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Qarabag FK vs Ludogorets Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Daniel Ngulu in Champions League Predictions
Azerbaijani giants Qarabag have a date this Tuesday with Bulgarian champions Ludogorets in the 3rd qualifying round of the Champions League. After successfully negotiating the previous round, will Qarabag draw first blood in the race for the playoffs? Read on for our match preview and prediction.
Hosts Qarabag made light work of Gibraltar side Lincoln Red Imps in the last round. A 7-0 aggregate win secured them this slot and they will be keen to push on. Their biggest win in the two-legged affair came at home – a 5-0 thumping – and they will want to start this tie on the same footing.
Having beaten Araz 4-1 in their league opener, the Azerbaijan champions are now on three straight wins. They’ve scored at least twice in each of the matches, totaling 11 goals across the games.
Ludogorets aren’t strangers to contests against Qarabag, only that this will be their first competitive meeting. In two friendly matches played in 2018 and 2019, Ludogorets won one and drew the other.
The Bulgarian side had a tougher route to the 3rd qualifying round, beating Dinamo Minsk from Belarus 2-1 on aggregate. In the last two Champions League rounds, they lost both away leg matches and will hope to stop that run here.
That extended their poor away run in recent times. Ludogorets have now failed to win any of four away non-friendly matches. They also failed to score in any of the matches. The visitors have suffered straight defeats in their last six away matches in the Champions League. In domestic action, they beat Arda 5-1 on Saturday for their second win in as many league matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Qarabag FK v Ludogorets Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
51 | 6 | 1.13 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.6 | 4.5 |
|
|
97 | 13.2 | 1.04 |
|
|
97 | 13.2 | 1.04 |
|
|
1.69 | 3.6 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.8 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.8 | 4.6 |
|
|
100 | 7.75 | 1.03 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.74 | 4.76 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.85 | 4.9 |
|
|
3.2 | 1.48 | 9 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.75 | 4.65 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.6 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.75 | 5 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.5 | 4.6 |
|
|
2.8 | 1.73 | 11 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Qarabag FK and Ludogorets?
Our prediction for the Qarabag FK vs Ludogorets match is: Qarabag to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/08/2024 between Qarabag FK and Ludogorets in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.9% for a win of Qarabag FK against Ludogorets with odds of 100 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Qarabag FK vs Ludogorets is 11.35% with odds of 13.2 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.74% chance ⭐ for a win of Ludogorets vs Qarabag FK with odds of 11 at Vbet.
Qarabag FK - Ludogorets Prediction and Best Odds:
| Qarabag FK Ludogorets Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Qarabag FK wins | 61.9% | 100 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.27% | 2.83 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 35.71% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Qarabag FK/Qarabag FK | 32.93% | 2.63 at Unibet |
Qarabag FK vs Ludogorets Form
Qarabag FK and Ludogorets Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2024 - Topaz Premier League
30 Jul 2024 - Champions League
23 Jul 2024 - Champions League
16 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jul 2024 - Champions League
9 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2024 - Topaz Premier League
4 May 2024 - Topaz Premier League
24 Apr 2024 - Azerbaijan Cup
20 Apr 2024 - Topaz Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2024 - Topaz Premier League
23 Jul 2024 - Champions League
16 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Jun 2024 - Azerbaijan Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2024 - A PFG
31 Jul 2024 - Champions League
24 Jul 2024 - Champions League
21 Jul 2024 - A PFG
17 Jul 2024 - Champions League
10 Jul 2024 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2024 - A PFG
24 Jul 2024 - Champions League
21 Jul 2024 - A PFG
10 Jul 2024 - Champions League
29 Jun 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jun 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jul 2024 - Champions League
17 Jul 2024 - Champions League
26 Jun 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - A PFG
19 May 2024 - A PFG
2 May 2024 - Bulgarian Cup
Players list
F. Buntic
DefenderK. Medina
B. Mustafazada
M. Silva
E. Cafarquliyev
MidfielderRomao
L. Andrade
M. Jankovic
H. Keyta
ForwardJuninho
A. Zoubir
H. Bonmann
DefenderO. Verdon
D. Almeida
Son
A. Nedyalkov
MidfielderP. Naressi
E. Kurtulus
I. Chochev
ForwardC. Vidal
E. Kurtulus
R. Lima
Substitutes
S. Mammadzada
DefenderE. Cafarquliyev
B. Huseynov
M. Silva
A. Huseynov
MidfielderA. Isayev
N. Akhundzade
Richard
Patrick
ForwardH. Keyta
R. Xhixha
S. Padt
D. Hristov
DefenderE. Kurtulus
A. Witry
D. Gropper
MidfielderT. Nedelev
S. Delev
I. Chochev
I. Yordanov
ForwardM. Tissera
R. Cruz
R. Lima
Most goals and assists
Qarabag FK
Ludogorets
Juninho
(2 Goals)
R. Cruz
(10 Goals)
A. Zoubir
(1 Assists)
, 
Y. Benzia
(1 Assists)
M. Erick
(2 Assists)
Qarabag FK - Ludogorets Key Points
- Qarabag haven't lost at home in regular time in 10 Champions League matches.
- Ludogorets have six straight losses away from home in the Champions League.
- In their last 11 Champions League matches, Ludogorets won just three.
- Ludogorets failed to score in their last four matches away from home.
- Qarabag have three straight wins coming into this game.
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Our Qarabag FK vs Ludogorets Prediction
Three wins in as many matches this season will pump up Qarabag ahead of this key encounter. Starting the two-legged tie at home adds to their advantage, having done well there in their previous Champions League matches.
Qarabag faces a Ludogorets side that has struggled on the road and especially in this competition. The visitors failed to score in any of their last four away matches, a run that makes this a tougher game. Our prediction for Qarabag v Ludogorets is for Qarabag to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Qarabag FK Ludogorets
| Qarabag FK vs Ludogorets | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag FK wins | 1.75 | 51 | +2,814.3% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 6 | +62.2% |
| Ludogorets wins | 4.75 | 1.13 | -76.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Qarabag FK is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2,814.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.1% and is now 2.0% (-55.2%)
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