Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Sridhar in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Kosovo will look to make their home advantage count against Iceland in the first leg of the UEFA Nations League B/C play-offs. This match at the Fadil Vokrri Stadium on Thursday between the hosting Dardanians and the visiting Boys comes with our prediction of a home win.
The winner of this two-legged tie will play in League B of the 2026-27 Nations League, while the loser will have to make do with a place in League C. It will be a promotion for Kosovo if that happens, as they finished second in Group C2 in this edition, with four wins and two losses.
They finished the group engagements with four wins out of five and come here with some momentum. Even their home form improved, as they won their recent two home games after starting with a defeat against Romania on matchday one.
That’s not good news for Iceland, who finished third in Group B4 with seven points (W2, D1, L3). As they aim to retain their position in the division, Iceland will have to improve their recent form.
Just one win in the last five Nations League matches doesn’t make great reading, but worse is their away form that landed two defeats out of three in this campaign.
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The Best Betting Odds for Kosovo v Iceland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.91 | 3.4 | 4 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.2 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.45 | 2.37 | 3.5 |
|
|
2 | 3.49 | 4.1 |
|
|
2 | 3.49 | 4.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Kosovo and Iceland?
Our prediction for the Kosovo vs Iceland match is: Kosovo wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/03/2025 between Kosovo and Iceland in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.5% for a win of Kosovo against Iceland with odds of 2.45 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Kosovo vs Iceland is 12.61% with odds of 3.5 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Iceland vs Kosovo with odds of 4.1 at 1xbet.
Kosovo - Iceland Prediction and Best Odds:
| Kosovo Iceland Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kosovo wins | 48.5% | 2.45 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.97% | 2.24 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 31.25% | 1.91 at Vbet |
| Half-time: Iceland / Full-time: Kosovo | 21.58% | 36 at Vbet |
Kosovo vs Iceland Form
Kosovo and Iceland Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
12 Nov 2023 - Euro
9 Sep 2023 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Oct 2023 - Euro
13 Oct 2023 - Euro
11 Sep 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
Kosovo vs Iceland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
9 Oct 2017 - World Cup
Kosovo against Iceland Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Kosovo
Iceland
V. Muriqi
(5 Goals)
O. Oskarsson
(5 Goals)
M. Rashica
(3 Assists)
J. Gudmundsson
(2 Assists)
Kosovo - Iceland Key Points
- Kosovo won four of their last five matches.
- At home too, Kosovo won four of their last five Nations League matches, losing only once.
- Iceland lost seven of their last ten away Nations League matches, winning only once.
- In the Nations League, home and away, Iceland lost three of their last five matches.
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Our Kosovo vs Iceland Prediction
This is just the third match between these nations, with the previous two played in 2016/17. Iceland won both those matches, but that was a period they were on the ascendancy. Recent form isn’t too great for Iceland, who travel here with some poor run on the road. Kosovo, on the other hand, have been in good form coming into the playoffs. They will be hoping to make the most of their first-leg home advantage, and that’s why our Kosovo vs Iceland prediction is Kosovo wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Kosovo Iceland
| Kosovo vs Iceland | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kosovo wins | 2.35 | 1.91 | -18.7% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.4 | +4.6% |
| Iceland wins | 3 | 4 | +33.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Kosovo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 18.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.6% and is now 52.4% (9.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Kosovo vs. Iceland game!
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Try your luck on this year's UEFA Nations League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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