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Lazio vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions
Revenge will be high on Napoli’s agenda as they head to the capital to face SS Lazio in a Serie A match scheduled for Saturday. For either side, this is one of the most crucial matches at this point of the season. Napoli will head into this game looking to keep their place at the league summit. Meanwhile, Lazio start the weekend placed fourth, and below we have the preview to this match, leading up to two predictions.
Hosts Lazio cannot move further up the league standings this weekend, but will at least be focused on not dropping lower, which is a possibility. The same will be Napoli’s concern, especially as they come into this game in stuttering form, having failed to win the last two games.
Napoli have also lost twice against Lazio this season alone. With Inter Milan and Juventus also facing off this weekend, this match could change the top four outlook.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lazio v Napoli Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.45 | 3.1 | 3 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.1 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.8 | 2.25 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.67 | 3.24 | 3.02 |
|
|
2.67 | 3.24 | 3.02 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.15 | 3 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.08 | 2.92 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.08 | 2.92 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.15 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.58 | 3.1 | 2.91 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.15 | 3 |
|
|
2.69 | 3.14 | 2.94 |
|
|
2.6 | 3 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.65 | 2.8 | 3 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.58 | 3.05 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.7 | 3 | 2.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lazio and Napoli?
Our prediction for the Lazio vs Napoli match is: Lazio to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/02/2025 between Lazio and Napoli in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.6% for a win of Lazio against Napoli with odds of 2.8 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lazio vs Napoli is 24.83% with odds of 3.24 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Napoli vs Lazio with odds of 3.1 at Ladbrokes.
Lazio - Napoli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lazio Napoli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 41.56% | 3.1 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.77% | 2.26 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 73.75% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Half-time : Lazio / Full-time : Napoli | 17.73% | 46 at Betsson |
Lazio vs Napoli Form
Lazio and Napoli's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
56 | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 22 |
|
5
|
46 | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
Lazio and Napoli Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
3 Feb 2025 - Serie A
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
19 Jan 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
10 Jan 2025 - Serie A
28 Dec 2024 - Serie A
16 Dec 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Feb 2025 - Serie A
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
19 Jan 2025 - Serie A
5 Jan 2025 - Serie A
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
25 Jan 2025 - Serie A
18 Jan 2025 - Serie A
12 Jan 2025 - Serie A
4 Jan 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
25 Jan 2025 - Serie A
12 Jan 2025 - Serie A
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
8 Dec 2024 - Serie A
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
18 Jan 2025 - Serie A
4 Jan 2025 - Serie A
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
14 Dec 2024 - Serie A
5 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
Lazio vs Napoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Dec 2024 - Serie A
5 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
28 Jan 2024 - Serie A
2 Sep 2023 - Serie A
3 Mar 2023 - Serie A
3 Sep 2022 - Serie A
Lazio - Napoli: Form Analysis
After struggling a bit, Lazio are back in business in Serie A. They blanked Monza 5-1 in their last outing for a second straight Serie A win.
The challenge gets tougher now for the hosts but having a good run against Napoli, Lazio will be confident going into this game. This match marks the third meeting between the two sides this season.
First Lazio eliminated Napoli from the Coppa Italia then they are responsible for Napoli’s latest defeat. Those two defeats were actually handed down in back-to-back matches.
This further extended Lazio’s dominance against Napoli. The hosts are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Napoli, winning four.
Napoli haven't beaten Lazio in any of their last five meetings.
Napoli have dropped points from winning positions in their last two matches. The first of those was at this same venue when they faced AS Roma. In that match, they conceded late and had to settle for a 1-1 draw.
At home to Udinese in the last round, the same happened again. Napoli led through Scott McTominay's 37th minute goal but almost immediately, relinquished their lead, to settle for a 1-1 draw.
These are signs of being under pressure but they must find a way to hold on, as Lazio could rip them apart. Though they remain the best defensive side in Serie A, Napoli have been losing their grip.
The league leaders have no clean sheet in the last four matches.
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Lazio against Napoli Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
Patric
E. Hysaj
MidfielderM. Vecino
M. Olivera
L. Spinazzola
ForwardD. Neres
Lazio & Napoli Squad Analysis
Lazio’s big win over Monza last time out came with a major casualty. Their forward Boulaye Dia left the match with what has been reported as a sprained ankle.
The man with six goals in the Serie A this season will watch this one from the stands. Marco Baroni might call on Pedro as a replacement here.
The Spaniard scored twice in the win over Monza and the manager might want to give him a run, just to tap on the player’s confidence. On the injury front, Matias Vecino, Patric, and Elseid Hysaj are all sidelined.
Napoli have a perfect record in Serie A when Lukaku scores.
Napoli’s Antonio Conte is also having a big headache, with his hand forced by injuries, coupled with winter departures. Kvhicha Kvaratskhelia is no longer in the Napoli ranks, David Neres took over his big boots.
He was doing well until he suffered a muscle injury that is said to rule him out for a month. Leonardo Spinazzola is also unavailable but Alessandro Buongiorno has returned from a long injury layoff.
Meanwhile, Napoli fans will hope for some Romelu Lukaku magic here. The Belgian rarely loses a match when he scores.
Most goals and assists
Lazio
Napoli
T. Castellanos
(12 Goals)
R. Lukaku
(9 Goals)
N. Tavares
(9 Assists)
R. Lukaku
(7 Assists)
Lazio - Napoli Key Points
- Napoli are winless in their last two outings.
- Lazio are coming off back-to-back wins in Serie A.
- Lazio won four of the last five matches against Napoli.
- Over 2.5 goals were scored in four of Lazio’s last five matches.
- Four of Napoli’s last five away matches witnessed over 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Lazio vs Napoli Prediction
Two sides in good form in the Italian Serie A face off here with one of the guarantees expected being goals in plenty. Four times in Lazio’s last five matches, over 2.5 goals were reached. This also applies to Napoli, whose away form has witnessed a lot of goals.
In terms of recent form, the two sides almost balance out but Lazio, with two wins in two against Napoli this season, will have the mental edge. Napoli will also be under pressure to stay top and to avoid going six matches without a win against Lazio, who have home advantage. Our prediction for Lazio v Napoli is: Lazio to win and over 2.5 goals.
Lazio vs Napoli - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Among the teams currently sitting in European football spots, Napoli are the lowest scorers. That’s not to mean they are poor in attack. They rarely fail to score in their matches, just that they don’t get to score a lot like their opponents in the top six.
Lazio are also prolific scorers in their own respect. A combination of this points us to the possibility of both teams scoring here, which makes up our second prediction.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lazio Napoli
| Lazio vs Napoli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio wins | 2.9 | 2.45 | -15.5% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.1 | -6.1% |
| Napoli wins | 2.4 | 3 | +25.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Napoli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 25.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.7% and is now 33.3% (-8.3%)
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Lazio vs Napoli match : Frequently asked questions
The Lazio v Napoli match will be staged at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome.
The Lazio v Napoli match will be played on Saturday 15th February.
Davide Massa has been selected as the match referee for the Lazio v Napoli match. He will be assisted by Giuseppe Perrotti and Luigi Rossi while Luca Pairettto will serve as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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