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Lazio vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips - Coppa Italia
by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
Lazio turn their attention to the Coppa Italia this week where they are set to welcome Napoli in the round of 16. In this article, we will take a look at both teams’ records and team news to effectively offer two predictions for this match.
This will be the first matchup between these two teams this season. It is also the first of a league and cup double header. Three days after this cup duel, the two will battle yet again, in the Serie A, with that second meeting to be hosted by Napoli.
Napoli have played in the last two rounds of the Cup while Lazio are making their tournament debut, courtesy of their high finish last season. Lazio are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Napoli and are the bookies’ favourite to advance to the next round. The winner of this one-legged tie will play Serie A rivals Inter Milan or Udinese in the quarter-finals.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lazio v Napoli Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.25 | 3.25 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.3 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.26 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.26 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.2 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.25 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.22 | 3.26 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.35 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.36 | 3.29 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.25 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.25 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lazio and Napoli?
Our prediction for the Lazio vs Napoli match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/12/2024 between Lazio and Napoli in Coppa Italia :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.88% for a win of Lazio against Napoli with odds of 2.6 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lazio vs Napoli is 23.02% with odds of 3.35 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Napoli vs Lazio with odds of 3.3 at Ladbrokes.
Lazio vs Napoli Form
Lazio and Napoli Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
4 Nov 2024 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
4 Nov 2024 - Serie A
27 Oct 2024 - Serie A
6 Oct 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
31 Oct 2024 - Serie A
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
19 Oct 2024 - Serie A
29 Sep 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
3 Nov 2024 - Serie A
29 Oct 2024 - Serie A
26 Oct 2024 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
3 Nov 2024 - Serie A
26 Oct 2024 - Serie A
4 Oct 2024 - Serie A
29 Sep 2024 - Serie A
26 Sep 2024 - Coppa Italia
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
29 Oct 2024 - Serie A
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
21 Sep 2024 - Serie A
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
Lazio vs Napoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Jan 2024 - Serie A
2 Sep 2023 - Serie A
3 Mar 2023 - Serie A
3 Sep 2022 - Serie A
27 Feb 2022 - Serie A
28 Nov 2021 - Serie A
Lazio - Napoli: Form Analysis
Lazio have hit a bump in their most recent fixtures. Marco Baroni’s men haven’t won any of their last two matches which is something that raises eyebrows given their form this year. Le Aquile were on a seven-match winning run before this blip.
It started with a 0-0 draw at home in the Europa League against Ludogorets and then a shock 3-1 loss to Parma. The loss against Parma, their first in the league in over a month, saw them drop to four points behind league leaders Napoli.
Lazio last failed to qualify from the last 16 round of the Coppa Italia back in the 2010/11 season. They have won the tournament twice since then and reached the semis last season.
These two sides have a combined 13 Coppa Italia titles; Lazio with seven and Napoli six.
Napoli have been defeated in the round of 16 in the Cup for three seasons straight. Another defeat in this round will be a historical low for the club in this tournament. Antonio Conte’s men have regained their form after a slight dip in form.
They have won their last two matches, all by similar 1-0 score lines. This has allowed them to maintain their hold on top spot in the league. Gli Azzurri defeated Lazio’s capital rivals Roma to stop a two-match run without a win and then saw off Torino last time out.
Napoli thumped Palermo 5-0 to book their place in the round of 16.
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Lazio vs Napoli last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
N. Tavares
P. Mazzocchi
Lazio & Napoli Squad Analysis
Lazio are likely to once again be without the injured trio of Nuno Tavares, Boulaye Dia, and Matias Vecino. Dia and Tavares’ likely unavailability is a big blow to the hosts.
Dia has scored six goals across all competitions while Tavares has racked up eight assists. Valentin Castellanos, Pedro and Mattia Zaccagni are however all available. The three have scored 26 goals between them this season.
Gaetano Castovilli is still out with a knee injury.
Napoli do not have many players on the injury list, like Lazio.
Napoli are faring much better than their hosts on the injury front. Pasquale Mazzocchi is the only player who is a doubt to be involved here. Scott McTominay has been a superb addition and will be one of the many players Napoli will look towards to decide this tie.
The midfielder was on target against Torino this past weekend and has now netted four goals across all competitions. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Romelu Lukaku have formed a formidable offensive line and have bagged a combined 11 goals. The two will be on show again in mid-week.
Most goals and assists
Lazio
Napoli
T. Castellanos
(8 Goals)
R. Lukaku
(5 Goals)
, 
K. Kvaratskhelia
(5 Goals)
N. Tavares
(8 Assists)
R. Lukaku
(4 Assists)
Lazio - Napoli Key Points
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in six of Lazio’s last eight fixtures.
- Nine of Lazio’s last 10 home matches had at least three goals.
- Four of Napoli's last five Coppa Italia matches had at least four goals scored.
- Five of the last seven matches between Napoli and Lazio produced over 2.5 goals.
- Three of Napoli’s last five meetings with Lazio had over 2.5 goals.
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Our Lazio vs Napoli Prediction
Our prediction for Lazio v Napoli is Over 2.5 goals. Lazio are seeking to return to winning ways and will need to be on their best offensive form to do so. The hosts are an excellent and free-scoring team.
They have scored at least two goals in all but one of their matches at home this season across all competitions. Napoli are also an above-average attacking team and only once have they failed to find the net in their last 10 games.
Lazio vs Napoli - Other Interesting Predictions
Lazio to win
For our second prediction for this match, we pick Lazio to win. Though they are coming into this tie in worse off form, Lazio have a strong recent run in this fixture. They are unbeaten in three meetings with Napoli, winning twice.
Lazio also haven’t lost at home since March, winning 13 of 16 matches in this period. Napoli on the other hand have lost in the round of 16 in the Coppa in the last three seasons.
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Lazio vs Napoli match : Frequently asked questions
The Lazio v Napoli match will be played on Thursday 5 December.
This match will be played at Lazio’s Stadio Olimpico in Rome.
Fans in the UK can catch this game live on Premier Sports 1. Live updates for this match and other Coppa Italia fixtures will be available on Sportytrader's Coppa Italia livescore.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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