Italy - Super Cup
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Juventus vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Super Cup
by Kennedy Kechula in Football Predictions
Juventus are back in the Supercoppa Italiana after a two-year hiatus and are already in Saudi Arabia for their semi-final against AC Milan. At the Al Awwal Park in Riyadh, the Old Lady will be targeting an extension to their unbeaten run against Milan. With that they would be able to secure a slot in the final, where they’d meet either Inter Milan or Atalanta. In this preview, we look at the stats and numbers ahead of the match as well as offer two key predictions.
These two giants of Italian football haven't had convincing domestic campaigns so far, and will be happy to take a break from the Serie A. Juventus remain unbeaten domestically but they haven't been at their best, winning just seven of their 18 league matches. It is a similar scenario for Milan, who have played one match less but won just seven, leading to Paulo Fonseca's sacking.
Following the appointment of new manager Sergio Conceicao, can the Rossoneri be the first Italian team this season to beat Juventus?
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The Best Betting Odds for Juventus v AC Milan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.55 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.4 | 3 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.87 | 2.2 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.54 | 3.3 | 3.14 |
|
|
2.54 | 3.3 | 3.14 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.15 | 3.05 |
|
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2.33 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
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2.33 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
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2.38 | 3.25 | 3.2 |
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2.46 | 3.18 | 3.03 |
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2.55 | 3.2 | 3.05 |
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2.66 | 3.13 | 2.98 |
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2.6 | 2.9 | 2.9 |
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2.48 | 2.95 | 3.1 |
|
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2.4 | 2.9 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.1 | 2.95 |
|
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2.5 | 3 | 3.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Juventus and AC Milan?
Our prediction for the Juventus vs AC Milan match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/01/2025 between Juventus and AC Milan in Super Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.73% for a win of Juventus against AC Milan with odds of 2.87 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Juventus vs AC Milan is 38.62% with odds of 3.3 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.65% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Juventus with odds of 3.2 at Ladbrokes.
Juventus - AC Milan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Juventus AC Milan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 38.62% | 3.3 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.18% | 2.32 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 54.58% | 1.96 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 18.05% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Juventus vs AC Milan Form
Juventus and AC Milan Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
22 Dec 2024 - Serie A
17 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
14 Dec 2024 - Serie A
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
17 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
14 Dec 2024 - Serie A
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - Serie A
9 Nov 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2024 - Serie A
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Serie A
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
20 Dec 2024 - Serie A
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
6 Dec 2024 - Serie A
3 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
3 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
30 Nov 2024 - Serie A
23 Nov 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2024 - Serie A
6 Dec 2024 - Serie A
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
9 Nov 2024 - Serie A
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Serie A
Juventus vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Nov 2024 - Serie A
27 Apr 2024 - Serie A
22 Oct 2023 - Serie A
27 Jul 2023 - Clubs Friendlies
28 May 2023 - Serie A
8 Oct 2022 - Serie A
Juventus - AC Milan: Form Analysis
Juventus have suffered just one defeat in their last 30 competitive matches. That came in stoppage time of their Champions League match at home to Stuttgart in October.
The Italian giants have since gone undefeated in their last 14 matches. While this run might seem great for their confidence, Juventus have managed just five wins in the said 14 outings.
The excessive amount of draws means, according to their stature, that they are even struggling in Serie A. Juve are still unbeaten in league play but closed 2024 in the sixth spot. They wrapped up last year in uninspiring fashion, twice letting their lead slip in a 2-2 draw with Fiorentina.
Milan are winless in two straight Supercoppa matches.
Milan will come into this game seeking a first win in four meetings with Juventus as new manager Sergio Conceicao makes his debut. The last time they faced Juventus in the Supercoppa Italiana will not count for a great memory.
Back then in 2019, Milan lost 1-0. In the run up to this meeting, Milan failed to score in three straight games against Juventus. They did lose just once in the three meetings though.
To this game they carry a four-match undefeated run, winning twice. Their latest outing produced a 1-1 draw with AS Roma.
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Juventus against AC Milan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
Bremer
J. Cabal
ForwardA. Milik
A. Florenzi
MidfielderS. Chukwueze
ForwardN. Okafor
R. Leao
Juventus & AC Milan Squad Analysis
This match will see familiar faces square off. Francisco Conceicao, a Juventus loanee from FC Porto, will be up against the team managed by his father. He will be looking to add to his three goals at Juventus so far.
Dusan Vlahovic will once again be a player in focus here as he gets a first taste of the Super Cup. The Serbian forward has scored three times in the last five matches. He could benefit from support from Kenan Yildiz in a two-pronged attack.
Juventus will miss the services of Timothy Weah, Arkadiusz Milik and Bremer Silva all through injury.
Nigerian winger Samuel Chukwueze limped off in Milan’s last game.
Apart from the new manager, the other man who will attract considerable focus for Milan is Tijjani Reijnders. The Dutchman is the joint leading scorer for Milan with five goals and the latest two came in their last two matches.
The team’s other leading scorer, Christian Pulisic, is sidelined and thus Reijnders has to take the mantle. Samuel Chukwueze is another player set to miss out.
Milan will still have options in attack though, with Alvaro Morata facing his former team and Tammy Abraham also available.
Most goals and assists
Juventus
AC Milan
K. Yildiz
(1 Goals)
C. Pulisic
(1 Goals)
Juventus - AC Milan Key Points
- The last seven meetings between these teams had under 2.5 goals.
- Milan failed to score in three straight matches against Juventus.
- Only one goal was scored in the last three matches involving these two teams.
- Juventus’ last three matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- In Milan’s last three Super Cup matches, they scored one goal.
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Our Juventus vs AC Milan Prediction
Both these teams missed the last edition of the Super Cup. Juventus actually missed the last two. The two giants of Italian football will be keen on making up for the lost time, which means we have a big game on our hands.
The one stat that has courted this fixture for a while now though, is its low-scoring nature. There hasn’t been a single match in the last seven between these two teams that has produced more than two goals. The last three had just one goal scored. With a tight match expected here, our prediction for Juventus v AC Milan is for under 2.5 goals.
Juventus vs AC Milan - Other Interesting Predictions
Juventus to win
In terms of recent form, Juventus will take the favorites’ place. Thiago Motta’s team is on a 14-match unbeaten run and only lost once in the last 30 competitive matches. Though drawing a significant number of those matches, Juventus will still be confident of a win here.
They face a side under a new manager and Milan may take a bit of time to get their grip under Sergio Conceicao. Our second prediction is for a Juventus win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Juventus AC Milan
| Juventus vs AC Milan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus wins | 2.3 | 2.55 | +10.9% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.1 | -8.8% |
| AC Milan wins | 3 | 2.9 | -3.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.4% and is now 32.3% (2.8%)
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Juventus vs AC Milan match : Frequently asked questions
The Juventus v AC Milan match will be played on Friday, 3 January 2025.
The Juventus v AC Milan match will be played at the Al Awwal Park in Riyadh.
The Juventus v AC Milan match will be run by Andrea Colombo as the center referee. He will do that with assistance from Giuseppe Perrotti and Pietro Dei Giudici. Giovani Ayroldi will be the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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