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by Ita Emmanuel | in World Cup Predictions
Fourth-placed Kenya will trade tackles with group leaders Gabon in CAF 2026 FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Group F clash on Sunday. The Harambee Stars will hope to close the gap on the top two positions to one point with a win over the Panthers. Here is our prediction for the match.
Kenya narrowly escaped defeat against fifth-placed Gambia at the Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara in their last match in this group. Australia-based midfielder William Wilson scored with the final kick of the game in the 96th minute to peg the hosts to a dramatic 3-3 draw and salvage a point for the team.
This result extended Benni McCarthy's side's winless run in the group to three matches (L0, D3), leaving their qualification hopes hanging on a thread. Also, they are winless in their last seven competitive fixtures (L3, D4).
After a two-match winless run in the African Nations Championship qualifiers, Gabon roared back to winning ways in their last match. They thrashed bottom-placed Seychelles 3-0 in their CAF 2026 World Cup Qualifiers Group F matchday 5 fixture.
This result saw Thierry Mouyouma's side rack up four wins (L1) in the group, including a 2-1 home win over Kenya in the reverse fixture of this match. They will hope to build on their recent success with another solid performance against the Harambee Stars on Sunday.
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The Best Betting Odds for Kenya v Gabon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.55 | 3 | 3 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.63 | 3 |
|
|
2.61 | 2.75 | 3.29 |
|
|
2.61 | 2.75 | 3.29 |
|
|
2.55 | 2.65 | 3.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Kenya and Gabon?
Our prediction for the Kenya vs Gabon match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/03/2025 between Kenya and Gabon in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.1% for a win of Kenya against Gabon with odds of 2.7 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Kenya vs Gabon is 26.69% with odds of 3 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.22% chance ⭐ for a win of Gabon vs Kenya with odds of 3.41 at Vbet.
Kenya vs Gabon Form
Kenya and Gabon's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
12 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
|
4
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Kenya and Gabon Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
30 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
27 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - World Cup
Kenya vs Gabon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
Kenya - Gabon Key Points
- Kenya have drawn their last three CAF 2026 World Cup Qualifiers matches.
- Kenya are winless in their last seven competitive matches, with the last four ending in draws.
- Kenya are winless in their last four competitive home fixtures, losing one and drawing three.
- Gabon have drawn two of their last three competitive matches in regulation time.
- Gabon drew their last away competitive fixture, settling for a 0-0 draw against Gambia.
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Our Kenya vs Gabon Prediction
Kenya have drawn their last three CAF 2026 World Cup qualifiers in Group F. They are also winless in their last four competitive home fixtures, drawing three.
Meanwhile, Gabon have established themselves as formidable opposition in this group, ready to rival Ivory Coast for an automatic slot in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. They have won four of their five matches in the group but are unlikely to defeat Kenya on Sunday. It is going to be a strongly contested tie between the two teams. Hence, our Kenya vs Gabon prediction is a draw.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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