Italy - Serie A
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Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions
There won’t be much room for error when Lazio plays host to AC Milan in the two teams’ next Serie A encounter. They will face off on Saturday 31st August at the Olympic Stadium, with both looking to rise from losses in their last outings. Read on for our preview and prediction of this match.
AC Milan’s quest to reclaim the Serie A title is already facing headwinds, occasioned by their shock defeat away to Parma last week. They face another tough assignment and there has been a shortage of easy moments for the new man in charge, Paulo Fonseca.
As Milan suffered at Parma, Lazio were going through their own trying moments in Udine. Faced with what should have been an easy outing against 10 men, Lazio had to wait until stoppage time to get a consolation goal in their 2-1 defeat to Udinese. With the international break approaching, these sides will hope to bag three points here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lazio v AC Milan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11 | 1.11 | 13 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.2 | 2.37 |
|
|
7.68 | 1.32 | 7.14 |
|
|
7.68 | 1.32 | 7.14 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.4 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.86 | 3.52 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.86 | 3.52 | 2.38 |
|
|
11.75 | 1.09 | 11 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.5 | 2.44 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.45 | 2.48 |
|
|
29 | 1.02 | 21 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.45 | 2.43 |
|
|
21 | 1.06 | 16 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.35 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.5 | 2.4 |
|
|
13 | 1.15 | 12 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lazio and AC Milan?
Our prediction for the Lazio vs AC Milan match is: Lazio to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/08/2024 between Lazio and AC Milan in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.52% for a win of Lazio against AC Milan with odds of 29 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lazio vs AC Milan is 23.8% with odds of 3.52 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.68% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Lazio with odds of 21 at Betway.
Lazio - AC Milan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lazio AC Milan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lazio wins | 50.52% | 29 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.63% | 2.4 at Betfair |
| Both Team To Score | 73.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Lazio/Lazio | 23.33% | 276 at Betfair |
Lazio vs AC Milan Form
Lazio and AC Milan's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
34 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 8 |
|
8
|
26 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Lazio and AC Milan Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Serie A
18 Aug 2024 - Serie A
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Aug 2024 - Serie A
18 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - Serie A
12 May 2024 - Serie A
27 Apr 2024 - Serie A
23 Apr 2024 - Coppa Italia
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Serie A
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Serie A
17 Aug 2024 - Serie A
13 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Serie A
13 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2024 - Serie A
11 May 2024 - Serie A
5 May 2024 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Serie A
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 May 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2024 - Serie A
Lazio vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Mar 2024 - Serie A
30 Sep 2023 - Serie A
6 May 2023 - Serie A
24 Jan 2023 - Serie A
24 Apr 2022 - Serie A
9 Feb 2022 - Coppa Italia
Lazio - AC Milan: Form Analysis
After an unconvincing campaign in Serie A last season, when they finished seventh, Lazio were expected to take the lessons to the 2024/25 campaign. Back then, they managed just four points from a possible 15 in the opening five matches.
They are once again experiencing a tough start to the Serie A, heading into round three of the league having already lost. The hosts had to come from down to beat Venezia 3-1 in their opening game but they couldn’t replicate that on Match Day 2.
Their trip to Udinese ended in a 2-1 defeat, as Lazio left it late before getting their consolation goal. That was despite Udinese playing with 10 men for the closing 22 minutes of the match. They have another tough outing here but with a six-game unbeaten run at home in Serie A, Lazio will be confident.
Milan haven't lost to Lazio in three straight meetings.
Milan will also be confident in their own right as they head to Rome. They haven't lost to Lazio in their last three meetings, and command a run of four wins in their last five encounters.
Though it is a solid run and reads well on paper, Milan are desperate for three points, having managed just one from their opening two matches. The visitors started their season with a 2-2 draw at home to Torino, needing two late goals to rise from 2-0 down.
When it seemed they would get their act right against newly promoted Parma, Milan ended up losing 2-1. Conceding four goals in their opening two matches should be a major concern at Milan, aside from the fact they trailed in both matches.
