England - Championship
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by Joseph King in Championship Predictions
Matchday 39 in the English Championship sees league leaders Leeds United playing host to 16th-place Swansea. The Whites will look to create some separation at the top of the standings while the Swans will try to increase their lead over the bottom three. Here’s our match prediction.
Leeds have seen their five-point lead over Sheffield evaporate over the course of four matchdays. A 2-2 draw away with QPR two weeks ago means they’ve now managed just a single match in their last four fixtures (D2, L1).
The hosts will be confident of grabbing the full three points at Elland Road where they’ve been fantastic this season. Leeds have won 15 of their 19 home Championship fixtures while scoring a league-high 47 in front of the local support.
Swansea City come into this matchup with a six-point lead over the relegation zone with eight games remaining in the 2024/25 Championship. While they likely have enough of a buffer, they’ll want to avoid dropping into any sort of relegation scrap in the final few matches.
The visitors have lost their last two outings, the most recent of which finished in a 2-0 home loss to Burnley. Goals have been hard to come by for the Swans this season, as evidenced by their 13 goals scored in 19 away matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leeds v Swansea Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
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1.2 | 6.25 | 15 |
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1.22 | 6 | 15 |
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1.25 | 6 | 12 |
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1.25 | 5.85 | 12.5 |
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1.25 | 5.85 | 12.5 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and Swansea?
Our prediction for the Leeds vs Swansea match is: Leeds win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/03/2025 between Leeds and Swansea in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 66.82% for a win of Leeds against Swansea with odds of 1.26 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs Swansea is 14.86% with odds of 6.25 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Swansea vs Leeds with odds of 15 at Bet365.
Leeds - Swansea Prediction and Best Odds:
Leeds Swansea Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Leeds wins | 66.82% | 1.26 at Betobet |
Under 2.5 | 51.38% | 2.16 at Betobet |
Both Team To Score | 36.67% | 2.45 at Vbet |
Half-time / Full-time : Leeds/Leeds | 29.36% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
Leeds vs Swansea Form
Leeds and Swansea's standings in the Championship
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2
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81 | 39 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 51 |
16
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45 | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | -11 |
Leeds and Swansea Last Matches

3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
12 Mar 2025 - Championship
9 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
24 Feb 2025 - Championship
17 Feb 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
17 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
22 Jan 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
9 Mar 2025 - Championship
24 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
5 Feb 2025 - Championship
27 Jan 2025 - Championship

2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
12 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
4 Mar 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Jan 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2025 - Championship
4 Mar 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
9 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
Leeds vs Swansea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Nov 2024 - Championship
13 Feb 2024 - Championship
29 Nov 2023 - Championship
31 Aug 2019 - Championship
13 Feb 2019 - Championship
21 Aug 2018 - Championship
Leeds against Swansea Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Most goals and assists






Leeds - Swansea Key Points
- The hosts have conceded only nine goals in 19 home league matches this season.
- Leeds have won to nil in four of their last six home league fixtures.
- Leeds have the best home record in the Championship at 15-3-1.
- Eight of Swansea’s 11 away league defeats have seen them fail to score.
- The visitors have failed to score in 10 of their 19 away matches.
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Our Leeds vs Swansea Prediction
Leeds secured the full three points in a wild 4-3 away win in the reverse fixture back in November. This time around, Swansea likely won’t have the same kind of attacking success. Leeds have been almost untouchable on home soil this season and have been blowing teams away with 2.47 average goals scored and only 0.47 conceded.
Swansea, meanwhile, have found it tough to find the net with consistency on their travels. This should be a relatively routine 2-0 win for the home side. Our Leeds vs Swansea prediction: Leeds win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leeds Swansea
Leeds vs Swansea | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Leeds wins | 1.25 | 1.2 | -4.0% |
Draw | 6 | 6.25 | +4.2% |
Swansea wins | 12 | 15 | +25.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leeds is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 83.3% (3.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Leeds vs. Swansea game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Leeds and Swansea? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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