England - Championship
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Leeds vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Sridhar in Championship Predictions
A single point separates promotion contenders Leeds United and Burnley as they restart the 2024-25 Championship campaign after international break. This match at Elland Road on Saturday could see the home team flex their muscles and pick up a win.
Leeds is fourth after four matches with two wins and two draws. They are four points behind leaders Sunderland, while the visitors Burnley went into the break in seventh place with seven points from two wins, a draw, and a loss. Leeds defeated Sheffield Wednesday and Hull by the same 2-0 scoreline going into the international break. That atoned for the mild start to the season, where they had two successive draws.
It is the impressive returns at the back that is driving the campaign for the home team, as they have kept three clean sheets in a row. Burnley could be under pressure to break that, as they travel here with a draw and two defeats in their last three competitive matches. That included a 2-0 loss in the EFL Cup to Wolverhampton Wanderers, but the Clarets have lost the momentum built at the start.
The visitors started the campaign with 4-1 and 5-0 wins over Luton and Cardiff, but two failures to score in their last three matches puts a question mark over their efficiency. To make things worse, they couldn’t capitalize on Blackburn playing with ten men for the last 30 minutes and were held to a 1-1 draw in the last match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leeds v Burnley Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.67 | 3.8 | 5 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.8 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.85 | 4.63 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.85 | 4.63 |
|
|
1.69 | 3.8 | 5 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.82 | 4.28 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.82 | 4.28 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.85 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.84 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.85 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.8 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.95 | 4.69 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.6 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.95 | 5 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.75 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.66 | 4 | 4.75 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and Burnley?
Our prediction for the Leeds vs Burnley match is: Leeds United to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/09/2024 between Leeds and Burnley in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.58% for a win of Leeds against Burnley with odds of 1.79 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs Burnley is 20.79% with odds of 4 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.63% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Leeds with odds of 5 at Bet365.
Leeds - Burnley Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leeds Burnley Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 58.58% | 1.79 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.93% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 47.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Leeds/Leeds | 29.65% | 2.75 at Betsson |
Leeds vs Burnley Form
Leeds and Burnley's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
45 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 26 |
|
3
|
44 | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 19 |
Leeds and Burnley Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
23 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
14 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
14 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - Championship
16 May 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - Championship
26 Apr 2024 - Championship
22 Apr 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2024 - Professional Development League
1 Sep 2024 - Professional Development League
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
27 Aug 2024 - Professional Development League
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sep 2024 - Professional Development League
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
18 Aug 2024 - Professional Development League
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
19 May 2024 - Premier League
10 May 2024 - Professional Development League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2024 - Professional Development League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
27 Aug 2024 - Professional Development League
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Professional Development League
12 Aug 2024 - Championship
Leeds vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Jan 2022 - Premier League
29 Aug 2021 - Premier League
15 May 2021 - Premier League
27 Dec 2020 - Premier League
Leeds against Burnley Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Leeds
Burnley
J. Piroe
(7 Goals)
J. Brownhill
(8 Goals)
G. Wilfried
(5 Assists)
L. Pires
(2 Assists)
, 
C. Roberts
(2 Assists)
,
J. Anthony
(2 Assists)
,
J. Brownhill
(2 Assists)
Leeds - Burnley Key Points
- Leeds kept a clean sheet in their last three Championship matches
- Leeds won their last two league games
- Burnley failed to score in two of their last three matches
- Burnley lost two of their last three matches
- Leeds have won four of their last five matches against Burnley
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Our Leeds vs Burnley Prediction
Just one point separates these two sides, but it is Leeds who have an upper hand in terms of momentum compared to Burnley. The visitors have failed to score in their last two matches going into the international break and could struggle to break through the home team here. Leeds could also bank on their impressive record at home, and that’s why our prediction for Leeds v Burnley is a win for Leeds.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leeds Burnley
| Leeds vs Burnley | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 1.73 | 1.67 | -3.5% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.8 | +1.3% |
| Burnley wins | 4.5 | 5 | +11.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leeds is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.8% and is now 59.9% (2.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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