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Lazio vs Porto Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
by Nella Wagah in Europa League Predictions
Italian side Lazio will be keen on keeping their perfect start in the Europa League as the league phase enters Match Day 4. The side from Rome will be at home to face off with former European champions FC Porto on Thursday in the next round. In this preview we will break down the stats and come up with a prediction of the likely outcome as I Biancocelesti take on Portuguese giants Dragões on Thursday.
A good start in the competition has Lazio as one of the three teams with nine points from three matches. A superior goal difference places them top of the standings, having won each of their matches by a margin of two or more goals.
While Lazio are flying high in the competition, FC Porto have had a rather timid start and only managed their first win on Match Day 3. The Portuguese side has dominated this fixture but can they finally get an away win at Lazio?
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The Best Betting Odds for Lazio v Porto Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.25 | 3.25 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.37 | 3.4 | 2.87 |
|
|
2.59 | 3.65 | 2.82 |
|
|
2.59 | 3.65 | 2.82 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.35 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.4 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.5 | 2.72 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.4 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.3 | 3 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.3 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.37 | 3.39 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.2 | 3 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.3 | 3.05 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lazio and Porto?
Our prediction for the Lazio vs Porto match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/11/2024 between Lazio and Porto in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.15% for a win of Lazio against Porto with odds of 2.59 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lazio vs Porto is 15.55% with odds of 3.65 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Porto vs Lazio with odds of 3.3 at Bet365.
Lazio - Porto Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lazio Porto Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lazio wins | 46.15% | 2.59 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.1% | 2.05 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lazio | 18.65% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Lazio vs Porto Form
Lazio and Porto's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 |
|
18
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Lazio and Porto Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2024 - Serie A
31 Oct 2024 - Serie A
27 Oct 2024 - Serie A
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
19 Oct 2024 - Serie A
6 Oct 2024 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2024 - Serie A
27 Oct 2024 - Serie A
6 Oct 2024 - Serie A
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
16 Sep 2024 - Serie A
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Oct 2024 - Serie A
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
19 Oct 2024 - Serie A
29 Sep 2024 - Serie A
25 Sep 2024 - Europa League
22 Sep 2024 - Serie A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
31 Oct 2024 - League Cup
28 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
20 Oct 2024 - Taca de Portugal
6 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
31 Oct 2024 - League Cup
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
6 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
29 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
20 Oct 2024 - Taca de Portugal
25 Sep 2024 - Europa League
21 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
31 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
16 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
Lazio vs Porto Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Feb 2022 - Europa League
17 Feb 2022 - Europa League
Lazio - Porto: Form Analysis
Lazio will welcome Porto to Rome just three days after their 2-1 win against Cagliari in Serie A. The scheduling could be done better, but Lazio have no complaints as they enjoy a purple patch. They head into Match Day 4 of the Europa League having won all the first three.
They kicked it off with a 3-0 win away to Dinamo Kiev, then beat Nice at home 4-1 before traveling to Twente, where they won 2-0. Their win over Twente is part of their current streak of four straight wins.
In their last nine matches, Lazio have eight wins, only falling to Juventus in that period. This match marks their fifth meeting with Porto in the Europa League. Lazio are still searching for their first win against the Portuguese giants.
Porto are unbeaten in their four matches against Lazio, winning twice.
Porto had an underwhelming start to the league phase, losing 3-2 to Bodo/Glimt. They conceded three a second time in their 3-3 draw with Manchester United. On Match Day 3, however, they recovered in a 2-0 home win over Hoffenheim.
That win is part of an eight-match unbeaten run that Porto carry into this game. Right before this game, Porto thrashed Estoril 4-0 in their domestic league. The last time they tasted defeat was that Match Day 1 reverse against Bodo/Glimt.
Heading to Italy backed by six straight wins will definitely pump up Porto and they have five straight clean sheets to add to it. Their two wins against Lazio in previous meetings were at home, and Porto will be trying to win this fixture in Italy.
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Lazio against Porto Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Lazio & Porto Squad Analysis
The stand out man for Lazio this season has been the Spanish forward, Pedro. In the Europa League, he has four goal contributions, netting twice and assisting as many.
Aside from the assurances Pedro brings, Lazio could have their skipper Mattia Zaccagni back from the start after his cameo against Cagliari. He rose from the bench to score the winner on Monday and will for sure play a key role in this game.
There will also be some fresh legs in for Lazio as Portuguese defender Nuno Tavares returns to action after serving his one match domestic ban.
Porto forward Samu Omorodion is the Europa League’s leading scorer with four goals.
At Porto, the positive news on the injury front is that there’s no new name being added to it. At the same time, no name has been struck off it.
That means Zaidu Sanusi is still missing despite recent improvement. Ivan Marcano and Wendell are also missing in action as they continue with their recovery processes. Like it has been in recent matches, Porto will once again carry their potency in attack here.
They have Galeno, scorer of two goals last weekend and Samu Omorodion, who has four goals in Europa League this season.
Most goals and assists
Lazio
Porto
T. Castellanos
(9 Goals)
S. Omorodion
(16 Goals)
N. Tavares
(8 Assists)
F. Moura
(5 Assists)
Lazio - Porto Key Points
- Each of Lazio’s last three matches had at least three goals.
- An average of 3.0 goals were scored in Lazio’s last five matches.
- Lazio scored nine goals in their opening three Europa League matches.
- Porto scored at least three goals in three of their last five matches.
- In Porto’s three Europa League matches, 13 goals were scored.
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Our Lazio vs Porto Prediction
Lazio’s home form has been great so far and it has gone hand in hand with an explosive attack. In seven home matches this season, they scored 18 times and high scores have been a norm in their matches.
They will come into this one bearing the same threat. Porto are similarly doing well on the attacking front and having struggled to get impressive results in the initial rounds, will want to win here. As we expect an end-to-end game, our prediction for Lazio v Porto is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Lazio vs Porto - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
With the two sides doing well in attack, we will stick to the goals market for our second prediction. Both teams scored in Lazio’s last two matches and they have only one clean sheet in five home matches.
They host a Porto side that has scored in each of the last 11 matches. As an alternative bet, go for both teams to score in this encounter.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lazio Porto
| Lazio vs Porto | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio wins | 2.2 | 2.5 | +13.6% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.35 | 0% |
| Porto wins | 3.25 | 2.8 | -13.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lazio is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 40.0% (-5.5%)
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Lazio vs Porto match : Frequently asked questions
The Lazio v Porto match will be played on Thursday 7th November.
The Lazio v Porto match will be played at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome.
The Lazio v Porto match will be on TV. In Italy, Sky will air the game and in Portugal, Sport TV and DAZN will air the match. We will also have the match updates via the Europa League livescores tab on Sportytrader.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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