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14 September 2024 - 07:30 

- Day 5

England - Championship

Leeds
VS
Burnley

Prediction :

Leeds wins the match

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Leeds vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

 by Sridhar in Championship Predictions

A single point separates promotion contenders Leeds United and Burnley as they restart the 2024-25 Championship campaign after international break. This match at Elland Road on Saturday could see the home team flex their muscles and pick up a win.

Leeds is fourth after four matches with two wins and two draws. They are four points behind leaders Sunderland, while the visitors Burnley went into the break in seventh place with seven points from two wins, a draw, and a loss. Leeds defeated Sheffield Wednesday and Hull by the same 2-0 scoreline going into the international break. That atoned for the mild start to the season, where they had two successive draws.

It is the impressive returns at the back that is driving the campaign for the home team, as they have kept three clean sheets in a row. Burnley could be under pressure to break that, as they travel here with a draw and two defeats in their last three competitive matches. That included a 2-0 loss in the EFL Cup to Wolverhampton Wanderers, but the Clarets have lost the momentum built at the start.

The visitors started the campaign with 4-1 and 5-0 wins over Luton and Cardiff, but two failures to score in their last three matches puts a question mark over their efficiency. To make things worse, they couldn’t capitalize on Blackburn playing with ten men for the last 30 minutes and were held to a 1-1 draw in the last match.

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The Best Betting Odds for Leeds v Burnley Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.67 3.8 5
Ladbrokes
1.7 3.8 4.6
1xbet
1.74 3.85 4.63
22bet
1.74 3.85 4.63
Betobet
1.69 3.8 5
Betwinner
1.79 3.82 4.28
Stake
1.71 3.85 4.6
Melbet
1.74 3.84 4.6
Tonybet
1.71 3.85 4.6
Check all Leeds vs Burnley odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and Burnley?

Our prediction for the Leeds vs Burnley match is: Leeds United to win.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/09/2024 between Leeds and Burnley in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.58% for a win of Leeds against Burnley with odds of 1.79 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs Burnley is 20.79% with odds of 3.85 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 20.63% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Leeds with odds of 5 at Bet365.

Leeds - Burnley Prediction and Best Odds:

Leeds Burnley Prediction Probability Odds
Leeds wins 58.58% 1.79 at Betwinner
Over 2.5 goals 55.93% 1.91 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 47.92% 1.83 at Bet365
Half-time / Full-time : Leeds/Leeds 29.65% 2.63 at Bet365

Leeds vs Burnley Form

Leeds and Burnley's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Burnley
Burnley
10 5 3 1 1 8
9
Leeds
Leeds
8 5 2 2 1 3

Leeds and Burnley Last Matches

Leeds
Leeds Last matches
W D L D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.67
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
1.17
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  0
Hull

23 Aug 2024 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  2
Leeds

17 Aug 2024 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  0
Leeds

14 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Leeds
0 :  3
Middlesbrough

10 Aug 2024 - Championship

Leeds
3 :  3
Portsmouth

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
2 :  1
Valencia
Burnley
Burnley Last matches
L L L D L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
2
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

10 Sep 2024 - Professional Development League

Bristol City
1 :  3
Burnley

1 Sep 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
0 :  4
Charlton Athletic

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Blackburn

28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Wolves
2 :  0
Burnley

27 Aug 2024 - Professional Development League

Bournemouth
3 :  2
Burnley

24 Aug 2024 - Championship

Sunderland
1 :  0
Burnley

Leeds against Burnley : Head to Head (H2H)

Leeds

75 %

Draw

25 %

Burnley

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.75
BTTS
50%
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.25
Goals scored (Team 2)
0.5
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

2 Jan 2022 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Burnley

29 Aug 2021 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Leeds

15 May 2021 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  4
Leeds

27 Dec 2020 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Burnley
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Leeds against Burnley Lineups: Starting 11

Leeds

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
I. Meslier
2
J. Bogle
6
J. Rodon
5
P. Struijk
3
J. Firpo
44
I. Gruev
4
E. Ampadu
29
D. Gnonto
11
B. Aaronson
14
M. Solomon
19
M. Fernandez
19
Z. Flemming
11
J. Anthony
28
H. Mejbri
30
L. Koleosho
8
J. Brownhill
29
J. Laurent
12
B. Humphreys
5
M. Esteve
4
J. Worrall
23
L. Pires
1
J. Trafford

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Burnley

Leeds - Burnley Key Points

  1. Leeds kept a clean sheet in their last three Championship matches
  2. Leeds won their last two league games
  3. Burnley failed to score in two of their last three matches
  4. Burnley lost two of their last three matches
  5. Leeds have won four of their last five matches against Burnley
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Our Leeds vs Burnley Prediction

Just one point separates these two sides, but it is Leeds who have an upper hand in terms of momentum compared to Burnley. The visitors have failed to score in their last two matches going into the international break and could struggle to break through the home team here. Leeds could also bank on their impressive record at home, and that’s why our prediction for Leeds v Burnley is a win for Leeds.

Prediction :

Leeds wins the match

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leeds Burnley

Leeds vs Burnley Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Leeds wins 1.73 1.67 -3.5%
Draw 3.75 3.8 +1.3%
Burnley wins 4.5 5 +11.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Leeds is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.5% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 57.8% and is now 59.9% (2.1%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Leeds vs Burnley Prediction
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