 12 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leganés vs Barcelona is 14.82% with odds of 6.98 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 76.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Barcelona vs Leganés with odds of 1.3 at Betfair.
Leganés - Barcelona Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leganés Barcelona Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona wins | 76.27% | 1.3 at Betfair |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.77% | |
| Both Team To Score | 50.83% | 1.87 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time: Barcelona/Barcelona | 29.44% | 1.91 at Betfair |
Leganés vs Barcelona Form
Leganés and Barcelona's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
67 | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 54 |
|
19
|
28 | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -18 |
Leganés and Barcelona Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
5 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
31 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
2 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
27 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
27 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
Leganés vs Barcelona Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
16 Jun 2020 - LaLiga
30 Jan 2020 - Copa del Rey
23 Nov 2019 - LaLiga
20 Jan 2019 - LaLiga
26 Sep 2018 - LaLiga
Leganés against Barcelona Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
E. Franquesa
M. Ter Stegen
MidfielderM. Bernal
M. Casado
D. Olmo
Most goals and assists
Leganés
Barcelona
D. Raba
(7 Goals)
R. Lewandowski
(36 Goals)
D. Raba
(4 Assists)
,
Oscar
(4 Assists)
L. Yamal
(14 Assists)
Leganés and Barcelona Stats in LaLiga
Leganés - Barcelona Key Points
- The last eight league games featuring Leganes averaged 3.38 goals per game and only Barcelona have averaged more.
- Barcelona, in the same period, have averaged 3.50 goals per game.
- Barcelona’s La Liga matches this season averaged 3.73 goals per fixture, the highest in the division.
- In six of their last ten fixtures at home in all competitions, Leganes have seen at least three goals scored.
- Four of Barcelona’s last five La Liga fixtures have seen at least three goals scored.
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Our Leganés vs Barcelona Prediction
Barcelona’s matches have been goal magnets this season, with their average of 3.73 goals per fixture the highest in La Liga. Leganes have also seen some high-scoring matches, with their average among the highest in the last eight matchdays. Barcelona are coming off a 4-0 win over Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League and will hope to keep that scoring momentum going. Leganes have conceded exactly three goals in three of their last five home league games. That’s why our Leganes vs Barcelona prediction is over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leganés Barcelona
| Leganés vs Barcelona | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leganés wins | 9 | 9 | 0% |
| Draw | 5.25 | 6.25 | +19.0% |
| Barcelona wins | 1.33 | 1.27 | -4.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Barcelona is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 78.7% (3.6%)
Use the Leganés vs. Barcelona game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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