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Lecce vs Genoa Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions
Lecce’s battle to avoid the drop continues this Sunday, with a home game against Genoa in Serie A. Starting this game in 17th place, Lecce will hope to open a five-point gap from the red zone when 13th placed Genoa visit. Read below for our preview and prediction of this match.
Lecce’s hopes of entering the new year in a more secure place were dimmed in a 2-0 loss to fellow strugglers Como. A loss here could see them slide into the dreaded region as new manager Marco Giampaolo seeks to instill stability.
He may need to start with the defence, his team having conceded two or more in three of the last four matches.
Meanwhile, Patrick Vieira has had a big influence since taking over at Genoa. The Frenchman will be seeking a seventh unbeaten outing from his charges here.
However, from their early struggles, Genoa are still not clear of relegation fears. They are just five points out and Vieira will remind his men of the need to widen that gap.
Fortunes may favor them though, as in this fixture, Genoa suffered just one loss in 13 matches. A 2-1 away win at Empoli in the last game nudged them in the right direction too.
With that success, Genoa are unbeaten in four away matches, winning three, and they kept three clean sheets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lecce v Genoa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.88 | 3 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.75 | 3 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.9 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.93 | 3.06 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.93 | 3.06 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.95 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.92 | 2.95 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.92 | 2.95 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.05 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.93 | 2.94 | 2.7 |
|
|
3 | 3.05 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.97 | 2.95 | 2.78 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.9 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.9 | 3 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.8 | 2.75 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.05 | 2.65 |
|
|
3 | 2.9 | 2.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lecce and Genoa?
Our prediction for the Lecce vs Genoa match is: Genoa wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/01/2025 between Lecce and Genoa in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.54% for a win of Lecce against Genoa with odds of 3 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lecce vs Genoa is 27.22% with odds of 3.06 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Genoa vs Lecce with odds of 2.78 at Vbet.
Lecce - Genoa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lecce Genoa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa wins | 40.25% | 2.78 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.44% | 2.51 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 53.13% | 2.05 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Genoa | 17.94% | 6.25 at Unibet |
Lecce vs Genoa Form
Lecce and Genoa's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
20 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | -11 |
|
17
|
17 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -20 |
Lecce and Genoa Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2024 - Serie A
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
7 Dec 2024 - Serie A
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
25 Nov 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
8 Nov 2024 - Serie A
29 Oct 2024 - Serie A
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2024 - Serie A
7 Dec 2024 - Serie A
25 Nov 2024 - Serie A
2 Nov 2024 - Serie A
26 Oct 2024 - Serie A
5 Oct 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2024 - Serie A
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
7 Dec 2024 - Serie A
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
7 Dec 2024 - Serie A
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
7 Nov 2024 - Serie A
31 Oct 2024 - Serie A
19 Oct 2024 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2024 - Serie A
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
4 Nov 2024 - Serie A
27 Oct 2024 - Serie A
5 Oct 2024 - Serie A
Lecce vs Genoa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
25 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Jan 2024 - Serie A
22 Sep 2023 - Serie A
19 Jul 2020 - Serie A
8 Dec 2019 - Serie A
Lecce against Genoa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Missing players
K. Gaspar
ForwardL. Banda
M. Berisha
H. Ahanor
A. Matturro
B. Norton Cuffy
MidfielderR. Malinovskyi
ForwardJ. Messias
C. Ekuban
Most goals and assists
Lecce
Genoa
N. Krstovic
(4 Goals)
A. Pinamonti
(6 Goals)
A. Gallo
(2 Assists)
V. Carvalho
(2 Assists)
Lecce - Genoa Key Points
- Genoa lost just once in their last eight matches.
- Lecce lost three times in their last four matches.
- In 13 meetings with Lecce, Genoa only lost once.
- Genoa are unbeaten in four away matches, winning three.
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Our Lecce vs Genoa Prediction
Lecce are out of the relegation zone for now, but are flirting dangerously with the drop. A loss here could see them re-enter the bottom three, and their recent form doesn’t help. Three losses in the last four matches place them as underdogs in this fixture, and especially if contrasted with Genoa’s form.
The visitors come into this game unbeaten in four away matches, and having won three of those. Also, Genoa lost just once in their last 13 matches against Lecce. In our prediction for Lecce v Genoa, we say: Genoa wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lecce Genoa
| Lecce vs Genoa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce wins | 2.55 | 2.88 | +12.9% |
| Draw | 3 | 3 | 0% |
| Genoa wins | 2.9 | 2.7 | -6.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Genoa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 34.5% and is now 37.0% (2.6%)
Use £30 free bets for the Lecce vs. Genoa game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Lecce and Genoa? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of £30 free bet credits if you bet £10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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