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Juventus vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Joseph King in Champions League Predictions
The final matchday of the league phase of the UEFA Champions League is upon us as 17th-placed Juventus hosts 21st-place Benfica. Let’s get started on the prediction for this match between the Old Lady and the Eagles!
Juventus’ 12 points earned sees them having already wrapped up a top 24 finish and thus a spot in the knockout phase playoff. However, their draw with Club Brugge in matchday seven was a major blow to their chances at automatic qualification to the round of 16. They’ll be hoping to sneak into a top eight spot on the final day, but that would require them to win and a number of other results to go their way.
Benfica, on the other hand, are eliminated from a possible top eight finish. Instead, they’ll be focusing on wrapping up a top 24 spot and will then have to go through the playoffs if they are to qualify for the round of 16. The Portuguese giants have accumulated 10 points which sees them with a two-point lead over 25th-place Man City. A win sees them through while a draw or a loss puts them at risk of elimination.
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The Best Betting Odds for Juventus v Benfica Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.25 | 3.25 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.25 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.2 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.29 | 3.3 | 3.45 |
|
|
2.29 | 3.3 | 3.45 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.2 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.2 | 3.44 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.2 | 3.44 |
|
|
2.23 | 3.25 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.22 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.24 | 3.3 | 3.55 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.1 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.29 | 3.26 | 3.41 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.2 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.15 | 3.55 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.1 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.2 | 3.35 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Juventus and Benfica Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Juventus vs Benfica Lisbon match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/01/2025 between Juventus and Benfica Lisbon in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.74% for a win of Juventus against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 2.32 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Juventus vs Benfica Lisbon is 29.3% with odds of 3.3 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Juventus with odds of 3.55 at Tonybet.
Juventus - Benfica Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Juventus Benfica Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Juventus wins | 38.74% | 2.32 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.4% | 2.14 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 62.5% | 1.83 at William Hill |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Juventus | 16.93% | 5.6 at Betsson |
Juventus vs Benfica Lisbon Form
Juventus and Benfica Lisbon's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16
|
13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
|
20
|
12 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Juventus and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2025 - Serie A
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Serie A
14 Jan 2025 - Serie A
11 Jan 2025 - Serie A
3 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - Serie A
3 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
17 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
14 Dec 2024 - Serie A
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2025 - Serie A
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
14 Jan 2025 - Serie A
11 Jan 2025 - Serie A
22 Dec 2024 - Serie A
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
17 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2025 - Taca de Portugal
11 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
8 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
17 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2025 - Taca de Portugal
11 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
29 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
1 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
Juventus vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Oct 2022 - Champions League
14 Sep 2022 - Champions League
28 Jul 2018 - International Champions Cup
Juventus - Benfica Lisbon: Form Analysis
Juventus were unable to take advantage of their matchday six away meeting with Club Brugge last week. Toth teams failed to create meaningful chances as the match ultimately ended in a 0-0 draw.
Following that, the Bianconeri would go on to suffer their first league defeat of the season in a 2-1 away loss to Napoli. Despite having just the one defeat, Juve are sitting fifth in the standings as a result of drawing 13 of their 22 league matches.
Juventus have drawn 16 of their 31 matches across all competitions so far this season.
They come into this crucial Champions League fixture having won just once in their last seven matches overall.
Benfica let a massive opportunity slip through their fingers last week. The Eagles twice squandered a two-goal lead (3-1 and later 4-2) as they lost an incredible 5-4 shootout at home against Barcelona.
The result now sees Benfica in a dangerous position as they face potential elimination from the competition with anything other than three points. Their weekend Liga Portugal fixture offered no respite as Benfica fell to a 3-1 away loss to Casa Pia, once again letting a lead slip away.
It marked the second defeat in a row for the visitors who have now conceded eight goals in their last two outings.
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Juventus against Benfica Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
Bremer
J. Cabal
ForwardA. Milik
Juventus & Benfica Lisbon Squad Analysis
Juventus manager Thiago Motta will be without three players for Wednesday’s Champions League match. Defenders Bremer and Juan Cabal are both out for the season with ACL tears while striker Arkadiusz Milik is about a month away from a return.
New loan signing Randal Kolo Muani scored on his debut but is unable to play for Juve in the league phase.
Fans will be hoping the former Frankfurt and PSG player is the answer to their striking woes with the misfiring Dusan Vlahovic having only played a combined 94 minutes since the start of 2025. For this match, however, Nico Gonzalez could start up top once again.
On the other side, Benfica boss Bruno Lage has a few absences to deal with for his team’s trip to Turin. Arthur Cabral and Alvaro Carreras both miss out due to suspension while Renato Sanches will still be out for a while with a thigh injury.
Tiago Gouveia is closing in on a return after a lengthy spell on the sidelines but remains a doubt for this one.
Benfica have a lot of firepower on their wings in the form of duo Angel Di Maria and Kerem Akturkoglu. 36-year-old Di Maria has combined for 20 goals + assist in 29 matches while Akturkoglu has chipped in with 15 goals + assists in 27 appearances.
Most goals and assists
Juventus
Benfica Lisbon
D. Vlahovic
(11 Goals)
V. Pavlidis
(11 Goals)
, 
A. Di Maria
(11 Goals)
T. Koopmeiners
(4 Assists)
, 
F. Conceicao
(4 Assists)
A. Di Maria
(7 Assists)
Juventus - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- Both teams have scored (BTTS) in four of Benfica’s last five games.
- Juventus have seen both teams score in six of their last seven matches.
- Four of Benfica’s seven Champions League fixtures have seen BTTS.
- The visitors see an average of 3.7 total goals per match in this competition.
- The hosts have scored in 12 of their 15 home matches across all competitions.
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Our Juventus vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
Both of these teams have a lot to play for, as is the nature of the final matchday of the league phase. A win for Juventus would likely land them with a seeded spot in the knockout playoff, while Benfica will be trying to avoid potential elimination with a defeat.
This could wind up being a tight match, but we envision both teams getting on the scoresheet. Juve and Benfica have both been able to find the net lately which should result in at least a 1-1 scoreline. Our Juventus vs Benfica prediction: both teams to score.Juventus vs Benfica Lisbon - Other Interesting Predictions
Juventus to win
While they’ve only managed a single win in their last seven games, it’s important to keep in mind that five of those were away matches and one was at a neutral venue. At home, Juve have been very solid lately, including wins over Milan and Man City.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Juventus Benfica Lisbon
| Juventus vs Benfica Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus wins | 1.95 | 2.25 | +15.4% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.25 | -12.2% |
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 3.6 | 3.4 | -5.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Juventus is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.3% and is now 44.4% (-6.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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