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Leeds vs Plymouth Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Matthew Newman in Championship Predictions
Leeds will host Plymouth in the Championship on Saturday afternoon. Before this match, The Whites are sat in third place while the visiting Pilgrims are down in 21st. That is quite a disparity even after only 12 games before we make a prediction on the game.
The home side made a scuffling start to their season. A 3-3 draw with Portsmouth on opening day was not an ideal opener, with a 0-1 loss at home to Burnley in their third home match. Things have gotten much better since, they are unbeaten in their last seven games overall.
Three straight wins at home have come against Coventry, Sheffield United and Watford. Beating the middle of that trio especially is a rock-solid result. Watford were the only one of those three to score against Leeds.
Scoring away from home is something that Plymouth have had serious difficulty with. One goal away from Home Park in six games is not going to get the job done. That came in a 1-1 draw with QPR.
They have been able to keep things close, losing 0-1 at West Brom, Burnley and Millwall. The first have only scored two on their own patch all season with neither of the other pair are as potent as Leeds.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leeds v Plymouth Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.14 | 9 | 13 |
|
|
1.36 | 3.7 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.14 | 9.49 | 12.5 |
|
|
1.14 | 9.49 | 12.5 |
|
|
1.16 | 8.25 | 14 |
|
|
1.17 | 7.4 | 14 |
|
|
1.18 | 7.2 | 13.5 |
|
|
1.19 | 7 | 13 |
|
|
1.15 | 9.2 | 19 |
|
|
1.18 | 6.5 | 12 |
|
|
1.15 | 8 | 16 |
|
|
1.17 | 7.5 | 14 |
|
|
1.13 | 8.72 | 19.74 |
|
|
1.12 | 8 | 19 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and Plymouth?
Our prediction for the Leeds vs Plymouth match is: Leeds -1.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/11/2024 between Leeds and Plymouth in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 68.63% for a win of Leeds against Plymouth with odds of 1.36 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs Plymouth is 16.75% with odds of 9.49 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Plymouth vs Leeds with odds of 19.74 at Betsson.
Leeds - Plymouth Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leeds Plymouth Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 68.63% | 1.36 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 53.23% | 2.88 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 32.29% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Leeds/Leeds | 35.21% | 1.61 at Ladbrokes |
Leeds vs Plymouth Form
Leeds and Plymouth's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
29 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 15 |
|
18
|
16 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -11 |
Leeds and Plymouth Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
18 Oct 2024 - Championship
4 Oct 2024 - Championship
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
18 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
14 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
4 Oct 2024 - Championship
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
23 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
23 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
27 Sep 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
27 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
Leeds vs Plymouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Feb 2024 - Championship
6 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
27 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
Leeds against Plymouth Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
R. Kristensen
Most goals and assists
Leeds
Plymouth
J. Piroe
(6 Goals)
I. Cissoko
(3 Goals)
, 
M. Whittaker
(3 Goals)
D. Gnonto
(5 Assists)
I. Cissoko
(2 Assists)
,
B. Mumba
(2 Assists)
Leeds - Plymouth Key Points
- Leeds's 1.82 xGF at home this season is the third-best in the league.
- No team has a worse goal difference away from home than Plymouth.
- Only Norwich have scored more home goals this season than Leeds.
- Plymouth are averaging more than two goals conceded per away game.
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Our Leeds vs Plymouth Prediction
It is hard to see Plymouth being able to get anything out of this game. They have done some solid work at home but the long away trips have made things very tough for them to get the job done when they have been on the road.
Leeds are a very short price to win the game outright and have averaged more than two goals per game at home this season while Plymouth concede two a game away. Our Leeds vs Plymouth prediction is for Leeds to cover a -1 handicap.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leeds Plymouth
| Leeds vs Plymouth | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 1.25 | 1.14 | -8.8% |
| Draw | 6 | 9 | +50.0% |
| Plymouth wins | 10 | 13 | +30.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leeds is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 87.7% (7.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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