Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
The Derby della Capitale will be the highlight of the 32nd week of action in the Italian Serie A. Lazio will be hosting Roma in a match that harbors a rivalry that dates back over nine decades. This latest encounter finds the two sides delicately placed in the league standings, Roma in seventh, trailing sixth-placed Lazio by just two points. In case you are looking to bet on this match, check out our preview and two predictions below.
After struggling through recent weeks, Lazio had the perfect warm-up for this game. In the last league match, they won 1-0 away at Atalanta, boosting their own aspirations for Europe. Meanwhile, Roma have been one of the form teams in recent weeks but are coming from a draw.
The visiting side had to come from behind to draw 1-1 with Juventus last week. History has, however, shown that pre-derby form counts for little. So, as we approach the 162nd Serie A derby, who will claim the bragging rights this time?
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The Best Betting Odds for Lazio v Roma Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 3 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.2 | 2.6 |
|
|
3 | 2.3 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.1 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.96 | 3.36 | 2.63 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lazio and Roma?
Our prediction for the Lazio vs Roma match is: Roma to win and under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/04/2025 between Lazio and Roma in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.41% for a win of Lazio against Roma with odds of 3 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lazio vs Roma is 34.69% with odds of 3.36 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.9% chance ⭐ for a win of Roma vs Lazio with odds of 2.8 at Ladbrokes.
Lazio vs Roma Form
Lazio and Roma's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
55 | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
|
7
|
53 | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 15 |
Lazio and Roma Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
31 Mar 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
10 Mar 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2025 - Serie A
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
10 Mar 2025 - Serie A
15 Feb 2025 - Serie A
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
25 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
29 Mar 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
24 Feb 2025 - Serie A
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Serie A
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
Lazio vs Roma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Jan 2025 - Serie A
6 Apr 2024 - Serie A
10 Jan 2024 - Coppa Italia
12 Nov 2023 - Serie A
19 Mar 2023 - Serie A
6 Nov 2022 - Serie A
Lazio - Roma: Form Analysis
Lazio will not have a lot of time to recover from a trip to Norway. They are coming off a 2-0 defeat to Bodo/Glimt in the Europa League quarter-finals first leg on Thursday.
That was their second defeat in the last four matches, the first one being the 5-0 drubbing away to Bologna. Marco Baroni’s men have managed only one win in the last six matches. This will not be the form they’ll want to parade against in-form Roma.
At home, Lazio’s only win in the last eight Serie A matches was against bottom-placed Monza. In the course of that run, Lazio suffered, among others, a 6-0 home loss to Inter Milan.
When playing as the away team, Roma posted five straight wins in the league.
AS Roma come into this game on a completely different run. Under Claudio Ranieri, the calm that has returned to the club can be touched and felt. There is a sense of purpose in the team, and results have shown.
Roma won the reverse fixture 2-0 and have now gone three Serie A matches without conceding against Lazio. Heading into this match, they had to rise from a goal down to draw 1-1 with Juventus.
That result halted their run of back-to-back wins after their elimination from the Europa League. Roma are, however, unbeaten in 15 league matches.
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Lazio vs Roma last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
Patric
N. Tavares
MidfielderA. Ibrahimovic
S. Abdulhamid
ForwardP. Dybala
Lazio & Roma Squad Analysis
In such a game, the availability of the top players matters a lot. For hosts Lazio, most of the players they’d want to have in the derby are available. The Biancocelesti will hope Valentin Castellanos rediscovers his scoring touch in this game.
The Argentine is the team’s leading scorer with nine goals. However, he has had a goal drought since the second week of February, when he scored in the 5-1 win against Monza.
Lazio will, in the meantime, be without defender Nuno Tavares. The Arsenal loanee is out with a muscle injury, and he will be missed more not for his defensive abilities but for his attacking.
While he has no goals this season, Tavares has provided eight assists.
No player is suspended for this game at both teams.
AS Roma will place their attacking hopes once again on Ukrainian Artem Dobvyk. The 27-year-old is having a superb first season in Italian football. He has scored 16 times across all competitions.
Of his goals, 11 came in Serie A, and he has two assists, making him an integral part of Claudio Ranieri’s team. With an expected goals rating of 11.64, Dobvyk will be a man to watch here.
Roma will, unfortunately, be without their experienced forward, Paulo Dybala, who is ruled out for the season with a hamstring injury. By the time of his injury, the Argentine had six goals and three assists.
Most goals and assists
Lazio
Roma
T. Castellanos
(12 Goals)
A. Dovbyk
(13 Goals)
N. Tavares
(9 Assists)
P. Dybala
(4 Assists)
Lazio and Roma Stats in Serie A
Lazio - Roma Key Points
- Seven of Roma’s last nine league matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- Roma are unbeaten in their last 15 league matches, winning 11.
- Roma won each of their last five away matches in the league.
- Four of Lazio’s last six matches had under 2.5 goals scored.
- Lazio only won once in the last eight home league games.
- Roma won the last two meetings between these teams.
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Our Lazio vs Roma Prediction
Roma are on a better run and had more assured displays, especially in defence. They have shown great grit in defending slim leads, and such factors define derbies. In their last four away matches in Serie A, Roma won by a single goal.
On the other hand, Lazio have been shaky defensively, and in a number of matches they conceded a lot. They also come into this game right from an away game in the Europa League, and fatigue could be a concern. Recent form favors Roma, who are also well rested. Our prediction for Lazio v Roma is for Roma to win and under 2.5 goals.
Lazio vs Roma - Other Interesting Predictions
Roma’s highest scoring half: Second Half
Roma are rarely fast starters; you aren’t always going to see a first-half goal from the visitors. However, that is much more likely in the second half, like it has been the case in six of their last seven matches.
Save for their win against Empoli, Roma’s first goal came in the second half in all the other six matches. Our second prediction here is for the second half to be Roma’s highest scoring half.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Lazio vs. Roma game!
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Lazio vs Roma match : Frequently asked questions
The Lazio v Roma match will be played on Sunday, 13th April.
The Lazio v Roma match will be staged at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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