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Europe - Champions League

Lazio
14 Feb 2024 15:00
Bayern Munich

Prediction :

 

Under 3.5 Goals

 
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Lazio vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

 by Sridhar | in Champions League Predictions

The first leg of the UEFA Champions League round of 16 will come to life as Lazio host Bayern Munich. This match will be played at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome on Wednesday. Lazio don't have happy memories of playing Bayern in this competition, with their last meeting in the 2020/21 round of 16 ending in defeat. In fact, this is their third appearance in the Champions League knockout stages and they are still looking to progress to the next round. Bayern have no such worries as the German giants have progressed from 11 of their last 12 round of 16 matches. They also boast a record of five consecutive wins over Italian sides in the Champions League. Will this game mark an addition to that count?

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The Best Betting Odds for Lazio v Bayern Munich Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
4.75 3.8 1.73
Betfred
5 4 1.67
Ladbrokes
4.75 3.7 1.73
NetBet
4.8 3.8 1.7
1xbet
5.05 3.88 1.74
22bet
5.05 3.88 1.74
Betwinner
4.8 4.04 1.67
LSbet
4.8 4.04 1.67
Stake
5.2 4.1 1.69
Melbet
4.92 3.8 1.7
Tonybet
5 4.1 1.67
Vbet
5.2 3.89 1.74
Betway
4.5 3.75 1.75
Unibet
4.9 3.75 1.68
Betfair
5 3.6 1.7
Betsson
4.8 4 1.72
William Hill
5 3.9 1.65
Check all Lazio vs Bayern Munich odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lazio and Bayern Munich?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/02/2024 between Lazio and Bayern Munich in Champions League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37% for a win of Lazio against Bayern Munich with odds of 5.2 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lazio vs Bayern Munich is 14.8% with odds of 4.1 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 48.2% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayern Munich vs Lazio with odds of 1.75 at Betway.

Lazio - Bayern Munich Prediction and Best Odds:

Lazio Bayern Munich Prediction Probability Odds
Bayern Munich wins 48.2% 1.75 at Betway
Under 2.5 53.02% 2.1 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 50%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bayern Munich 23.04% 4.5 at Bet365

Lazio vs Bayern Munich Form

Lazio and Bayern Munich Last Matches

Lazio
Lazio Last matches
W W L D L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  3
Lazio

4 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  1
Lazio

28 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  0
Napoli

19 Jan 2024 - Super Cup

Inter Milan
3 :  0
Lazio

14 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
Lecce

10 Jan 2024 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
Roma
W L W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

28 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  0
Napoli

14 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
Lecce

10 Jan 2024 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
Roma

29 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  1
Frosinone

17 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Inter Milan

5 Dec 2023 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
Genoa
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  3
Lazio

4 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  1
Lazio

19 Jan 2024 - Super Cup

Inter Milan
3 :  0
Lazio

7 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  2
Lazio

22 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Empoli
0 :  2
Lazio

13 Dec 2023 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Lazio
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich Last matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  0
Bayern Munich

3 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Mönchengladbach

27 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
2 :  3
Bayern Munich

24 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
1 :  0
Union Berlin

21 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
0 :  1
Werder Bremen

12 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
Hoffenheim
D W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Mönchengladbach

24 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
1 :  0
Union Berlin

21 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
0 :  1
Werder Bremen

12 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
Hoffenheim

17 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
Stuttgart

29 Nov 2023 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
0 :  0
FC Copenhagen
L W W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  0
Bayern Munich

27 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
2 :  3
Bayern Munich

6 Jan 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Basel 1893
1 :  1
Bayern Munich

20 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

12 Dec 2023 - Champions League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Bayern Munich

9 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
5 :  1
Bayern Munich

Lazio vs Bayern Munich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lazio

0 %

Draw

0 %

Bayern Munich

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (Team 1)
3
Goals scored (Team 2)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

17 Mar 2021 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
2 :  1
Lazio

23 Feb 2021 - Champions League

Lazio
1 :  4
Bayern Munich
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Lazio - Bayern Munich: Form Analysis

Lazio won 3-1 against Cagliari in Serie A over the weekend to halt a three-game winless run. It was a much-needed victory as the team needed to recapture the momentum of a five-game winning sequence stitched between mid-December and mid-January. As they battle for a top-four spot in Italy staying outside of the pack, their focus now returns to Europe where they have had mixed results this season. Lazio won three and lost just two of their last five Champions League games, but one of those defeats came in their most recent match. Yet, they have won their last two such matches at home and have also won three of the last four competitive home games, which should increase their confidence.

