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Leganés vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Sridhar in LaLiga Predictions
Atletico Madrid will look to extend their stay at the top of La Liga standings when they travel to Leganes in matchday 20 on Saturday. This match at the Estadio Municipal Butarque between the 16th-placed Los Pepineros and the top-placed Colchoneros comes with our prediction of an away win.
Leganes has 19 points and is just three above the relegation zone, while Atletico has 44 points and is one above Real Madrid. Leganes won 3-2 away against Almeria in the Copa del Rey on Wednesday for a third win in five matches.
Their league form has been all over the place, though, with just one win (D2, L3) in their last six matches. All three defeats came at this venue, which puts a question mark over their chances here.
Atletico is also coming off a win, a 4-0 thrashing of Elche in the Copa del Rey on Wednesday. That was their 15th consecutive win, eight of which came in the league. As they look to stay atop the standings, Atletico will be aware that their slender one-point lead doesn’t give them too much leeway of dropping points.
The visitors won the reverse fixture and have won nine in a row on the road, something which gives them hope of extending their stay at the top with a win.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leganés v Atletico Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7 | 4 | 1.5 |
|
|
8 | 4 | 1.44 |
|
|
7 | 4 | 1.48 |
|
|
7.9 | 4.38 | 1.51 |
|
|
7.9 | 4.38 | 1.51 |
|
|
7.25 | 4 | 1.53 |
|
|
7.6 | 4.22 | 1.46 |
|
|
7.6 | 4.22 | 1.46 |
|
|
7.6 | 4.4 | 1.48 |
|
|
7.6 | 4.22 | 1.46 |
|
|
7.8 | 4.5 | 1.47 |
|
|
7.5 | 4 | 1.53 |
|
|
7.5 | 4 | 1.47 |
|
|
7.4 | 4.1 | 1.53 |
|
|
7.5 | 4.2 | 1.45 |
|
|
8.5 | 4.25 | 1.41 |
|
|
8 | 4 | 1.44 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leganés and Atletico Madrid?
Our prediction for the Leganés vs Atletico Madrid match is: Atletico Madrid wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/01/2025 between Leganés and Atletico Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 20.95% for a win of Leganés against Atletico Madrid with odds of 8.5 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leganés vs Atletico Madrid is 10.7% with odds of 4.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 68.35% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Leganés with odds of 1.53 at Betobet.
Leganés - Atletico Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leganés Atletico Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 68.35% | 1.53 at Betobet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.33% | 2.22 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 38.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atletico Madrid | 31.94% | 4 at Bet365 |
Leganés vs Atletico Madrid Form
Leganés and Atletico Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
53 | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 26 |
|
16
|
24 | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | -13 |
Leganés and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
11 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
5 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
27 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
10 Oct 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
11 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
5 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
4 Dec 2024 - Copa del Rey
30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
12 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
23 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
5 Dec 2024 - Copa del Rey
30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
Leganés vs Atletico Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
26 Jan 2020 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2019 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2019 - LaLiga
3 Nov 2018 - LaLiga
28 Feb 2018 - LaLiga
Leganés against Atletico Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
E. Franquesa
Most goals and assists
Leganés
Atletico Madrid
J. Cruz
(4 Goals)
J. Alvarez
(15 Goals)
D. Raba
(4 Assists)
A. Griezmann
(7 Assists)
Leganés - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Leganes lost their last three home league matches.
- Atletico won their last 15 matches in a row in all competitions, which included eight in the league.
- Away from home, Atletico won their last nine matches in all competitions.
- Atletico won the reverse fixture 3-1.
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Our Leganés vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Atletico Madrid is top of the league standings, but with Real Madrid breathing down their neck, they can’t let their guard down. Leganes could do with a win, as the relegation battle looms large. Home form doesn’t help as Leganes have lost their last three matches at this venue. Atletico is armed with a 15-game winning run in all competitions, and they are going to be big favourites here. That’s why our prediction for Leganes vs Atletico Madrid is Atletico Madrid wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leganés Atletico Madrid
| Leganés vs Atletico Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leganés wins | 7 | 7 | 0% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4 | -7.6% |
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.44 | 1.5 | +4.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.4% and is now 66.7% (-2.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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