What is more worrying though, is the fact that in their last nine league outings, they managed just one win.
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Players list
I. Provedel
DefenderPatric
A. Romagnoli
E. Hysaj
MidfielderA. Marusic
M. Guendouzi
N. Rovella
M. Zaccagni
ForwardG. Isaksen
F. Dele-Bashiru
T. Noslin
M. Maignan
DefenderT. Hernandez
F. Tomori
S. Pavlovic
MidfielderF. Terracciano
Y. Fofana
Y. Musah
R. Leao
R. Loftus-Cheek
ForwardC. Pulisic
T. Abraham
Substitutes
A. Furlanetto
C. Mandas
DefenderE. Hysaj
A. Marusic
G. Castrovilli
F. Dele-Bashiru
M. Vecino
ForwardG. Isaksen
T. Noslin
Pedro
L. Torriani
N. Raveyre
DefenderD. Bartesaghi
D. Calabria
T. Hernandez
M. Gabbia
MidfielderY. Musah
K. Zeroli
H. Cuenca
ForwardT. Abraham
R. Leao
F. Camarda
Lazio & AC Milan Squad Analysis
Lazio will have a defensive headache going into this game, owing to injuries and other issues. Central defender Nicolo Casale, who has featured in both opening matches, is a doubt following a calf problem as rumors also swirl concerning a potential move to Bologna.
Meanwhile, Lazio's other central defender Mario Gila is out with injury while left-back Luca Pellegrini may not be in the best condition for this game after being involved in a car accident.
Both Lazio and Milan will miss key players in this game.
At Milan, new signing Alvaro Morata scored in the opening game but suffered a thigh injury. He could be out of this game too, after missing the loss to Parma.
Should the Spaniard fail to make the cut then they could turn to Noah Okafor once again, although the Swiss international struggled to lead the line in the previous match. The visitors will be hoping for another strong performance from Cristian Pulisic after the USA captain scored in the last game.
Most goals and assists
Lazio
AC Milan
T. Castellanos
(9 Goals)
C. Pulisic
(8 Goals)
N. Tavares
(8 Assists)
R. Leao
(5 Assists)
,
C. Pulisic
(5 Assists)
, 
Y. Fofana
(5 Assists)
Lazio - AC Milan Key Points
- Lazio are unbeaten in six home matches in Serie A, winning five.
- Dating back to last season, Milan have lost their last two away league matches and have failed to win in four road trips.
- 2.6 goals were scored on average in the last six meetings between these teams.
- Five of Milan’s last six away league matches produced over 2.5 goals.
- Milan have one win in their last nine Serie A matches.
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Our Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction
Neither of these teams look solid in defence. Milan have conceded four times in the two league matches played this season. Lazio conceded one goal less but they have yet to keep a clean sheet in their two matches. The two teams’ matches have produced over 2.5 goals as a result of their attacking prowess as well. Here we are looking at a possibly high scoring game.
In terms of recent form, Lazio will have the edge, especially focusing on how they’ve done at home. With that in mind, our prediction for Lazio v AC Milan is for Lazio to win and over 2.5 goals.
Lazio vs AC Milan - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in these two teams’ opening two matches and with their documented attacking threats, we expect the trend to continue. Our second prediction for the game, therefore, is for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lazio AC Milan
| Lazio vs AC Milan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio wins | 2.5 | 11 | +340.0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 1.11 | -67.4% |
| AC Milan wins | 2.55 | 13 | +409.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lazio is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 340.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 9.1% (-30.9%)
Lazio vs AC Milan match : Frequently asked questions
The Lazio v AC Milan match will be played on Saturday 31st August starting 7.45pm GMT.
The Lazio v AC Milan match will be played at the Stadio Olimpico.
The Lazio v AC Milan match will be officiated by Davide Massa as the center referee, assisted by Filippo Meli and Stefano Forneau.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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