Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu in LaLiga Predictions
Poor runs have negatively impacted Alaves and Leganes’ La Liga survival fights. Leganes, placed 17th will host 19th placed Alaves as both teams look to bounce back in the league. Below is our prediction for the match.
After their shock win at home to Atletico Madrid, Leganes have only managed a point from the four matches that followed. They will arrive for this game off the back of a third straight defeat.
Borja Jimenez’s charges lost 2-0 to Valencia, failing to score for the third time in four matches. from their last five matches, only the 3-2 loss to Real Madrid in the Copa del Rey had both teams score.
Alaves are also coming from a run of back-to-back defeats. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-0 home loss at the hands of Getafe.
It was the third time in five matches that they failed to score, an extension of their poor run in attack in the league. Alaves managed more than a goal in only three of their last 10 league matches.
In general, they scored an average of 1.08 goals so far in La Liga. Eduardo Coudet’s side has, however, done much better in attack when playing away from home.
They managed two or more goals in three of their last four away league games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leganés v Alavés Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.6 | 3 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.5 | 2.88 | 2.38 |
|
|
3.9 | 2.1 | 2.62 |
|
|
3.54 | 3.07 | 2.37 |
|
|
3.54 | 3.07 | 2.37 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leganés and Alavés?
Our prediction for the Leganés vs Alavés match is: under 2.5 goals and both teams to score - NO.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/02/2025 between Leganés and Alavés in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.53% for a win of Leganés against Alavés with odds of 3.9 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leganés vs Alavés is 30.89% with odds of 3.08 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Alavés vs Leganés with odds of 2.62 at Ladbrokes.
Leganés - Alavés Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leganés Alavés Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Alavés wins | 43.58% | 2.62 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.24% | 2.87 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 60.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Alavés | 19.11% | 5.1 at Unibet |
Leganés vs Alavés Form
Leganés and Alavés's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
|
30 | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | -11 |
|
18
|
27 | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -18 |
Leganés and Alavés Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
5 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
31 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
27 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
11 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
Leganés vs Alavés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2023 - LaLiga 2
13 Aug 2022 - LaLiga 2
29 Feb 2020 - LaLiga
13 Dec 2019 - LaLiga
7 Apr 2019 - LaLiga
Leganés against Alavés Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
E. Franquesa
Most goals and assists
Leganés
Alavés
D. Raba
(6 Goals)
K. Garcia
(11 Goals)
Oscar
(4 Assists)
,
D. Raba
(4 Assists)
C. Vicente
(3 Assists)
Leganés - Alavés Key Points
- In three of their last four matches, Leganes failed to score.
- Both sides scored in just one of Leganes’ last five matches.
- Alaves failed to score in three of their last five matches.
- Seven of 10 meetings between these two had under 2.5 goals.
- Six of Leganes’ last 10 matches had under 2.5 goals.
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Our Leganés vs Alavés Prediction
Attack hasn’t been the strongest department for these teams. Across their 23 league matches, Leganes have scored an average 0.82 goals. Meanwhile, Alaves have scored 1.08 goals on average in La Liga this season.
With such numbers, it isn’t hard to see why the two sides are placed so low in the standings. We don’t expect a high score here, and goals on either end will also be off our bet. Our prediction for Leganes v Alaves is: under 2.5 goals and both teams to score - NO.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leganés Alavés
| Leganés vs Alavés | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leganés wins | 2.88 | 3.6 | +25.0% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3 | -6.3% |
| Alavés wins | 2.5 | 2.25 | -10.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Alavés is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 44.4% (4.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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