Kenya vs Zimbabwe Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Devesh Jaganath in AFCON Predictions
Just under seven months since the last instalment of the Africa Cup of Nations was completed, qualifying for the 2025 edition kicks off this week with Kenya taking on Zimbabwe on Wednesday afternoon. Joining the Harambee Stars and the Warriors in Group J are Cameroon and Namibia, who will face off later in the day. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Both these sides will be hoping to have a solid qualifying campaign after they were disqualified from participating in the previous tournament by FIFA due to governmental interference in the running of their games.
Kenya come into this match following a good showing at the COSAFA Cup back in July where they finished second in their group with a record of two wins and one loss in their three matches.
The Harambee Stars’ have only suffered one defeat in their last eight matches, which was against the Comores, while they’ve won five and drawn two of the remaining seven,
Meanwhile, Zimbabwe were drawn in the same group as Kenya at the COSAFA Cup and ended level on six points with them but finished in third place in the standings owing to the head-to-head record.
In fact, it was the Warriors' last competitive match leading up to this one that ended in a 2-0 defeat to the Harambee Stars on July 7.
Zimbabwe have won three, drawn one and lost four of their last eight matches in all competitions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Kenya v Zimbabwe Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.29 | 2.98 | 3.62 |
|
|
2.29 | 2.98 | 3.62 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.15 | 4.2 |
|
|
2.58 | 2.78 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.37 | 2.8 | 3.3 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.1 | 4.11 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Kenya and Zimbabwe?
Our prediction for the Kenya vs Zimbabwe match is: Kenya wins!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/09/2024 between Kenya and Zimbabwe in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.68% for a win of Kenya against Zimbabwe with odds of 2.58 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Kenya vs Zimbabwe is 28.32% with odds of 3.15 at Betobet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Zimbabwe vs Kenya with odds of 4.2 at Betobet.
Kenya - Zimbabwe Prediction and Best Odds:
| Kenya Zimbabwe Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kenya wins | 46.68% | 2.58 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 67.01% | 1.74 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 37.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Kenya | 32.37% |
Kenya vs Zimbabwe Form
Kenya and Zimbabwe's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
|
3
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kenya and Zimbabwe Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
30 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
27 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
30 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
27 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Kenya against Zimbabwe : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Kenya vs Zimbabwe last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Kenya - Zimbabwe Key Points
- Kenya have only lost one of their last eight matches in all competitions.
- Kenya have only lost one of their last six home games.
- Kenya are unbeaten in their last three matches against this opponent.
- Zimbabwe have lost four of their last six matches in all competitions.
- Zimbabwe are ranked 19 places below Kenya according to FIFA ranking.
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Our Kenya vs Zimbabwe Prediction
While both these sides have faced serious adversity in recent years, they have fought their way back onto the international scene and will love nothing more than to put together a solid run to the main draw.
Kenya have been in good form since their return, only narrowly missing out on the semis at the COSAFA Cup while they’ve only lost one of their four CAF World Cup qualifiers. Zimbabwe are a plucky outfit but we feel the Harambee Stars will be too good for them in this one. Our Kenya vs Zimbabwe prediction: Kenya wins!
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Kenya Zimbabwe
| Kenya vs Zimbabwe | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya wins | 1.85 | 2.29 | +23.8% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 2.98 | -3.9% |
| Zimbabwe wins | 4.11 | 3.62 | -11.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Kenya is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 23.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.1% and is now 43.7% (-10.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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