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by Devesh Jaganath in Indian Super League Predictions
The first leg of the second semi-final in the 2024-25 ISL Cup will see Jamshedpur FC play host to Mohun Bagan at the JRD Tata Sports Complex Stadium on Thursday afternoon. The winner of this tie between the Men of Steel and the Mariners will move on to face either Bengaluru FC or FC Goa in the grand final on April 12. Let’s get into the match prediction.
The last match between these sides during the regular league season ended in a hard-fought 1-1 draw. However, Mohun Bagan have been the more successful team in this contest in recent times with four wins and two draws in the last six league encounters. The last time the Men of Steel beat the Mariners in a top-flight match was in March 2022.
Given these sides’ league positions last season and the head-to-head record of late, the visitors are installed as the clear favourites to progress to the final. Let’s get into the key stats at play in this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jamshedpur FC v Mohun Bagan Super Giant Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 4.2 | 1.8 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.5 | 1.91 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.5 | 1.91 |
|
|
3.53 | 4.24 | 1.82 |
|
|
3.53 | 4.24 | 1.82 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Jamshedpur FC and Mohun Bagan Super Giant?
Our prediction for the Jamshedpur FC vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant match is: Mohun Bagan wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/04/2025 between Jamshedpur FC and Mohun Bagan Super Giant in Indian Super League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.03% for a win of Jamshedpur FC against Mohun Bagan Super Giant with odds of 4 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Jamshedpur FC vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant is 27.44% with odds of 4.24 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs Jamshedpur FC with odds of 1.95 at Betobet.
Jamshedpur FC - Mohun Bagan Super Giant Prediction and Best Odds:
| Jamshedpur FC Mohun Bagan Super Giant Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mohun Bagan Super Giant wins | 47.53% | 1.95 at Betobet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.07% | 1.78 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | 1.62 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Mohun Bagan Super Giant/Mohun Bagan Super Giant | 27.71% | 3 at Ladbrokes |
Jamshedpur FC vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant Form
Jamshedpur FC and Mohun Bagan Super Giant Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Indian Super League
9 Mar 2025 - Indian Super League
5 Mar 2025 - Indian Super League
1 Mar 2025 - Indian Super League
20 Feb 2025 - Indian Super League
13 Feb 2025 - Indian Super League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Mar 2025 - Indian Super League
13 Feb 2025 - Indian Super League
2 Feb 2025 - Indian Super League
17 Jan 2025 - Indian Super League
4 Jan 2025 - Indian Super League
29 Dec 2024 - Indian Super League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Indian Super League
9 Mar 2025 - Indian Super League
1 Mar 2025 - Indian Super League
20 Feb 2025 - Indian Super League
9 Feb 2025 - Indian Super League
28 Jan 2025 - Indian Super League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Indian Super League
1 Mar 2025 - Indian Super League
23 Feb 2025 - Indian Super League
15 Feb 2025 - Indian Super League
5 Feb 2025 - Indian Super League
1 Feb 2025 - Indian Super League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Indian Super League
23 Feb 2025 - Indian Super League
5 Feb 2025 - Indian Super League
27 Jan 2025 - Indian Super League
11 Jan 2025 - Indian Super League
2 Jan 2025 - Indian Super League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Indian Super League
15 Feb 2025 - Indian Super League
1 Feb 2025 - Indian Super League
21 Jan 2025 - Indian Super League
17 Jan 2025 - Indian Super League
26 Dec 2024 - Indian Super League
Jamshedpur FC vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
25 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Jan 2025 - Indian Super League
23 Nov 2024 - Indian Super League
1 Mar 2024 - Indian Super League
6 Dec 2021 - Indian Super League
Jamshedpur FC - Mohun Bagan Super Giant: Form Analysis
Jamshedpur FC are back in the postseason for the first time since the 2021-22 season and are hoping to make it to the final of the ISL Cup for the first time in the club’s history.
The Men of Steel finished fifth in the league standings but ended the season poorly with just one win in their final six games. However, they rediscovered top gear in the playoffs, beating the heavily fancied NorthEast United 2-0 over the weekend.
At home, the hosts won eight, drew one and lost three games this season, though two of those defeats came in their final two games. They also conceded two or more goals in both those defeats.
