England - Championship
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
Leeds vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Kennedy Kechula in Championship Predictions
Leeds United will be bidding for a return to the top of the Championship this Saturday. The Peacocks welcome Derby County at Elland Road for this Match Day 19 encounter.
Below is our prediction for the game. The last round didn’t all go to plan, seeing Leeds dropped two places to third after a 1-0 loss against Blackburn Rovers.
They face a struggling Derby County side, hoping for a tidy performance at home, where they’ve excelled lately. In their last six matches at home, Leeds produced straight wins, conceding just one goal. They are also undefeated in the last two matches against Derby, winning one.
Derby County will come into this game as clear underdogs, having won once in their last seven matches against Leeds. The Rams are unbeaten in their last two visits to Leeds, but a run of four winless outings in recent matches makes this a tough trip.
They are fresh from a 2-1 defeat at home to Sheffield Wednesday. Right before that they had lost 2-1 at home to Swansea City, failing to build on earlier back-to-back draws. Perhaps they are looking forward to an away game for a change.
Their away form hasn’t been impressive either; they have one win only in the last 10 matches on the road.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Leeds v Derby County Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.38 | 4.5 | 8 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.8 | 9 |
|
|
1.37 | 4.76 | 8.52 |
|
|
1.37 | 4.76 | 8.52 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.8 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.8 | 8.8 |
|
|
1.37 | 4.78 | 8.7 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.8 | 9 |
|
|
1.3 | 4.6 | 9 |
|
|
1.37 | 4.68 | 9.28 |
|
|
1.32 | 4.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.75 | 10 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.5 | 8 |
|
|
1.32 | 5 | 10 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and Derby County?
Our prediction for the Leeds vs Derby County match is: Leeds United to win with a clean sheet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/12/2024 between Leeds and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.35% for a win of Leeds against Derby County with odds of 1.38 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs Derby County is 22.5% with odds of 5 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Leeds with odds of 11 at William Hill.
Leeds - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leeds Derby County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 65.35% | 1.38 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.64% | 2 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 53.33% | 2.3 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time : Leeds/Leeds | 36.47% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
Leeds vs Derby County Form
Leeds and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
45 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 26 |
|
16
|
24 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -1 |
Leeds and Derby County Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
24 Nov 2024 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
18 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
24 Nov 2024 - Championship
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
4 Oct 2024 - Championship
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2024 - Championship
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2024 - Championship
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
Leeds vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Jul 2020 - Championship
21 Sep 2019 - Championship
15 May 2019 - Championship
11 May 2019 - Championship
11 Jan 2019 - Championship
11 Aug 2018 - Championship
Players list
I. Meslier
DefenderJ. Bogle
J. Rodon
P. Struijk
M. Wober
MidfielderA. Tanaka
J. Guilavogui
Mateo Joseph
G. Wilfried
ForwardL. Ramazani
J. Piroe
J. Zetterstrom
DefenderN. Phillips
C. Nelson
E. Cashin
J. Ward
C. Forsyth
MidfielderB. Osborn
T. Barkhuizen
M. Harness
ForwardK. Goudmijn
J. Collins
Substitutes
K. Darlow
DefenderM. Wober
E. Ampadu
J. Guilavogui
I. Schmidt
ForwardP. Bamford
Mateo Joseph
L. Ramazani
G. Wilfried
J. Vickers
DefenderS. Bradley
MidfielderJ. Ward
K. Goudmijn
M. Harness
J. Collins
T. Barkhuizen
C. Blackett Taylor
D. Brown
Most goals and assists
Leeds
Derby County
J. Piroe
(7 Goals)
J. Yates
(4 Goals)
,
K. Jackson
(4 Goals)
G. Wilfried
(5 Assists)
N. Mendez Laing
(3 Assists)
Leeds - Derby County Key Points
- Leeds United have six straight wins at home.
- Derby County have one win in their last 10 away matches.
- Derby County have one win in seven meetings with Leeds.
- Leeds United conceded just once in the last six home matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Leeds vs Derby County Prediction
Leeds United have the better run coming into this game and their previous performances against Derby County place them as clear favorites. There’s an additional edge to the hosts ahead of this game; their home form.
In the last six home matches, they’ve not only won each, but also managed to keep five clean sheets, only conceding one goal. It will not help the visitors a lot coming into this game with just a win in their last 10 away matches. Our prediction for Leeds United v Derby County is for Leeds United to win with a clean sheet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leeds Derby County
| Leeds vs Derby County | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 1.38 | 1.38 | 0% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 4.5 | -5.3% |
| Derby County wins | 7.5 | 8 | +6.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leeds is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 72.5% and is now 72.5% (0.0%)
Use £30 free bets for the Leeds vs. Derby County game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Leeds and Derby County? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of £30 free bet credits if you bet £10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
