Latvia vs North Macedonia Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Ian John in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Latvia host North Macedonia in an important Nations League Group C4 match on Thursday. The home team 11 Vilki (11 Wolves) face the Macedonian Lions with a potential top spot in the group on offer for the winner. What market are we backing in our prediction for this seemingly even contest?
The home side came into this game with a slightly better record in their past ten matches than their opponents. Latvia have won three of those ten, all at home, against Armenia (2-0) and twice recording 1-0 wins over the Faroe Islands (including in their most recent fixture in the Nations League).
However, they were well-beaten by Armenia in their opening Nations League clash, losing 4-1 in Yerevan on Matchday One. Their form is inconsistent in their last six games, all of which have been against lower-ranking opponents but resulted only in two wins, two draws and two defeats.
North Macedonia may have a slightly worse record than Latvia in their past ten games, but they have faced significantly better opposition. They have lost to Croatia (3-0), the Czech Republic (2-1), Italy (5-2), and Ukraine (2-0) and drew with England (1-1).
They began the Nations League with a disappointing 1-1 draw away at the Faroe Islands. However, on Matchday Two, they bounced back with a 2-0 win over Armenia to take over top spot in the group.
Winger Enis Bardhi has been a star man for North Macedonia, netting in both Nations League games so far.
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The Best Betting Odds for Latvia v North Macedonia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.8 | 3.2 | 2 |
|
|
3.75 | 2.3 | 2.37 |
|
|
4.27 | 3.33 | 2.08 |
|
|
4.27 | 3.33 | 2.08 |
|
|
4 | 3.15 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.86 | 3.18 | 2.09 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.1 | 2 |
|
|
4.12 | 3.2 | 2.01 |
|
|
3.85 | 3.25 | 2.04 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Latvia and North Macedonia?
Our prediction for the Latvia vs North Macedonia match is: North Macedonia to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2024 between Latvia and North Macedonia in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.8% for a win of Latvia against North Macedonia with odds of 4.27 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Latvia vs North Macedonia is 21.3% with odds of 3.33 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.9% chance ⭐ for a win of North Macedonia vs Latvia with odds of 2.37 at Ladbrokes.
Latvia vs North Macedonia Form
Latvia and North Macedonia's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
|
3
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Latvia and North Macedonia Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup
8 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Latvia against North Macedonia : Head to Head (H2H)
9 Sep 2019 - Euro
Latvia vs North Macedonia last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Latvia and North Macedonia Stats in UEFA Nations League
Latvia - North Macedonia Key Points
- Despite a tough run of games, North Macedonia has two wins and three draws in its last ten games.
- Latvia have won just three of their past 11 matches at home.
- In three previous games with Latvia, North Macedonia have scored seven, conceding two.
- Latvia have lost all three previous games with North Macedonia.
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Our Latvia vs North Macedonia Prediction
Our prediction for the Latvia vs. North Macedonia Nations League Group C4 clash is: North Macedonia to win.
A look at the data suggests that this game should be a close call. However, one notable consideration has to be the quality of the opponent faced. Latvia's record against lower-level opponents is modest. North Macedonia has faced much more difficult opposition (including Italy, England and Ukraine) in recent times and have a similar record. As such, backing the visitors to claim a vital win in this group is a good value bet.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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