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Leganés vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Sridhar in LaLiga Predictions
Leganes will be desperate to halt their scoring woes as they come up against Athletic Bilbao in this La Liga clash. This match at the Estadio Municipal de Butarque on Thursday comes with our prediction of being a low-scoring match.
Ahead of this sixth round of matches, Leganes is 15th with five points and only two above the bottom-three. The visitors Athletic is ninth with seven points and just two outside the top-five sides. Leganes have one win and two draws from their first five matches. Worryingly for the home fans, they have lost their last two games and may have lost some early momentum.
Leganes have also failed to score in their last three league matches, which is a worry coming into this game. Athletic have been erratic, although they have two wins and a draw from their five matches. They have been alternating wins and losses in their last four matches, having won 3-2 in their last match against Las Palmas.
That win has come despite playing more than 30 minutes of the second half with ten men, so the confidence will be high in the away camp. Interestingly, Athletic have been alternating wins and losses in their last six away league games as well, but they will hope they can end that trend here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leganés v Athletic Bilbao Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4 | 3 | 2.15 |
|
|
4 | 2.2 | 2.4 |
|
|
4.11 | 3.39 | 2.1 |
|
|
4.11 | 3.39 | 2.1 |
|
|
4 | 3.1 | 2.05 |
|
|
4.04 | 3.14 | 2.05 |
|
|
4.04 | 3.14 | 2.05 |
|
|
4.3 | 3.15 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.96 | 3.26 | 2.02 |
|
|
4.2 | 3.3 | 2.02 |
|
|
3.8 | 3 | 2.15 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.25 | 2.04 |
|
|
4.2 | 3.2 | 2 |
|
|
4 | 3.1 | 2.15 |
|
|
4 | 3.1 | 2.05 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.03 | 2.21 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leganés and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Leganés vs Athletic Bilbao match is: Under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/09/2024 between Leganés and Athletic Bilbao in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.94% for a win of Leganés against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 4.3 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leganés vs Athletic Bilbao is 16.7% with odds of 3.39 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.36% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Leganés with odds of 2.4 at Ladbrokes.
Leganés - Athletic Bilbao Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leganés Athletic Bilbao Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leganés wins | 44.94% | 4.3 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.63% | 3.35 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 50.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Leganés | 22.71% | 8 at Unibet |
Leganés vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Leganés and Athletic Bilbao's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
36 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 12 |
|
15
|
18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -11 |
Leganés and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
4 Sep 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
17 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Jun 2024 - LaLiga 2
18 May 2024 - LaLiga 2
27 Apr 2024 - LaLiga 2
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
4 Sep 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
17 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
24 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
15 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
15 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - LaLiga
11 May 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
24 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Leganés vs Athletic Bilbao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Jul 2020 - LaLiga
25 Sep 2019 - LaLiga
24 Apr 2019 - LaLiga
20 Aug 2018 - LaLiga
11 Mar 2018 - LaLiga
22 Oct 2017 - LaLiga
Players list
J. Soriano
DefenderV. Rosier
R. Tapia
S. Gonzalez
M. Nastasic
MidfielderS. Cisse
J. Cruz
ForwardE. Franquesa
M. El Haddadi
M. De la Fuente
D. Garcia
J. Agirrezabala
DefenderA. Gorosabel
U. Nunez
D. Vivian
Y. Berchiche
MidfielderB. Prados
A. Herrera
O. Sancet
ForwardA. Berenguer
G. Guruzeta
I. Williams
Substitutes
Alvin
M. Dmitrovic
DefenderA. Altimira
J. Porozo
MidfielderR. Tapia
J. Chicco
Oscar
ForwardJ. Cruz
M. El Haddadi
D. Raba
D. Garcia
A. Padilla
DefenderI. Lekue
O. De Marcos
A. Paredes
MidfielderA. Boiro
B. Prados
A. Herrera
O. Sancet
I. Williams
N. Serrano
J. Marton
G. Guruzeta
Most goals and assists
Leganés
Athletic Bilbao
J. Cruz
(4 Goals)
O. Sancet
(8 Goals)
, 
I. Williams
(8 Goals)
D. Raba
(3 Assists)
,
Oscar
(3 Assists)
I. Williams
(6 Assists)
Leganés - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- Four of the last five league games featuring Leganes have returned under 2.5 goals
- Leganes have failed to score in their last three league games
- In five of their last seven league games, Athletic have seen two or fewer goals
- The last three league games between Leganes and Athletic have seen below three goals scored
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Our Leganés vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
Athletic have been up and down in this season, failing to post successive league wins so far. That could change on this trip to Leganes, as the hosts are struggling in their return to La Liga. Leganes is just above the bottom-three after a decent start of five points from three matches is followed by successive losses. With no goals scored in their last three games, the pressure is on Leganes to improve. This game could be low in terms of excitement, and hence our prediction for Leganes vs Athletic Bilbao is for under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leganés Athletic Bilbao
| Leganés vs Athletic Bilbao | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leganés wins | 4.5 | 4 | -11.1% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3 | -14.3% |
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 1.8 | 2.15 | +19.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leganés is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 22.2% and is now 25.0% (2.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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