Scotland - Scottish Premiership
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by Sridhar in Scottish Premiership Predictions
The rescheduled matchday 11 fixture of the Scottish Premiership gives a chance for Motherwell to put pressure on the top four when they meet Kilmarnock. This match at Rugby Park between the 10th-placed Killie and the 5th-placed Steelmen on Wednesday comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
Kilmarnock starts this match with 24 points from 22 matches and only one above the bottom two positions, while Motherwell has 30 points from 21 matches and four behind the top four. The hosts are coming off a 1-0 defeat to Ross County at this venue on Sunday, with the defining goal coming in the 86th minute. That was Kilmarnock’s second defeat in their last three matches, but an unbeaten four-game run prior to that suggests they can’t be taken lightly.
Especially at home, Kilmarnock has three wins from their last four home league games and will hope to revive that winning streak. Motherwell had a 2-0 win over Aberdeen on Sunday at home, halting their four-game winless run prior to that victory.
The Steelmen are closer to the top-four spots and will hope this win can spark their revival. The visitors will, however, have to overcome their poor away record, having lost four of their last five league trips.
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The Best Betting Odds for Kilmarnock v Motherwell Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 3.5 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.5 | 4.2 |
|
|
2.25 | 2.37 | 4 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.48 | 4.01 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.48 | 4.01 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Kilmarnock and Motherwell?
Our prediction for the Kilmarnock vs Motherwell match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/01/2025 between Kilmarnock and Motherwell in Scottish Premiership :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.76% for a win of Kilmarnock against Motherwell with odds of 2.25 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Kilmarnock vs Motherwell is 24.91% with odds of 3.6 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Motherwell vs Kilmarnock with odds of 4.6 at Vbet.
Kilmarnock - Motherwell Prediction and Best Odds:
| Kilmarnock Motherwell Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock wins | 44.76% | 2.25 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 60.88% | 1.94 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 42.71% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Kilmarnock | 20.31% | 5 at Betfair |
Kilmarnock vs Motherwell Form
Kilmarnock and Motherwell's standings in the Scottish Premiership
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
38 | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | -17 |
|
10
|
32 | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | -18 |
Kilmarnock and Motherwell Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership
2 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership
29 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
26 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
20 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
15 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership
2 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership
26 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
15 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
30 Nov 2024 - Scottish Premiership
10 Nov 2024 - Scottish Premiership
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
20 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
7 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
4 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
23 Nov 2024 - Scottish Premiership
3 Nov 2024 - Scottish Premiership
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership
2 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership
29 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
26 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
20 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
14 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership
29 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
20 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
14 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
30 Nov 2024 - Scottish Premiership
9 Nov 2024 - Scottish Premiership
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership
26 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
7 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
4 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
23 Nov 2024 - Scottish Premiership
30 Oct 2024 - Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Motherwell Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
75 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
18 Aug 2024 - Scottish League Cup
3 Feb 2024 - Scottish Premiership
23 Dec 2022 - Scottish Premiership
Players list
R. McCrorie
DefenderL. Mayo
R. Deas
J. Wright
B. Anderson
MidfielderD. Armstrong
B. Lyons
L. Polworth
J. Burroughs
ForwardB. Wales
M. Watkins
A. Oxborough
DefenderP. McGinn
S. O'Donnell
D. Casey
E. Wilson
K. Balmer
MidfielderK. Andrews
D. Zdravkovski
ForwardM. Ebiye
T. Watt
T. Sparrow
Substitutes
K. O'Hara
DefenderO. Bainbridge
MidfielderL. Donnelly
J. Burroughs
R. McKenzie
G. Mackay-Steven
D. Watson
D. Armstrong
B. Anderson
K. Hegyi
DefenderP. McGinn
S. Blaney
S. O'Donnell
C. Slattery
T. Sparrow
K. Andrews
M. Ebiye
S. Nicholson
Most goals and assists
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
B. Anderson
(9 Goals)
A. Stamatelopoulos
(5 Goals)
, 
T. Maswanhise
(5 Goals)
Kilmarnock - Motherwell Key Points
- Five of the last six Premiership matches between Kilmarnock and Motherwell produced under 2.5 goals.
- In six of Kilmarnock’s last seven home league games, there have been two or fewer goals.
- Kilmarnock has seen fewer than three goals in nine of their last 11 Premiership matches.
- Motherwell failed to score in their last two away league matches.
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Our Kilmarnock vs Motherwell Prediction
Motherwell may be close to the top-four spots, but their recent away record is below par. That gives hope to Kilmarnock to get back to winning form at home, as their three-match winning streak at Rugby Park ended last Sunday. Kilmarnock won this fixture last year by a 1-0 scoreline and won’t mind a repeat score this time out. Incidentally, these two teams have been among the lowest scorers in this league campaign, which could continue here. That’s why our prediction for Kilmarnock v Motherwell is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Kilmarnock Motherwell
| Kilmarnock vs Motherwell | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock wins | 1.95 | 1.83 | -6.2% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.5 | -2.8% |
| Motherwell wins | 3.6 | 4.33 | +20.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Kilmarnock is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.3% and is now 54.6% (3.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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