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Lecce vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions
AC Milan are plotting their rise from the current lows and will be gunning for three points away to Lecce in Serie A. The two sides face off this Saturday, Milan in ninth spot and Lecce 16th. Read below for our preview and prediction on the match.
Lecce failed to score for the fourth straight match when they lost 1-0 to Udinese last time out. They will head into this encounter sitting just a place above the drop zone, three points to the good.
That’s not a margin they can consider healthy, especially with their poor run against Milan. I Salentini lost 3-0 in the reverse fixture at San Siro.
Milan’s win over Lecce in the first meeting of the season was the second straight game they scored three in this fixture. It was also the third time in four meetings that they kept a clean sheet against Lecce and they are unbeaten in 13 meetings.
The visitors will need this one to work in their favor as they are coming off a poor run. The Rossoneri suffered a 2-1 defeat at home to Lazio last time out.
That left them winless in the last four matches, having lost three straight. Away from home things haven't clicked either, with Sergio Conceicao’s men losing five of the last six matches on the road.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lecce v AC Milan Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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4.75 | 3.5 | 1.8 |
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4 | 3.6 | 1.9 |
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4 | 2.4 | 2.2 |
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4.45 | 3.62 | 1.95 |
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4.45 | 3.62 | 1.95 |
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4.8 | 3.6 | 1.81 |
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4.32 | 3.48 | 1.87 |
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4.32 | 3.48 | 1.87 |
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4.2 | 3.6 | 1.9 |
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4.32 | 3.48 | 1.87 |
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4.4 | 3.7 | 1.88 |
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4 | 3.5 | 1.91 |
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4.2 | 3.5 | 1.85 |
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4.9 | 4.1 | 1.65 |
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4.2 | 3.5 | 1.91 |
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4.8 | 3.63 | 1.82 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lecce and AC Milan?
Our prediction for the Lecce vs AC Milan match is: AC Milan to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/03/2025 between Lecce and AC Milan in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.86% for a win of Lecce against AC Milan with odds of 4.9 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lecce vs AC Milan is 22.74% with odds of 4.1 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.41% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Lecce with odds of 2.2 at Ladbrokes.
Lecce - AC Milan Prediction and Best Odds:
Lecce AC Milan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
AC Milan wins | 39.41% | 2.2 at Ladbrokes |
Over 2.5 goals | 51.41% | 2.02 at Unibet |
Both Team To Score | 42.5% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
Half-time / Full-time: AC Milan/AC Milan | 15.33% | 3 at Ladbrokes |
Lecce vs AC Milan Form
Lecce and AC Milan's standings in the Serie A
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9
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44 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
16
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25 | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -26 |
Lecce and AC Milan Last Matches

1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2025 - Serie A
21 Feb 2025 - Serie A
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
31 Jan 2025 - Serie A
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2025 - Serie A
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
5 Jan 2025 - Serie A
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2025 - Serie A
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
31 Jan 2025 - Serie A
19 Jan 2025 - Serie A
11 Jan 2025 - Serie A
30 Dec 2024 - Serie A

1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
27 Feb 2025 - Serie A
22 Feb 2025 - Serie A
18 Feb 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - Serie A
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
18 Feb 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - Serie A
5 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2025 - Serie A
22 Feb 2025 - Serie A
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - Serie A
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Serie A
Lecce vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Sep 2024 - Serie A
6 Apr 2024 - Serie A
11 Nov 2023 - Serie A
23 Apr 2023 - Serie A
14 Jan 2023 - Serie A
22 Jun 2020 - Serie A
Lecce against AC Milan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players

F. Marchwinski

M. Maignan
DefenderEmerson
MidfielderR. Loftus-Cheek
Most goals and assists






Lecce - AC Milan Key Points
- Lecce failed to score in each of their last four matches.
- At home, Lecce are winless in their last five matches, and scored just once.
- In their last 13 meetings with Lecce, AC Milan are unbeaten, with eight wins.
- In three of their last four matches against Lecce, Milan won with clean sheets.
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Our Lecce vs AC Milan Prediction
Lecce haven't had a great run in the season and this will be another tough encounter for the side battling relegation. Sitting just three points above the bottom three, there’s real danger that they could drop this weekend.
The fact that Lecce are winless in their last 13 matches against Milan paints an even grimmer picture. They’ve also struggled in attack and Milan will want to take advantage, having kept three clean sheets in the last four meetings. Our prediction for Lecce v AC Milan is for AC Milan to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lecce AC Milan
Lecce vs AC Milan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Lecce wins | 5.5 | 4.75 | -13.6% |
Draw | 3.75 | 3.5 | -6.7% |
AC Milan wins | 1.67 | 1.8 | +7.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AC Milan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 55.6% (-4.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Lecce vs. AC Milan game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Lecce and AC Milan? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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