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Qarabag FK vs Ajax Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
by Kennedy Kechula in Europa League Predictions
Unbeaten Ajax will travel to Azerbaijan for their next Europa League match against Qarabag. As de Godenzonen seek a third straight undefeated outing, Atlılar will be looking to end their poor start. Let’s dive into the stats before offering a prediction for the match.
It has been a tough start to Qarabag’s journey in Europe. In their opening two league phase matches, they suffered 3-0 and 2-1 defeats to Tottenham Hotspur and Malmo respectively.
Such results aren’t unique; the hosts have no win in five Europa League matches. They have also conceded two or more in eight of the last 10 matches in the competition.
On the other hand, Ajax have been registering good progress on both continental and domestic fronts. A 4-0 win against Besiktas started off their Europa League journey and on Match Day 2 they drew 1-1 with Slavia Prague.
To this game they take a run of nine matches unbeaten, with seven wins. Ajax have, however, failed to keep a clean sheet in their last three matches, depicting their defensive struggles.
In their last match they conceded three in a 4-3 away win. That was the third time in five matches that they scored three or more goals. In nine Europa League matches, they've lost once.
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The Best Betting Odds for Qarabag FK v Ajax Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.75 | 3.6 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.6 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.11 | 3.9 | 2.29 |
|
|
3.11 | 3.9 | 2.29 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.14 | 3.8 | 2.12 |
|
|
3.14 | 3.8 | 2.12 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.6 | 2.29 |
|
|
3 | 3.74 | 2.21 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.7 | 2.26 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.71 | 2.67 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.5 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.65 | 2.48 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.6 | 2.45 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Qarabag FK and Ajax?
Our prediction for the Qarabag FK vs Ajax match is: Ajax to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/10/2024 between Qarabag FK and Ajax in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.76% for a win of Qarabag FK against Ajax with odds of 3.2 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Qarabag FK vs Ajax is 16.81% with odds of 3.9 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 50.43% chance ⭐ for a win of Ajax vs Qarabag FK with odds of 2.67 at Vbet.
Qarabag FK - Ajax Prediction and Best Odds:
| Qarabag FK Ajax Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins | 50.43% | 2.67 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.54% | 1.68 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 59.52% | 1.53 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Ajax | 19.44% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Qarabag FK vs Ajax Form
Qarabag FK and Ajax's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 |
|
29
|
3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -6 |
Qarabag FK and Ajax Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2024 - Topaz Premier League
6 Oct 2024 - Topaz Premier League
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
29 Sep 2024 - Topaz Premier League
26 Sep 2024 - Europa League
20 Sep 2024 - Topaz Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
29 Sep 2024 - Topaz Premier League
20 Sep 2024 - Topaz Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Topaz Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Champions League
24 Aug 2024 - Topaz Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2024 - Topaz Premier League
6 Oct 2024 - Topaz Premier League
26 Sep 2024 - Europa League
1 Sep 2024 - Topaz Premier League
20 Aug 2024 - Champions League
13 Aug 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
6 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
29 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
26 Sep 2024 - Europa League
21 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
26 Sep 2024 - Europa League
18 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
29 Aug 2024 - Europa League
15 Aug 2024 - Europa League
11 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
29 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
21 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
22 Aug 2024 - Europa League
18 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
Qarabag FK against Ajax Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Qarabag FK
Ajax
Juninho
(1 Goals)
, 
A. Zoubir
(1 Goals)
, 
T. Bayramov
(1 Goals)
D. Klaassen
(6 Goals)
A. Zoubir
(1 Assists)
, 
Y. Benzia
(1 Assists)
J. Hato
(4 Assists)
,
B. Brobbey
(4 Assists)
Qarabag FK - Ajax Key Points
- Qarabag have four losses in their last five matches.
- Ajax have seven wins in nine Europa League matches.
- In five Europa League home matches Qarabag lost three.
- Ajax are unbeaten in their last nine matches, winning seven.
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Our Qarabag FK vs Ajax Prediction
Though Qarabag will be playing at home, we aren’t backing them so much here. They are not only poor, but have struggled against Dutch opposition before. In four meetings with Dutch sides, they have only a draw and the rest were defeats.
Ajax arrive in Baku unbeaten in nine matches. The visitors will be confident of extending Qarabag’s poor run while propping up their own. They have done well in this competition too, winning seven of the last nine matches. Our prediction for Qarabag v Ajax is for Ajax to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Qarabag FK Ajax
| Qarabag FK vs Ajax | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag FK wins | 2.9 | 2.75 | -5.2% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.6 | +2.9% |
| Ajax wins | 2.3 | 2.5 | +8.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Ajax is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.5% and is now 40.0% (-3.5%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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