England - Championship
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by Steve Ashfield in Championship Predictions
Leeds United lost at Portsmouth on Sunday but remained top of the Championship for the time being. Wednesday sees them host Millwall who are 12th in the table and the Lions are still with a faint chance of a play-off position. Here's our match prediction.
United ended the weekend top of the table but only on goal difference from Sheffield United. By the time this match begins, Leeds could be third in the table. That will be so if Burnley win on Tuesday and Sheffield United avoid defeat the same night.
The loss at Portsmouth ended a run of 16 league games without defeat. At home, the Whites have gone 15 league fixtures without defeat. They did recently lose at home to Millwall in the FA Cup and also were beaten in the reverse Championship fixture.
Millwall are seven points behind the final promotion play-off position. The weekend saw them come from behind to win 2-1 at Watford. Only one of their last five league fixtures has been lost and four of those have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
On the road, Millwall have won five league games but lost the same number and drawn eight. Those 18 games have only seen 37 goals scored. We go for under 2.5 goals to be scored in this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leeds v Millwall Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.22 | 6 | 13 |
|
|
1.25 | 5.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.22 | 6 | 13 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.43 | 13.1 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.43 | 13.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and Millwall?
Our prediction for the Leeds vs Millwall match is: under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/03/2025 between Leeds and Millwall in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.62% for a win of Leeds against Millwall with odds of 1.25 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs Millwall is 14.89% with odds of 6.43 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.48% chance ⭐ for a win of Millwall vs Leeds with odds of 17 at Unibet.
Leeds - Millwall Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leeds Millwall Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 56.62% | 1.25 at Betfred |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.79% | 1.93 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 46.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Leeds/Leeds | 26.41% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
Leeds vs Millwall Form
Leeds and Millwall's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
94 | 44 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 60 |
|
8
|
63 | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | -1 |
Leeds and Millwall Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
24 Feb 2025 - Championship
17 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
17 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
22 Jan 2025 - Championship
19 Jan 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2025 - Championship
24 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
5 Feb 2025 - Championship
27 Jan 2025 - Championship
4 Jan 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
4 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
18 Feb 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Jan 2025 - Championship
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
13 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
18 Feb 2025 - Championship
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
Leeds vs Millwall Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
17 Mar 2024 - Championship
17 Sep 2023 - Championship
28 Jan 2020 - Championship
30 Mar 2019 - Championship
Players list
I. Meslier
DefenderS. Byram
J. Rodon
P. Struijk
J. Firpo
MidfielderI. Gruev
A. Tanaka
G. Wilfried
B. Aaronson
ForwardL. Ramazani
Mateo Joseph
L. Jensen
DefenderT. Crama
J. Tanganga
J. Cooper
J. Bryan
A. Emakhu
MidfielderG. Saville
B. Mitchell
L. Cundle
A. Connolly
ForwardJ. Coburn
Substitutes
K. Darlow
DefenderJ. Debayo
S. Byram
J. Guilavogui
MidfielderI. Gruev
S. Chambers
ForwardL. Ramazani
Mateo Joseph
G. Wilfried
G. Evans
DefenderZ. Sturge
MidfielderR. Bangura-Williams
T. Crama
R. Wintle
B. Mitchell
A. Emakhu
A. Connolly
J. Coburn
Most goals and assists
Leeds
Millwall
J. Piroe
(19 Goals)
M. Ivanovic
(11 Goals)
M. Solomon
(12 Assists)
F. Azeez
(6 Assists)
Leeds - Millwall Key Points
- These two clubs have met twice this season and both games had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in four of the last six Millwall away league fixtures, making it 13 out of 18 this season.
- The last two Leeds matches have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in five of the last eight Leeds home matches.
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Our Leeds vs Millwall Prediction
Leeds United have only scored once in their last two league games. They have already lost twice to Millwall this season and one of those was at home in the FA Cup. United will hope the dip in form is just a blip and they have a very friendly run-in with none of the top teams to face.
Millwall had a good away win on Saturday but are still seven points behind the top six. Our Leeds v Millwall prediction is under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leeds Millwall
| Leeds vs Millwall | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 1.29 | 1.22 | -5.4% |
| Draw | 5.5 | 6 | +9.1% |
| Millwall wins | 9.5 | 13 | +36.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leeds is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 77.5% and is now 82.0% (4.4%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Leeds vs. Millwall game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Leeds and Millwall? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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