Qarabag FK vs GNK Dinamo Zagreb Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Sridhar in Champions League Predictions
Qarabag will have to overturn a three-goal deficit to make it to the league phase of the 2024–25 Champions League after losing 3-0 to Dinamo Zagreb in the first leg. This playoff second leg will be played at the Tofiq Bahramov Stadium in Baku on Wednesday, with the prediction of another lively match.
The winner of this two-legged tie moves to the league phase, while the loser will be transferred to the league phase of the Europa League.
The hosts have a tough task on their hands, as they have never won a two-legged UEFA tie after losing the first leg by a two- or more-goal margin. That said, Dinamo Zagreb's last-year record in the UEFA playoffs gives some hope.
Dinamo lost 4-1 to Sparta in the second leg of their Europa League play-off round after winning the first leg 3-1. A repeat would be catastrophic for the visitors, who are likely to be cautious. They are well prepared this time and also boast an unbeaten record of 20 games, giving them enough confidence to sail through this tie. Is there a surprise in store for the home team? Read on to find our prediction.
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The Best Betting Odds for Qarabag FK v GNK Dinamo Zagreb Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
101 | 29 | 1.01 |
|
|
2.25 | 2.7 | 3.3 |
|
|
71 | 18.8 | 1.01 |
|
|
71 | 18.8 | 1.01 |
|
|
2 | 3.9 | 3.3 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.94 | 3.52 |
|
|
100 | 26 | 1.01 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.84 | 3.34 |
|
|
1.98 | 4.1 | 3.45 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Qarabag FK and GNK Dinamo Zagreb?
Our prediction for the Qarabag FK vs GNK Dinamo Zagreb match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/08/2024 between Qarabag FK and GNK Dinamo Zagreb in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.53% for a win of Qarabag FK against GNK Dinamo Zagreb with odds of 101 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Qarabag FK vs GNK Dinamo Zagreb is 4.99% with odds of 29 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 67.48% chance ⭐ for a win of GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs Qarabag FK with odds of 3.52 at Betwinner.
Qarabag FK - GNK Dinamo Zagreb Prediction and Best Odds:
| Qarabag FK GNK Dinamo Zagreb Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| GNK Dinamo Zagreb wins | 67.48% | 3.52 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78.58% | 3.9 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | 1.53 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 25.38% | 8 at Bet365 |
Qarabag FK vs GNK Dinamo Zagreb Form
Qarabag FK and GNK Dinamo Zagreb Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Topaz Premier League
20 Aug 2024 - Champions League
13 Aug 2024 - Champions League
9 Aug 2024 - Topaz Premier League
6 Aug 2024 - Champions League
2 Aug 2024 - Topaz Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Prva HNL
20 Aug 2024 - Champions League
16 Aug 2024 - Prva HNL
11 Aug 2024 - Prva HNL
2 Aug 2024 - Prva HNL
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Qarabag FK against GNK Dinamo Zagreb : Head to Head (H2H)
20 Aug 2024 - Champions League
Qarabag FK - GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Form Analysis
Qarabag started their Champions League journey this season in the second qualifying round, where they defeated the Lincoln Red Imps 7-0 on aggregate. They followed it up with an 8-4 win over Ludogorets in the third qualifying round, highlighted by a 7-2 second-leg victory that saw four goals scored in extra time.
The first leg on the road was a bummer, as they lost 3-0, with two of those goals coming on and after the 75th minute. Worryingly enough, they followed that up with a 1-0 loss at home in the Azerbaijan Premier League, although that was with a changed squad.
Dinamo doesn't have happy memories from last season.
Why? They had a 3-1 advantage from the first leg over Sparta Prague in the Europa League play-off round last year, only to lose 4-1. The squad will be extra cautious this season as they look to extend their unbeaten record against teams from Azerbaijan.
Dinamo have won three and drawn two of their last five matches against such teams, but they will be wary of any pitfalls here.
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Qarabag FK against GNK Dinamo Zagreb Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 1 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Qarabag FK & GNK Dinamo Zagreb Squad Analysis
Qarabag don't have any injury concerns in the squad, but they will hope their key players step up for this important match. Yassine Benzia has three goals in the Champions League this season, while Patrick Andrade and Tural Bayramov have two each.
However, it is the Brazilian forward Juninho who holds the key to their fortunes, having scored six goals in five matches so far in this competition. In fact, the return leg is the only match he didn't score, so there's a sense of expectation for the fans that he would score here.
Sandro Kulenovic has seven goals from his last five matches.
Two of those goals came in the first leg of this tie, where he made an appearance off the bench for Dinamo. He also picked up a yellow card in that leg, but the forward could fancy his chances of starting this match.
Mauro Perkovic is out of this contest for the visitors due to a knee injury. Sadegh Moharrami and Dino Peric are doubtful, as Dinamo are likely to use the same side from the first leg, with the exception of Kulenovic coming in for Hoxha.
Qarabag FK - GNK Dinamo Zagreb Key Points
- Six of Qarabag’s last seven matches have returned over 2.5 goals.
- In their last four Champions League matches, Qarabag have seen at least three goals scored.
- Dinamo’s last six matches have all seen over two goals scored.
- In six of their last seven Champions League matches, Dinamo have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Qarabag FK vs GNK Dinamo Zagreb Prediction
It's a commanding lead of three goals from the first leg that puts Dinamo Zagreb in pole position to qualify for this tie. Yet, they won't be complacent, as there have been times in the past when teams have overcome a three-goal deficit.
Qarabag have consistently produced high scorers in their home matches, although they need to score at least three goals to push this tie into extra time and beyond. While that looks like a challenging aspect, there are certainly goals in this fixture, and that's why our prediction for Qarabag v Dinamo Zagreb is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Qarabag FK vs GNK Dinamo Zagreb - Other Interesting Predictions
Juninho to score anytime
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Qarabag FK GNK Dinamo Zagreb
| Qarabag FK vs GNK Dinamo Zagreb | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag FK wins | 2.1 | 101 | +4,709.5% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 29 | +728.6% |
| GNK Dinamo Zagreb wins | 3.3 | 1.01 | -69.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 69.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.3% and is now 99.0% (68.7%)
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Qarabag FK vs GNK Dinamo Zagreb match : Frequently asked questions
This Qarabag vs Dinamo Zagreb Champions League match will be televised live on TNT Sports 1 in the UK.
You can also follow the game through our live scores. Check out our Champions League Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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