Jamshedpur FC conceded the second-most goals in the ISL this season (43)!
Meanwhile, the 2024-25 Indian Super League season was a historic one for Mohun Bagan, as it was the first time ever that a team managed to successfully defend their Indian top-flight title.
Over the course of the campaign, the Mariners posted a record of 17 wins, five draws and suffered just two defeats in 24 games. They ended the season unbeaten in their final 12 matches (W9 D3 L0).
However, it is worth noting that the visitors were much better at home than on the road this term. They earned 22 points on their travels (W6 D4 L2), compared to 34 on their home patch (W11 D1 L0).
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Jamshedpur FC against Mohun Bagan Super Giant Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Jamshedpur FC & Mohun Bagan Super Giant Squad Analysis
Jamshedpur will have to make do without the services of Mobashir Rahman in this match, as the midfielder is suspended owing to the red card he received against NorthEast United over the weekend.
Rahman’s absence could pave the way for Imran Khan to return to midfield this week. Khan was the hosts' creative spark this season and led the team with 38 chances created in 24 appearances.
Javi Hernandez has been the major threat for the Red Miners this season with eight goals to his name, and he will likely be joined by strike partner Jordan Murray in attack in this match.
Vishal Kaith won the Golden Glove this season with 14 clean sheets in 23 games!
Indeed, Mohun Bagan were the most defensively sound team this term and conceded just 16 goals. Eight of those 16 shutouts came in their final 10 matches of the campaign.
In attack, Jamie Maclaren is one to watch for the league champs. The Aussie finished third in the Golden Boot standings, netting 11 times in 22 appearances in his first season in the ISL.
Most goals and assists
Jamshedpur FC
Mohun Bagan Super Giant
F. Hernandez Gonzalez
(9 Goals)
J. MacLaren
(12 Goals)
I. Khan
(3 Assists)
, 
R. Tachikawa
(3 Assists)
,
F. Hernandez Gonzalez
(3 Assists)
J. Cummings
(5 Assists)
Jamshedpur FC - Mohun Bagan Super Giant Key Points
- Jamshedpur only won one of their final six league games.
- Jamshedpur conceded the second-most goals in the league this season.
- Jamshedpur only kept one clean sheet in their last 10 home matches.
- Mohun Bagan won 17 of their 24 games this season.
- Mohun Bagan are unbeaten in their last six league matches against this opponent.
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Our Jamshedpur FC vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant Prediction
While Jamshedpur pulled off a fairly major upset to overcome NorthEast United on the road over the weekend, they face a much tougher task this week, up against the Mariners, who have only dropped two games all season.
Mohun Bagan were head-and-shoulders better than the rest this term and are unbeaten in their last six league matches against this opponent, dating all the way back to early 2022. We feel the visitors will take a lead into the second leg. Our Jamshedpur FC vs Mohun Bagan prediction is Mohun Bagan wins the match.
Jamshedpur FC vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant - Other Interesting Predictions
Mohun Bagan over 1.5
Jamshedpur conceded the second most goals this season, averaging 1.8 goals against per 90, while Mohun Bagan were the highest-scoring team in the league and averaged two goals per game. Additionally, the Mariners scored two or more goals in five of their last six matches.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Jamshedpur FC Mohun Bagan Super Giant
| Jamshedpur FC vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamshedpur FC wins | 3.75 | 3.5 | -6.7% |
| Draw | 4 | 4.2 | +5.0% |
| Mohun Bagan Super Giant wins | 1.73 | 1.8 | +4.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Mohun Bagan Super Giant is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.8% and is now 55.6% (-2.2%)
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Jamshedpur FC vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant match : Frequently asked questions
The ISL Cup semi-final first leg between Jamshedpur and Mohun Bagan will be played on April 3 at 15:00 GMT.
The ISL Cup semi-final between Jamshedpur and Mohun Bagan will take place at the JRD Tata Sports Complex Stadium in Jamshedpur.
The ISL Cup semi-final between Jamshedpur and Mohun Bagan will be broadcast on JioHotstar in India.
Alternatively, you can stay up to date with every minute of the action using our Indian Super League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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