England - Carabao Cup
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Leeds vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
by Ian John | in Carabao Cup Predictions
Leeds United host Middlesbrough in the League Cup First Round on Wednesday night. A match that will see one of the two teams move into the Second Round draw with a win. Let’s take a closer look at our prediction for the game between The Whites and Boro.
Daniel Farke’s Leeds missed out on automatic promotion from the Championship last season at the death. That disappointment was compounded when they were beaten 1-0 in the Playoff final by Southampton. They began the current season with an exciting 3-3 draw against newly-promoted Portsmouth at the weekend.
Brenden Aaronson was the hero and then villain of the piece against Pompey. Firstly, he netted a 95th-minute equaliser for the home side. However, he then squandered an even better chance just seconds before the full-time whistle. It was a game Leeds dominated with 22 shots on goal, 10 of which were on target.
Middlesbrough began the season with a 1-0 home victory over Swansea, Emmanuel Latte Lath scoring the only goal of the game from the penalty spot in the first half. Like Leeds, they dominated their opening fixture, but unlike United, the Boro picked up maximum points from their contest.
Michael Carrick’s team has won just one of the last nine against Leeds, losing the last four. In three of those four games, four, five, and seven goals were scored, respectively.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leeds v Middlesbrough Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
251 | 51 | 1 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.2 | 5.25 |
|
|
60 | 19.4 | 1.01 |
|
|
60 | 19.4 | 1.01 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.2 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.32 | 5.1 |
|
|
100 | 18 | 1.01 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.38 | 5 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.4 | 5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and Middlesbrough?
Our prediction for the Leeds vs Middlesbrough match is: Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/08/2024 between Leeds and Middlesbrough in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.74% for a win of Leeds against Middlesbrough with odds of 251 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs Middlesbrough is 29.69% with odds of 51 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.57% chance ⭐ for a win of Middlesbrough vs Leeds with odds of 5.25 at Ladbrokes.
Leeds - Middlesbrough Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leeds Middlesbrough Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough wins | 39.57% | 5.25 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.66% | 2.18 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Middlesbrough | 14.4% | 12 at Bet365 |
Leeds vs Middlesbrough Form
Leeds and Middlesbrough Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - Championship
16 May 2024 - Championship
12 May 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - Championship
16 May 2024 - Championship
4 May 2024 - Championship
13 Apr 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - Championship
26 Apr 2024 - Championship
22 Apr 2024 - Championship
6 Apr 2024 - Championship
29 Mar 2024 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 May 2024 - Championship
22 Apr 2024 - Championship
6 Apr 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Apr 2024 - Championship
13 Apr 2024 - Championship
10 Apr 2024 - Championship
Leeds against Middlesbrough : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Apr 2024 - Championship
2 Dec 2023 - Championship
26 Feb 2020 - Championship
9 Feb 2019 - Championship
31 Aug 2018 - Championship
2 Mar 2018 - Championship
Players list
K. Darlow
DefenderS. Byram
J. Firpo
J. Rodon
M. Wober
E. Ampadu
MidfielderB. Aaronson
J. Rothwell
ForwardJ. Piroe
P. Bamford
J. Gelhardt
S. Brynn
DefenderA. Dijksteel
M. Clarke
L. Engel
MidfielderD. Barlaser
A. Morris
I. Jones
J. Howson
ForwardD. Burgzorg
J. Coburn
A. Gilbert
Substitutes
I. Meslier
DefenderP. Struijk
J. Bogle
MidfielderC. Crewe
I. Gruev
ForwardG. Rutter
D. James
D. Gnonto
M. Fernandez
T. Glover
DefenderL. Ayling
H. Hunt
G. McCormick
MidfielderF. Cartwrtight
M. Hamilton
H. Hackney
F. Azaz
ForwardE. Latte Lath
Most goals and assists
Leeds
Middlesbrough
J. Piroe
(5 Goals)
T. Conway
(4 Goals)
D. Gnonto
(5 Assists)
F. Azaz
(3 Assists)
, 
R. McGree
(3 Assists)
Leeds - Middlesbrough Key Points
- The last four games between these two teams have produced 17 goals.
- In the two league matches between Leeds and Middlesbrough last season, both teams scored at least two goals in each game.
- All of Leeds United's last four home games have seen over 2.5 goals.
- Five of Middlesbrough's last six competitive games have seen both teams score.
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Our Leeds vs Middlesbrough Prediction
Our prediction for Leeds United vs. Middlesbrough in the Football League Cup is: Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals.
Our review of the data shows that at Elland Road, recent Leeds matches have produced plenty of goals. Similarly, the games between these two teams last season also produced lots of goals for both teams. As such, the data suggests that this will be a match with abundant chances and a likelihood of goals at both ends, hence our pick for this fixture.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leeds Middlesbrough
| Leeds vs Middlesbrough | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 1.67 | 251 | +14,929.9% |
| Draw | 4 | 51 | +1,175.0% |
| Middlesbrough wins | 4.75 | 1 | -78.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Middlesbrough is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 78.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 21.1% and is now 100.0% (78.9%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout Offer
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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