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Las Palmas vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Devesh Jaganath in LaLiga Predictions
The final match in a bumper-to-bumper midweek of La Liga action will come from Estadio de Gran Canaria, where Las Palmas will be playing host to defending league champions Real Madrid on Thursday night. Los Amarillos are in 13th place while Los Blancos are fifth. Let’s get into the match prediction.
These two sides had contrasting seasons in 2023-24, with Las Palmas spending the majority of the campaign near the relegation scrap while Real Madrid were holding off rivals Barcelona for the La Liga title.
Los Merengues won the previous match between these sides 2-1 last season at this venue and are the clear favourites at the books in this one as well. Like most sides in the division, Los Amarillos do not have a very good record against the defending champions, but can they find a way to upset the odds? Here are the key details of this matchup.
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The Best Betting Odds for Las Palmas v Real Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15 | 1.18 | 6.5 |
|
|
8 | 5.5 | 1.33 |
|
|
11 | 6.94 | 1.14 |
|
|
11 | 6.94 | 1.14 |
|
|
9 | 5.5 | 1.33 |
|
|
8.4 | 5.35 | 1.34 |
|
|
8.4 | 5.35 | 1.34 |
|
|
20 | 1.12 | 6 |
|
|
7.8 | 5.15 | 1.37 |
|
|
7.8 | 5.4 | 1.38 |
|
|
21 | 1.47 | 3.3 |
|
|
34 | 1.06 | 11 |
|
|
9 | 5.4 | 1.33 |
|
|
46 | 1.07 | 10.5 |
|
|
10 | 5.5 | 1.32 |
|
|
9.5 | 5.5 | 1.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Las Palmas and Real Madrid?
Our prediction for the Las Palmas vs Real Madrid match is: Second Half Result - Real Madrid!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/08/2024 between Las Palmas and Real Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 15.72% for a win of Las Palmas against Real Madrid with odds of 46 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Las Palmas vs Real Madrid is 39.08% with odds of 6.94 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs Las Palmas with odds of 11 at Betway.
Las Palmas - Real Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Las Palmas Real Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 45.19% | 11 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.04% | 6 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 63.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Madrid | 22.29% | 15 at Betfair |
Las Palmas vs Real Madrid Form
Las Palmas and Real Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
27 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
|
16
|
12 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -6 |
Las Palmas and Real Madrid Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
16 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
2 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - LaLiga
16 May 2024 - LaLiga
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - LaLiga
11 May 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
18 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
14 Aug 2024 - Uefa Super Cup
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
14 Aug 2024 - Uefa Super Cup
25 May 2024 - LaLiga
14 May 2024 - LaLiga
8 May 2024 - Champions League
4 May 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Jun 2024 - Champions League
19 May 2024 - LaLiga
Las Palmas vs Real Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
27 Sep 2023 - LaLiga
31 Mar 2018 - LaLiga
5 Nov 2017 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2017 - LaLiga
24 Sep 2016 - LaLiga
Las Palmas - Real Madrid: Form Analysis
While Las Palmas only managed 16th place last season, avoiding the drop by seven points would have been seen as a net positive for the club in their first season back in the top flight.
Los Amarillos earned 25 of their 40 point-tally last season at home and drew their final three matches of the campaign. However, they failed to win any of their last eight games at this venue.
This term, the hosts have yet to win a match, drawing their season-opener 2-2 at home to Sevilla before losing 2-1 on the road to Leganes on Sunday night.
Las Palmas have not beaten Real Madrid in their last nine attempts (W0 D2 L7)!
The 2023-24 season was another memorable one for Real Madrid, as they not only secured their 36th La Liga title but also earned a record-extending 15th Champions League title in the process.
Los Blancos are on four points after the first two league games this season, which began with an unexpected 1-1 draw away to newly promoted Mallorca, but they bounced back in fine style last weekend, easing past Real Valladolid 3-0.
The visitors enter this match unbeaten in their last 16 away league matches and only lost once on the road across the entire of last season.
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Las Palmas against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
A. Januzaj
D. Alaba
Las Palmas & Real Madrid Squad Analysis
New boss Luis Miguel Carrion has two confirmed absentees for this match with Adnan Januzaj and Jesus Crespo ruled out of action until next month with a muscle and hamstring injury respectively.
Former Everton forward Sandro Ramirez has caught the eye for Los Amarillos this season, scoring in both their league games so far, and he will be one to watch in this match.
David Alaba, Jude Bellingham and Eduardo Camavinga are ruled out of this match for Real Madrid through injury!
After making a dream start to life in Madrid, scoring in the Super Cup final, Kylian Mbappe has not opened his La Liga account as yet and will see this as the perfect opportunity to do so.
With Bellingham facing a spell on the sideline, Carlo Ancelotti will likely look to veteran Luka Modric to pull the strings in the midfield, while Brahim Diaz will be hoping to make the starting 11 after scoring off the bench at the weekend.
Most goals and assists
Las Palmas
Real Madrid
A. Moleiro
(4 Goals)
V. Junior
(12 Goals)
O. McBurnie
(3 Assists)
V. Junior
(4 Assists)
Las Palmas - Real Madrid Key Points
- Las Palmas have failed to win the second half in any of their last 10 La Liga matches.
- Las Palmas are winless in their last 16 league games.
- Las Palmas have not won any of their last eight home league matches.
- Real Madrid have won the second half in seven of their last 10 La Liga matches.
- Real Madrid have scored 13 goals in the second half of their last 10 league games.
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Our Las Palmas vs Real Madrid Prediction
Given the league records of these two sides, Real Madrid should canter to victory here and will be looking forward to the trip as they continue to work back to full fitness ahead of a long season.
Los Blancos are expected to dominate this match from the off, and they are known for finishing matches very well, as we saw last week when all three of their goals came in the second half. Therefore, our Las Palmas vs Real Madrid prediction: Second Half Result - Real Madrid!
Las Palmas vs Real Madrid - Other Interesting Predictions
Real Madrid Over 1.5 Goals
Real Madrid have scored two or more goals in each of their last six matches against this opponent dating back to September 2016.
Kylian Mbappe To Score Anytime
Kylian Mbappe scored 27 goals in 29 Ligue 1 matches last season and 44 goals in 48 games in all competitions. The French captain will be desperate to get off the mark for his new employers in this match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Las Palmas Real Madrid
| Las Palmas vs Real Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas wins | 7 | 15 | +114.3% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 1.18 | -75.2% |
| Real Madrid wins | 1.4 | 6.5 | +364.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 364.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 71.4% and is now 15.4% (-56.0%)
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Las Palmas vs Real Madrid match : Frequently asked questions
The La Liga match between Las Palmas and Real Madrid will be played on August 29 at 20:30 GMT.
The La Liga match between Las Palmas and Real Madrid will take place at Estadio de Gran Canaria in Las Palmas.
The La Liga match between Las Palmas and Real Madrid will be broadcast live in the UK on Amazon Prime Video.
You can also keep up-to-the-minute with all the La Liga Liverscores right here on SportyTrader!
In 12 previous matches between these sides, Real Madrid have won nine, Las Palmas have won once and two games ended in a draw.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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