Bayern were comprehensively beaten 3-0 by Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga, which was just their fifth defeat of the season. Interestingly, each of their last four defeats have been followed by a win and the visitors would be keen to continue that tradition. Their European pedigree is there for all to see, having topped their group with an impressive 16-point collection from Group A, winning five and drawing one of their matches. That included winning all their three away matches and the Bavarians will be looking to repeat that streak. Yet, in a sign of caution to the traveling fans, three of their defeats in this campaign have come on the road.

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Lazio against Bayern Munich Lineups: Starting 11

Lazio

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

94
I. Provedel
77
A. Marusic
34
M. Gila
13
A. Romagnoli
23
E. Hysaj
8
M. Guendouzi
32
D. Cataldi
10
L. Alberto
18
G. Isaksen
17
C. Immobile
7
F. Anderson
9
H. Kane
42
J. Musiala
25
T. Muller
10
L. Sane
8
L. Goretzka
6
J. Kimmich
22
R. Guerreiro
3
K. Min-jae
2
D. Upamecano
40
N. Mazraoui
1
M. Neuer

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Bayern Munich

Lazio & Bayern Munich Squad Analysis

Lazio will be without Davide Renzetti who's suspended for this match. Patric is doubtful here, while Mattia Zaccagni is also being monitored for injuries. Nicollo Rovella will be available for this Champions League game as his one-match ban is for domestic games. Bayern will be without key players as Serge Gnabry, Alphonso Davies, Konrad Laimer, Bouna Sarr, and Kingsley Coman are all out of this match with injuries. New signing Bryan Zaragoza is available for selection after overcoming illness.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lazio
CD Huachipato Bayern Munich
Top Goalscorer
Italy C. Immobile (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England H. Kane (44 Goals)
Best assists
Spain L. Alberto (8 Assists)
Best assists
Germany L. Sane (13 Assists)

Lazio - Bayern Munich Key Points

  1. In 17 of their last 20 competitive matches, Lazio have seen under 3.5 goals scored
  2. Lazio have seen under 3.5 goals in five of their six Champions League matches of this season
  3. All three home matches involving Lazio in the Champions League this season have produced under 3.5 goals
  4. Seven of Bayern’s last nine competitive matches have returned under 3.5 goals
  5. In four of their last five Champions League matches, Bayern have produced under 3.5 goals
  6. That included two of their three away Champions League matches
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Our Lazio vs Bayern Munich Prediction

After reviving their league campaign over the weekend with a win, Lazio faced this tricky game. They have never made it to the quarters of the competition, and need to overcome that psychological hurdle. interestingly, the only previous time they played at this stage was against Bayern in 2021, which they lost. Bayern are coming off a loss to Bayer Leverkusen which is a deep hit to their morale especially as their chances of Bundesliga title have taken a hit. That should increase their focus in Europe, but they are likely to target avoiding a defeat here to keep their progression hopes hinging on second-leg at home. Our prediction for Lazio vs Bayern Munich is for under 3.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

 

Under 3.5 Goals

 
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Lazio vs Bayern Munich match : Frequently asked questions

Lazio vs Bayern Munich Champions League match is scheduled for a 8pm GMT kick-off on Wednesday February 14, 2024.
This is Lazio's home game and so Lazio vs Bayern Munich Champions League match is set to be played at Stadio Olimpico in Rome.

Lazio vs Bayern Munich Champions League match will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 1. Subscribers will be able to watch on a live stream via the Discovery+ App and website.

You can also keep up to the minute with all the action on the Champions League  Champions League livescore  page.

François Letexier is the match referee for this Lazio vs Bayern Munich game. He will be assisted by Cyril Mugnier and Mehdi Rahmouni. The fourth official for this game is Stéphanie Frappart. The video assistant referee is Jérôme Brisard.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lazio vs Bayern Munich Prediction
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